I maintain a Word document where I compile links and quotes from online articles I intend to comment on in this blog, and as I post each one, I gray out the text of that section of the Word doc. Here are a couple from September that I don’t seem to have yet posted.<\/p>\n
Slate: It\u2019s All Connected: What links creativity, conspiracy theories, and delusions? A phenomenon called apophenia.<\/a><\/p>\n Apophenia<\/a> is the human tendency to see patterns in random events. It’s the tendency to see patterns in clouds, or to see Jesus or Mary in tree stumps and tortillas, for example — to detect whatever one is already culturally attuned to, in the random patterns of nature. It has an evolutionary explanation.<\/p>\n This interesting Slate article sees this tendency as an element of creativity.<\/p>\n \nIn statistics, a problem akin to apophenia is a Type I error, or false positive. It means believing something is real when it isn\u2019t, based on a misleading pattern in the data. The equal and opposite misstep, a Type II error, involves attributing a true relationship to chance. Defaulting to Type I thinking may have once conferred a survival advantage: Assume every rustle in the grass is a tiger, and you\u2019ll last a lot longer than the carefree na\u00eff who chalks each disturbance up to the wind. So, the theory goes, human brains evolved into \u201cbelief engines\u201d and \u201cpattern-recognition machines,\u201d keen to organize jumbled sensory inputs into meaningful data. —<\/p>\n And then a long post by Jerry Coyne about how religious apologists — including President Obama — discount ISIS, or the Islamic State, or whatever it’s called, as not “true Islam”. It’s a variation of the no true Scotsman<\/a> fallacy. Coyne points out how there is no “true” religion…<\/p>\n \nEveryone who is religious picks and chooses their morals from\u00a0scripture. \u00a0And so, too, do religious apologists pick and choose the \u201ctrue\u201d religions using identical\u00a0criteria: what appeals to them as \u201cgood\u201d ways to behave. The Qur\u2019an, like the Bible, is full of vile moral statements supposedly emanating from God. We cherry-pick them depending on our disposition, our politics, and our upbringing.<\/p>\n In\u00a0the end, there is no \u201ctrue\u201d religion in the factual sense, for there is no good evidence supporting their truth claims. Neither are there \u201ctrue\u201d religions in the moral sense. Every faith justifies itself and its practices by appeal to authority, revelation, and dogma. There are just some religions we like better than others because of their practical consequences. If\u00a0that\u2019s what we mean by \u201ctrue,\u201d we should just admit it. There\u2019s no shame in that, for it\u2019s certainly\u00a0the case that societies based on some religions\u00a0are more dysfunctional\u00a0than others.\u00a0Morality itself is\u00a0neither objectively \u201ctrue\u201d nor \u201cfalse,\u201d but at bottom rests on subjective preferences: the \u201coughts\u201d that come from what we see as\u00a0the consequences\u00a0of behaving one way versus\u00a0another. By all means let us say that ISIS is a strain of Islam\u00a0that is barbaric and dysfunctional, but let us not hear any nonsense that it\u2019s a \u201cfalse religion\u201d. ISIS, like all religious movements, is based on faith; and faith, which is belief in the absence of convincing evidence, isn\u2019t true or false, but simply irrational.\n<\/p><\/blockquote>\n This issue has gotten much hotter in recent weeks, with controversy about Bill Maher’s comments about Islam. Is criticizing the tenents of a religion tantamount to racism against its adherents? I say no. My inclination is that *ideas*, including the ideas of Islam, or Christianity, or any other ideology, or for that matter any scientific thesis or tenant, are always open to criticism, without necessarily impugning those who, for the moment, subscribe to any one of them. We should all be constantly re-examining our ideas and beliefs, against the evidence of reality, and making corrections as we can. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" I maintain a Word document where I compile links and quotes from online articles I intend to comment on in this blog, and as I post each one, I gray out the text of that section of the Word doc. … Continue reading
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\nYet apophenia can also lure us into false and damaging convictions. Take the gambler\u2019s fallacy, which states\u2014erroneously\u2014that in a sequence of random events, past outcomes will affect future outcomes.
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\nSo apophenia cuts both ways\u2014it\u2019s a profoundly human habit of mind that can underlie adaptive behaviors and reward flights of fancy, or induce all kinds of paranoia and silliness.\n<\/p><\/blockquote>\n