{"id":20251,"date":"2023-11-01T17:31:17","date_gmt":"2023-11-02T00:31:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.markrkelly.com\/Blog\/?p=20251"},"modified":"2023-11-01T18:03:53","modified_gmt":"2023-11-02T01:03:53","slug":"more-about-things-people-believe-that-arent-true","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.markrkelly.com\/Blog\/2023\/11\/01\/more-about-things-people-believe-that-arent-true\/","title":{"rendered":"More About Things People Believe That Aren&#8217;t True"},"content":{"rendered":"<p align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.thinkindependent.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/Aint-what-you-dont-know-Image-Mark-Twain-1200x480.jpg\" width=\"500\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&#8220;It ain&#8217;t what you don&#8217;t know that gets you into trouble. It&#8217;s what you know for sure that just ain&#8217;t so.&#8221;<br \/>\n&#8212;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.thinkindependent.com.au\/aint-dont-know-gets-trouble\/\">Mark Twain<\/a><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Jonathan V. Last about how most voters are &#8220;disconnected from reality&#8221;;<\/li>\n<li>How Google&#8217;s Pixel phone could destroy humanity;<\/li>\n<li>Tom Nichols about why we shouldn&#8217;t care about what people in diners believe.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Here&#8217;s an item I saw in this week&#8217;s issue of <i>The Week<\/i>. The link to the article here, alas, won&#8217;t work for you unless you&#8217;re a subscriber and log in. But you can view the screen capture of the page in question. And I&#8217;ll quote the item, below.<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.markrkelly.com\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/theweekpage_500x667.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.markrkelly.com\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/theweekpage_500x667-225x300.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"225\" height=\"300\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>The Week, Nov. 3rd issue<\/strong>: <a href=\"https:\/\/usmagazine.theweek.com\/2023\/10\/26\/best-columns-the-u-s-59\/content.html\">Best Columns: The U.S.<\/a>, summary of a column by Jonathan V. Last in <i>The Bulwark<\/i> [which I couldn&#8217;t find on its site].<\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>It is not polite to say so, but most voters \u201care disconnected from reality,\u201d said Jonathan V. Last. In a recent Bulwark-organized focus group of swing voters, most parroted right-wing criticisms of President Biden that completely conflict with the factual evidence. One voter complained that \u201cour economy is in the dumpster\u201d due to Biden\u2019s \u201csocialism.\u201d In reality, unemployment is down to 3.8 percent, average wage gains of 4 percent are outpacing inflation, and the Dow is at 33,000\u201414 percent higher than at any point in Trump\u2019s presidency. Median household wealth is up 37 percent (!) since Trump left office, and as for \u201csocialism,\u201d Trump raised the national debt by a record 7.4 trillion in just four years\u2014a leap of more than 33 percent. One female voter conceded that \u201cTrump was a nut,\u201d but said he \u201cdidn\u2019t leave the country in the shape that Joe Biden is leaving us in.\u201d Hello? Trump left office with the unemployment rate at 6.3 percent, the economy in free fall, and more than 90,000 Americans dying of Covid every month, and with no real plan in place to distribute vaccines. When people are this misinformed, it\u2019s no wonder Trump still has a chance to regain the presidency.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Where do these people get their news? One guess. Or maybe two. Fox News, and social media.<\/p>\n<p>In passing, it&#8217;s worth noting that the vast bulk of content on the fact-checking sites like <a href=\"https:\/\/www.politifact.com\/\">PolitiFact<\/a> are claims on social media, or from Republican news sources or politicians. (Today there&#8217;s an item about Facebook posts claiming <a href=\"https:\/\/www.politifact.com\/factchecks\/2023\/nov\/01\/facebook-posts\/snakes-in-the-white-house-no-us-presidents-arent-r\/\">\u201cEvery President we ever had in the United States of America was a draconian reptilian.\u201d<\/a> There are apparently who actually believe such things; they are unhinged from reality.) Every hundred posts or so, they challenge a Democratic politician about exaggerating, but never about Trump-style outright lying.<\/p>\n<p>\\\\<\/p>\n<p>And how would a smartphone be about things that aren&#8217;t true, much less destroying humanity?<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/wp-apps\/imrs.php?src=https:\/\/arc-anglerfish-washpost-prod-washpost.s3.amazonaws.com\/public\/OMW7PJDO4IJOPYCDLUR2CF5TKQ.JPG\" width=\"400\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>Washington Post, Matt Bai, 31 Oct 2023<\/strong>: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/opinions\/2023\/10\/31\/google-pixel-ad-campaign-smartphone-misinformation-reality\/\">Opinion | Google Pixel\u2019s ad campaign is destroying humanity<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Because, as we&#8217;ve seen in commercials for some time now, you can *edit* your photos to remove unwanted distractions. Now, you can edit out sounds too, or move sections of a photo around to, say, exaggerate how high you can jump. This is perfect for trolls promoting conspiracy theories. Very soon we will be unable to believe anything we see online. (And we already know that people are notoriously poor eye-witnesses.)<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8230;the Pixel\u2019s advanced artificial-intelligence tools enable you to creatively edit your photos as never before. If you want to muddy the line between truth and invention in your Instagram feed, this is the phone for you.<\/p>\n<p>In one picture, a dancer makes himself appear larger and higher in the air than he actually is. In another, a group of friends merge different photos to give them each brighter smiles. A couple of skateboarders are shown eliminating an inconvenient picnic table from a shot by drawing a circle around it and making it disappear, as if by magic.<\/p>\n<p>The message here is unmistakable. Don\u2019t be a prisoner to unsatisfying reality. Just make it whatever you want it to be.<\/p>\n<p>Our society continues to struggle with the dawn of a new age of misinformation \u2014 deepfakes, digital impostors, foreign bots. But here\u2019s Google, making it not only easy but also glamorous to clandestinely alter the moments of your life and share them with all your friends.<\/p>\n<p>Our politics reels from a crisis of self-certainty, in which entire communities believe what they want to believe and disregard any evidence to the contrary. No worries! Here\u2019s Google to help you wall yourself off in a world of conspiracy and make-believe, where the only memories worth keeping are the ones that present the world as you\u2019d like it to be rather than as it is.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>What will become real? Anything anyone wants to &#8220;believe&#8221; in. That&#8217;s already been true for many, for a long time. And maybe it doesn&#8217;t matter for many. As I&#8217;ve discussed before.<\/p>\n<p>\\\\\\<\/p>\n<p>This piece echoes the first item above. Most people form opinions without having any understanding of what they are talking about. (And I don&#8217;t think it&#8217;s because they&#8217;re stupid, exactly; it&#8217;s because the world is an increasingly complex place, and no one person can keep informed about everything. The issue, perhaps, is that people feel the need to have opinions, nonetheless. Politics forces them to.)<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.theatlantic.com\/thumbor\/4hLl020NhGffJH6h5nDVXJ9IOP0=\/0x397:7200x4447\/976x549\/media\/img\/mt\/2023\/10\/GettyImages_1428100453\/original.jpg\" width=\"400\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>Tom Nichols, The Atlantic, 30 Oct 2023<\/strong>: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theatlantic.com\/newsletters\/archive\/2023\/10\/the-diner-trap\/675841\/\">Stop Asking Americans in Diners About Foreign Aid<\/a>, subtitled &#8220;Instead, keep explaining it.&#8221; Secondary sub-title: &#8220;Persistent Foreign-Aid Myths&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The opening concerns a <i>Washington Post<\/i> reporter talking to people about Mike Johnson, the new House speaker, in his home district. &#8220;God did it&#8221; was one response. Nichols (I reviewed one of his books <a href=\"https:\/\/www.markrkelly.com\/Blog\/2019\/02\/17\/nichols-the-death-of-expertise\/\">here<\/a>) quotes from the WaPo item:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cPeople really do look at the funding we\u2019re sending to Israel and Ukraine and say, \u2018I can\u2019t afford to go to Kroger,\u2019\u201d Gauthier said as she sat amid the lunchtime crowd, some of whom she said had stopped buying beverages because of the cost. \u201cA lot of these customers know Mike Johnson and think we often get overlooked and maybe we won\u2019t anymore,\u201d she said.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>To which Nichols responds:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>I\u2019m not sure what it means to be \u201coverlooked\u201d in a cherry-red district in a state where, as the <i>Post<\/i> notes, Republicans will control all three branches of state government once the conservative governor-elect is sworn in, but the comment about foreign aid is a classic expression of how little people understand about the subject.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>And then Nichols cuts to the chase.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p class=\"ArticleParagraph_root__4mszW\">Let\u2019s review some important realities.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ArticleParagraph_root__4mszW\">First, foreign aid is about <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookings.edu\/articles\/what-every-american-should-know-about-u-s-foreign-aid\/\" data-event-element=\"inline link\"><i>1 percent<\/i> of the U.S. budget<\/a>, roughly $60 billion. Special appropriations to Ukraine have, over the course of 18 months, added up to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pbs.org\/newshour\/world\/how-much-aid-the-u-s-has-sent-to-ukraine-in-6-charts\" data-event-element=\"inline link\">about $75 billion, <\/a>including both humanitarian aid and weapons. Israel\u2014a far smaller country that has, over the past 70 years, cumulatively received <a href=\"https:\/\/sgp.fas.org\/crs\/mideast\/RL33222.pdf\" data-event-element=\"inline link\">more foreign aid<\/a> from the United States than from any other country\u2014usually gets about $3 billion, but Joe Biden <a href=\"https:\/\/www.npr.org\/2023\/10\/20\/1206301577\/biden-ukraine-israel-congress-funding-request#:~:text=Israel%3A%20%2414.3%20billion&amp;text=The%20request%20includes%20funding%20for,military%20financing%20and%20embassy%20support.\" data-event-element=\"inline link\">now wants to add<\/a> about $14 billion to that.<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s a lot of money. To put it in perspective, however, Americans forked over about <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/americas-snacking-binge-shows-no-sign-of-slowing-85d1f92b\" data-event-element=\"inline link\">$181 billion annually on snacks<\/a>, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brewersassociation.org\/statistics-and-data\/national-beer-stats\/\" data-event-element=\"inline link\">$115 billion for beer<\/a> last year. (They also shell out about $7 billion annually just for <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ars.usda.gov\/news-events\/news\/research-news\/2023\/the-agricultural-research-service-is-breeding-a-better-potato-for-a-better-potato-chip\/#:~:text=About%2022%20percent%20of%20the,buying%20potato%20chips%20at%20retailers.\" data-event-element=\"inline link\">potato chips<\/a>. The snack spending is increasing, perhaps because Americans now spend about <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fox4news.com\/news\/americans-are-reportedly-spending-more-money-on-cannabis-than-chocolate\" data-event-element=\"inline link\">$30 billion on legal marijuana <\/a>every year.) Americans also ante up a few bucks here and there on legal sports gambling, and by \u201ca few\u201d I mean <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2023\/05\/13\/sports\/online-sports-gambling-regulations.html#:~:text=Collectively%2C%20Americans%20have%20legally%20bet,the%20court%20action%20in%202018.\" data-event-element=\"inline link\">more than $220 billion<\/a> over the past five years.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Lesson: ordinary people don&#8217;t know much about anything. The world is too complex for everyone to keep up with and have informed opinions. And yet those ordinary uninformed people drive politics. Is there a solution? Should there be?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#8220;It ain&#8217;t what you don&#8217;t know that gets you into trouble. It&#8217;s what you know for sure that just ain&#8217;t so.&#8221; &#8212;Mark Twain Jonathan V. Last about how most voters are &#8220;disconnected from reality&#8221;; How Google&#8217;s Pixel phone could destroy &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.markrkelly.com\/Blog\/2023\/11\/01\/more-about-things-people-believe-that-arent-true\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[48,80,18,54],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-20251","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-conservative-resistance","category-epistemology","category-lunacy","category-politics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.markrkelly.com\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20251","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.markrkelly.com\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.markrkelly.com\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.markrkelly.com\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.markrkelly.com\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=20251"}],"version-history":[{"count":9,"href":"https:\/\/www.markrkelly.com\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20251\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":20262,"href":"https:\/\/www.markrkelly.com\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20251\/revisions\/20262"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.markrkelly.com\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=20251"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.markrkelly.com\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=20251"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.markrkelly.com\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=20251"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}