{"id":22442,"date":"2024-08-04T17:34:45","date_gmt":"2024-08-05T00:34:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.markrkelly.com\/Blog\/?p=22442"},"modified":"2024-08-05T11:12:11","modified_gmt":"2024-08-05T18:12:11","slug":"things-change-necessarily","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.markrkelly.com\/Blog\/2024\/08\/04\/things-change-necessarily\/","title":{"rendered":"Things Change, Necessarily"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Seen in passing on Facebook today:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Understand science, and you&#8217;ll understand religion.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>(In particular, I&#8217;d say, cognitive sciences, and human evolution.)<\/p>\n<p>\\<\/p>\n<p>Today&#8217;s topics:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>How Republicans accuse Democrats of being anti-family, while voting against programs to help families;<\/li>\n<li>How about updating the Constitution?;<\/li>\n<li>Will A.I. kill meaningless jobs? Why not?<\/li>\n<li>David Brooks on why not to fear A.I.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\\\\\\<\/p>\n<p>It boggles my mind how Republicans can claim that *Democrats* are anti-family, when it&#8217;s they who vote against programs to help families.<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ca-times.brightspotcdn.com\/dims4\/default\/6a9911d\/2147483647\/strip\/true\/crop\/5542x3695+0+0\/resize\/1200x800!\/format\/webp\/quality\/75\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fcalifornia-times-brightspot.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fd7%2F14%2F2b6b89394585ab363d3a058fe4f3%2Fap24204717377549.jpg\" width=\"300\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>LA Times, Justin Talbot Zorn and Mark Welsbrot, Opinion, 4 Aug 2024<\/strong>: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.latimes.com\/opinion\/story\/2024-08-04\/donald-trump-jd-vance-kamala-harris-child-tax-credit\">Opinion: Why is the \u2018pro-family\u2019 GOP blocking legislation that would help lift many kids out of poverty?<\/a><\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Republican vice presidential nominee JD Vance <a class=\"link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.megynkelly.com\/2024\/07\/26\/jd-vance-reacts-to-childless-cat-ladies-comment\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">told Megyn Kelly last month<\/a> that Democrats are calling for an end to the Child Tax Credit because they are \u201canti-family and anti-kid.\u201d Vance, who has courted controversy for calling Democrats the party of \u201cchildless cat ladies,\u201d then declared, \u201cWe should send the signal to the culture that we are the pro-family party, and we\u2019re gonna back it up with real policy. We\u2019re the party of parents, we\u2019re the party of kids.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Republicans are using Vance\u2019s kids and families rhetoric to convince voters to choose them in November, but they are failing when it comes to backing it up. In fact, they\u2019re actively opposing important legislation to help children and parents.<\/p>\n<p>On Thursday, <a class=\"link\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/senate-child-tax-credit-jd-vance-bdd8ebbfd090f2b4195f9f8194b5b5a0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><u>Senate Republicans blocked a bill that would expand the Child Tax Credit<\/u><\/a> \u2014 the very policy that Vance has championed and just <a class=\"link\" href=\"https:\/\/edition.cnn.com\/2024\/07\/29\/politics\/fact-check-vance-false-harris-child-tax-credit\/index.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><u>accused<\/u><\/a> Kamala Harris of opposing. Vance didn\u2019t show up for the vote. Killing the proposal was a loss to <a class=\"link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbpp.org\/sites\/default\/files\/1-16-24tax-bythenumbers.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">roughly 16 million children<\/a> in low-income working families, who would have benefited from about <a class=\"link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.urban.org\/urban-wire\/permanently-expanding-child-tax-credit-would-increase-kids-lifetime-earnings-and\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">$700 in tax relief<\/a> this year. <a class=\"link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbpp.org\/research\/federal-tax\/about-16-million-children-in-low-income-families-would-gain-in-first-year-of\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><u>Estimates<\/u><\/a> from the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities show that the proposal would have lifted at least 500,000 children above the poverty line and raised the family incomes for at least 5 million more poor children.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Hypocrisy? It&#8217;s probably subtler than that, I would guess, something about how Republicans think helping children is about policies that encourage people to have families, and giving them more votes (as JD Vance has been floating), and not about government spending in any which way. But I&#8217;m speculating. They should put their money where their mouth is. Republicans, generally, would rather spend money on defense &#8212; more jets; bigger bombs &#8212; than social programs, even those that might benefit families, and children. Maybe that&#8217;s how they think they are protecting children, never mind all the ones actually starving in inner cities, or in Appalachia.<\/p>\n<p>\\\\<\/p>\n<p>A notion I&#8217;ve seen before: update the Constitution. Other countries have. Everything must change, given changing circumstances and knowledge (as I&#8217;ve said about morality). But conservatives, almost by definition, venerate the past (as ancient as possible), and would never agree to even considering this. (Even though, ironically, they don&#8217;t actually adhere to the Constitution, as I&#8217;ve often noted.)<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/platform.vox.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/08\/GettyImages-1543081864.jpg?quality=90&amp;strip=all&amp;crop=0%2C0%2C100%2C100&amp;w=1440\" width=\"300\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>Vox, Sean Illing, 3 Aug 2024<\/strong>: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vox.com\/the-gray-area\/364555\/united-states-constitution-crisis-democracy\">Is the United States in self-destruct mode?<\/a>, subtitled &#8220;The crisis is in the Constitution.&#8221;<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1agbrixe lg8ac51 lg8ac50 xkp0cg0\">Here\u2019s a strange question: What if the greatest threat to the United States is our own Constitution?<\/p>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1agbrixe lg8ac51 lg8ac50 xkp0cg0\">Even if you think the American Constitution is the most brilliant political document in human history (and it arguably is), it was written in the late 18th century, which means it\u2019s a product of a very different world than the one we currently inhabit.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1agbrixe lg8ac51 lg8ac50 xkp0cg0\">America was an agrarian slave society at the time of the founding. The citizenry was confined to white, property-owning males. People lived in small, self-contained communities. All of these anachronisms are reflected in the Constitution, not just in the treatment of race but in the structure of the government itself. The Electoral College, the unrepresentative Senate, the Supreme Court \u2014 these are all deeply undemocratic institutions and they\u2019re becoming unsustainable in an increasingly polarized society.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1agbrixe lg8ac51 lg8ac50 xkp0cg0\">We could change the Constitution, of course, but there\u2019s a problem. While the Constitution is open to revision, the truth is that it has become almost impossible to revise. The result is a political system that feels permanently stuck.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"duet--article--article-body-component\">\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1agbrixe lg8ac51 lg8ac50 xkp0cg0\">Erwin Chemerinsky is the dean of the law school at UC Berkeley and the author of a new book called <a href=\"https:\/\/wwnorton.com\/books\/9781324091585\"><em>No Democracy Lasts Forever: How the Constitution Threatens the United States<\/em><\/a>. Chemerinsky\u2019s book makes a pretty convincing case that we\u2019re in trouble if we don\u2019t find a way to seriously reform \u2014 or even rewrite \u2014 the Constitution.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Sample from the interview:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><strong>Sean Illing<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>What are the biggest problems with the Constitution at this moment?<\/p>\n<p><strong>Erwin Chemerinsky<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Right now I would say the Electoral College and two senators per state are what pose the greatest threat to democracy. But if you asked me what was the worst choice historically, I\u2019d say it was what the framers did with regard to slavery and race \u2014 that has haunted this country from the beginning.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Yes, for all the sins committed in America&#8217;s past, conservatives simply don&#8217;t want to hear about them, or let children know about them.<\/p>\n<p>\\\\\\<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static01.nyt.com\/images\/2024\/07\/31\/business\/03Idea-AIJob\/03Idea-AIJob-superJumbo-v2.jpg?quality=75&amp;auto=webp\" width=\"250\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>NY Times, Emma Goldberg, 3 Aug 2024<\/strong>: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/08\/03\/business\/ai-replacing-jobs.html\">Will A.I. Kill Meaningless Jobs?<\/a>, subtitled &#8220;And is that so bad?&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>This has been a theme of Harari&#8217;s: the need for everyone to work will drop as productivity rises, via AI and other technologies. Thus, siphon off that productivity into a universal basic income, and whatnot. This piece begins, as so many effective pieces do, with an anecdote.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">When Brad Wang started his first job in the tech industry, right after college, he marveled at the way Silicon Valley had turned the drudgery of the workplace into a sumptuousness of game rooms, nap pods and leafy hiking trails. This is what it must have felt like to be a guest showing up for a party at Jay Gatsby\u2019s house, Mr. Wang thought.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">But under the glitz was a kind of hollowness. He hopped from one software engineering role to another, toiling on some projects that he felt were meaningless. At Google, he worked for 15 months on an initiative that higher-ups decided to keep pursuing even though they knew it would never launch. He then spent more than a year at Facebook on a product whose primary customer at one point described it to the engineers as unhelpful.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Over time, the pointlessness of his work began to incense Mr. Wang: \u201cIt\u2019s like baking a pie that\u2019s going right into the trash can.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">There is a long tradition in the corporate world of clocking in only to wonder: What\u2019s the point? During the pandemic, tens of thousands of people joined the subreddit page r\/antiwork to share quips about rejecting drudge work and, in most cases, all work. In the 1990s, \u201cOffice Space\u201d parodied the grind of corporate life, <a class=\"css-yywogo\" title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=to_e1N4xovQ\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">making famous the sentiment<\/a>: \u201cIt\u2019s not that I\u2019m lazy, it\u2019s that I just don\u2019t care.\u201d Long before that, Herman Melville\u2019s \u201cBartleby, the Scrivener\u201d followed a law clerk \u2014 the original quiet quitter \u2014 who responds to every one of his boss\u2019s demands by saying \u201cI would prefer not to,\u201d until he is put under arrest, and, eventually, dies.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"css-ew4tgv\" aria-label=\"companion column\"><\/aside>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>This is an example of a fundamental way in which society might change, a way that few people (except for some science fiction writers, though not all of them) anticipate, and a way that most people would reject.<\/p>\n<p>Long piece with comments by David Graeber and Kevin Kelly.<\/p>\n<p>\\\\\\<\/p>\n<p>Perhaps this cues this next piece. The past week the NY Times published a series called <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/spotlight\/dont-tell-my-friends\">&#8220;Don&#8217;t Tell My Friends, But&#8230;&#8221;<\/a>, in which various Times columnists explain what they think everyone else is wrong about. To me, it&#8217;s an inviting series of pieces that challenge conventional wisdom, which in my worldview, is usually about tribal mentality, and not &#8212; shall we call it &#8220;enlightened&#8221;? &#8212; understanding of reality. There are several others I&#8217;ll get to, though I&#8217;m not sure I agree with them all.<\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.markrkelly.com\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/NYTBrooks.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.markrkelly.com\/Blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/NYTBrooks-300x225.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"225\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>NY Times, David Brooks, 31 July 2024<\/strong>: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/interactive\/2024\/07\/31\/opinion\/ai-fears.html?unlocked_article_code=1.Ak4.5cDI.i_Pnmc7pZMy7&amp;smid=url-share\">Many People Fear A.I. They Shouldn&#8217;t<\/a> (free link)<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>A lot of my humanistic and liberal arts-oriented friends are deeply worried about artificial intelligence, while acknowledging the possible benefits. I\u2019m a humanistic and liberal arts type myself, but I\u2019m optimistic, while acknowledging the dangers.<\/p>\n<p>I\u2019m optimistic, paradoxically, because I don\u2019t think A.I. is going to be as powerful as many of its evangelists think it will be. I don\u2019t think A.I. is ever going to be able to replace us \u2014 ultimately I think it will simply be a useful tool. In fact, I think instead of replacing us, A.I. will complement us. In fact, it may make us free to be more human.<\/p>\n<p>Many fears about A.I. are based on an underestimation of the human mind. Some people seem to believe that the mind is like a computer. It\u2019s all just information processing, algorithms all the way down, so of course machines are going to eventually overtake us.<\/p>\n<p>This is an impoverished view of who we humans are. The Canadian scholar Michael Ignatieff expressed a much more accurate view of the human mind last year in the journal Liberties: \u201cWhat we do is not processing. It is not computation. It is not data analysis. It is a distinctively, incorrigibly human activity that is a complex combination of conscious and unconscious, rational and intuitive, logical and emotional reflection.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Yes, this last para is the key point. The human brain evolved for survival, and is not a data-processing machine; it relies mostly on various heuristics that we call intuition, or common sense.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Seen in passing on Facebook today: Understand science, and you&#8217;ll understand religion. (In particular, I&#8217;d say, cognitive sciences, and human evolution.) \\ Today&#8217;s topics: How Republicans accuse Democrats of being anti-family, while voting against programs to help families; How about &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.markrkelly.com\/Blog\/2024\/08\/04\/things-change-necessarily\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[48,50,84,12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-22442","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-conservative-resistance","category-human-progress","category-longtermism","category-religion"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.markrkelly.com\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22442","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.markrkelly.com\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.markrkelly.com\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.markrkelly.com\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.markrkelly.com\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=22442"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/www.markrkelly.com\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22442\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":22448,"href":"https:\/\/www.markrkelly.com\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22442\/revisions\/22448"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.markrkelly.com\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=22442"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.markrkelly.com\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=22442"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.markrkelly.com\/Blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=22442"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}