Magicians and Evangelicals and Traditionalists

It’s been said that charlatans — psychics, spoon-benders and so on — are happy to perform in front of an audience of scientists. Scientists are easily fooled, because they expect the universe to play fair. But charlatans will never perform in front of magicians. Magicians know all the tricks.

NY Times, Andrew Liptak, 16 Apr 2026: Two Magicians Warn the Supreme Court About Junk Science, subtitled “Penn & Teller filed a Supreme Court brief questioning the use of ‘investigative hypnosis’ in a death-penalty case in Texas.”

Penn Jillette, the talkative member of the magic act Penn & Teller, knows that people will find the duo’s new project a little surprising. It is a Supreme Court brief filed last month urging the justices to hear an appeal from Charles Don Flores, a death row inmate in Texas.

A key piece of evidence in the case was tainted by a police officer’s “investigative hypnosis” of a witness, the brief said.

On a video call from Las Vegas, Penn was quick to tell me that he does not know much about many things. But he said — and who could disagree? — that he is an expert in misleading people.

“I am bringing this to you with the utmost humility,” he said. “I am carny trash. I am uneducated. If you want to say I have a position of expertise, it is that I have lied to people onstage and gotten them to believe it. And I think I could do what that police officer did.”

My two favorite magicians. They have a long-standing gig at a hotel in Las Vegas, where we saw them way-away back in 2003. I like them because they don’t pretend they’re fooling you. They want you to know they’re just tricking you. In recent years we watch their TV show, which bounces around the TV schedule, though in Oakland it’s often on on Friday evenings after we’ve gotten home from our weekly dinner out. (Which we’re about to do.)

They don’t do this on their show, but at the performance we saw in Las Vegas, they ended with a trick they performed and then *showed the audience how they did it.*

Penn & Teller, as Jason Zinoman wrote last year in an appreciation in The New York Times, “revolutionized magic, demystifying and modernizing the form, while merging it with comedy.” That combination, Jason wrote, created “one of the great success stories of modern show business.”

The two magicians are ardent skeptics. They explored questionable and fraudulent practices over eight seasons of their Showtime series “Penn & Teller: BS!” One episode was devoted to the misuse of hypnosis.

Hypnosis being the core of the court case.

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This is not unrelated.

Friendly Atheist, Hemant Mehta, today: 70% of Americans say Trump isn’t religious. White evangelicals don’t care.

Subtitled: From “born again” claims to Bible photo-ops, the performance continues despite overwhelming skepticism.

70% of Americans say Donald Trump is not religious, according to new polling from the Pew Research Center. …

It raises two thoughts:

  1. That makes perfect sense. In no way is Trump virtuous or godly and it’s absurd for anyone to think he cares about a “higher power” when he already sees himself as God.
  2. How DARE anyone pretend he’s anything BUT a conservative Christian? He’s their problem, not ours. They OWN him. Everything he does is in the name of Jesus. You better BELIEVE he’s religious.

Somehow, both of those things are true.

With examples of conservative Christians who support Trump, despite everything. Photos of prayerful people around Trump in the Oval Office, and of Trump holding Bibles.

To a large extent, his Christian cosplaying has worked. In 2023, Republican voters said Donald Trump was more religious than Mitt Romney and Joe Biden. They just overlooked the fact that Trump was a thrice-married racist who paid hush money to porn stars he was having affairs with when his current wife was pregnant with his fifth child. That he was the Two Corinthians guy. That he said he doesn’t need forgiveness. That he couldn’t even name his favorite Bible verse.

My thought: this aligns with the idea of people being fooled by magic tricks — and by extension, charlatans bending spoons and whatnot. You can fool some of the people all the time.

And this is perhaps how religions survive. Perhaps this is a definition of the religiously devout.

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Here’s a long piece I noted yesterday but have not read through. I’ll read it as I post about it. OK, why are reactionaries taking over the world? I have my own ideas, but let’s see what David Brooks says.

The Atlantic, David Brooks, yesterday: History Is Running Backwards, subtitled “Why reactionaries are taking over the world”

Maybe you’ve seen photos of Tehran in the 1970s, just before the Islamic Revolution: images of young women going to work in miniskirts, of couples making out in parks while wearing bell-bottoms, of people at pools in bikinis. It looks like Paris or Milan or Los Angeles. But in 1979 the revolution happened, and now Tehran looks like something from an earlier century.

Sometimes I think that our whole world has become kind of like that—going backwards in time. The religious movements thriving in today’s secularized age are the traditionalist ones that dissent from large parts of contemporary culture—not only the Shiite Islam of post-revolution Iran, but Orthodox Judaism and conservative Catholicism. Young Americans are flooding into Eastern Orthodox churches.

Many of us thought that the world would get more democratic as it modernized, but for the past quarter century, we have seen a reversion to authoritarian strongmen. Donald Trump, acting like some 16th-century European prince, has made the presidency his own personal fiefdom. Vladimir Putin borrows ideas from reactionary thinkers such as Aleksandr Dugin—an Eastern Orthodox, anti-liberal philosopher who rejects the Enlightenment—to justify his imperial conquest of Ukraine.

We used to have a clear idea of where modernity was heading—toward greater autonomy and equality, secularism, stronger individual rights, cultural openness, and liberal democracy. Progress was supposed to lead to the expansion of individual choice in sphere after sphere. Science and reason would prosper while superstition and conspiracy-mongering would wither away.

Turns out that was yesterday’s vision of the future. Billions of people around the world looked at where history was heading and yelled: Stop! They see that future as too spiritually empty, too lonely, too technological, too polluted, too confusing, too incoherent. Whatever their specific complaint, they are driven by a sense of loss, a desire to go back to a simpler, happier, and more sustainable time. Part of the brilliance of the phrase Make America Great Again is that it taps into that sense of nostalgia and loss.

Really long. About half-way through:

What do the traditionalists offer as a replacement for contemporary culture?

Answers: roots, enchantment, moral order, protection against the cultural depredations of modernity. And then:

My problem with the traditionalists is that I don’t agree with them about what a flourishing life looks like. Traditionalists strike me as the kind of people who would score extremely low on the personality trait called “openness to experience.” They focus overwhelmingly on the secure base and seem to have no interest in daring adventures. They seem to want to lead stationary lives.

That’s fine. Different strokes for different folks. But the traditionalists distort history when they write it as if all people have always wanted stationary lives and our goal as a society should be to make stationary lives the norm.

And so on. My short answer: humans are beholden to primitive human nature, i.e. the priorities of basic survival, which we’ve not yet outgrown, and may never outgrow.

Posted in Human Nature, Religion, Science, Supernatural | Leave a comment

Christian Nationalist Theologians, and Pulp Fiction

  • Hegseth quotes Pulp Fiction;
  • Vance and others explain doctrine to the Pope;
  • Christian nationalists prefer nationalism over Christianity;
  • Homan and Vance tell the Pope to stay in his lane, as if war has nothing to do with morality;
  • Christian media always resorts to the OT, not the NT of Jesus;
  • And now Tucker Carlson has weird ideas about the Antichrist;
  • John Williams’ Schindler’s List
– – –

This is the eye-roller story that’s been going around today, e.g. Google News: pete hegseth pulp fiction

The Hollywood Reporter, today: Pete Hegseth Reads Tarantino’s Fake Bible Quote From ‘Pulp Fiction’ at Prayer Service

Subtitled: Samuel L. Jackson’s iconic speech gets presented as a Bible verse, with the Secretary of War vowing to strike down enemies with “great vengeance and furious anger.”

How many times have I noted that conservatives have trouble telling reality from fantasy?

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Other stories this week are about Trump officials explaining Catholic doctrine to the Pope, because he disapproves of Trump’s war against Iran. The arrogance of Christian nationalists.

The Atlantic, Tom Nichols, today: Pope James David Vance the First, subtitled “The vice president has decided he’s a more accomplished theologian than Leo XIV.”

The Trump administration doesn’t seem to have many rules, but one of them is that once the president picks a fight, his posse must show up to support him, no matter how ill-advised the conflict. And few senior officials are more eager to back up the boss in every embarrassing beef than Vice President Vance, who recently seems to have decided that he, and not Pope Leo XIV, is the true arbiter of Catholic doctrine.

Compared with how other religious politicians usually handle this.

Vance just had to speak up. He could have taken his cues from John F. Kennedy or Mario Cuomo, Catholic politicians who were careful to note that their faith was personal and important to them, but that in their public life, they must govern as Americans according to the Constitution. Vance decided on a different approach: The pope, he implied, wasn’t a very good, or very smart, Catholic.

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The running theme here is how American Christian nationalists are not actually Christians. They are Old Testament tribalists. They just use their religion as a marker of their tribe.

The Bulwark, Jonathan V. Last, today: If you ask Christian nationalists to choose between Christianity and nationalism, guess what they’ll pick?, subtitled “A final word on Trump vs. Pope Leo.”

In 2018 David Frum saw the world more clearly than I did. He wrote, “If conservatives become convinced that they cannot win democratically, they will not abandon conservatism. They will reject democracy.”

That was on January 18, 2018, less than a year into Trump’s presidency. Frum’s prediction has become one of the key insights for understanding our moment.

It is also immediately what I thought of when Donald Trump attacked the pope this weekend.

American Catholics have increasingly thrown in with Christian nationalism over the last decade. If they are asked to choose between Trump and the Catholic Church, some significant percentage of them are going to choose Trump.

The first thing that struck me about the Catholic Trump voters was that every single one of them thought Trump was doing a good-to-great job.

While they also say that Pope Leo is being “too political” for saying things that, to an outsider like me, sound like things that Jesus said. Blessed are the peacemakers, and so on.

Long piece, with statistics.

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Two more.

JMG, quoting Newsmax, 15 Apr 2026: Homan Wants To “Educate” Vatican On Immigration

And

The Guardian, yesterday: JD Vance defends Trump amid spat with Pope Leo: ‘Stick to matters of morality’, subtitled “Catholic vice-president effectively tells Leo to stay in his lane after pope criticized the White House over the Iran war”

Because… fighting wars has nothing to do with morality?

Yes yes, Iran is bad, even contemptible. It’s a religious theocracy even worse than what the US would become, if the Christian nationalists had their way. But Trump and his team are just incompetent. They are making things worse, not better.

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Media Matters, Payton Armstrong, 15 Apr 2026: Right-wing Christian media double down on supporting Trump’s Iran war, subtitled “King David himself did this when he found himself dealing with a nation that was barbaric”

Once again, they resort to support from the OT, Old Testament, a model for barbaric primitive tribalism, and ignore anything Jesus might have said in the NT. (Not, just to mention, that I endorse everything Jesus said! Far from it. Will get to that. The blog is an ongoing exploration.)

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On one level, this is hilarious. First, because this guy used to be on Trump’s side.

JMG, today: Tucker Carlson Suggests That Trump Is The Antichrist

And second, because when you think that demons infest the world, you see them everywhere. Psychology.

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And as I write this post I’m listening to this soundtrack. I have the 1993 CD. As often with movie soundtracks, it has a great opening theme, which reappears a couple times, and much filler music. Yet in this case a lot of the filler music is quite beautiful too. This won him an Oscar. And it’s one of the few movie soundtracks that has become a concert staple, along with IIRC, Zimmer’s Gladiator.

 

Posted in Lunacy, Music, Politics, Religion | Leave a comment

An Optimistic Big View

  • Peter Leyden on how the arc of human history is toward cooperation;
  • Once again, evidence shows that same-sex marriage is a “win for children and society”, and I suggest why this may be so;
  • While Stephen Miller resorts to bigotry to accuse immigrants of crime, despite the evidence;
  • Slate’s Molly Olmstead on Trump and Jesus images;
  • Short items by Amanda Marcotte and Jason Campbell;
  • And a Cri de Coeur by Adam-Troy Castro about how the Bible is an excuse for not knowing anything.
– – –

Step out far enough, as most people, huddling fearfully together in their tribes and afraid of everyone different, do not, and this is the big picture. If conservatives don’t dismantle everything, they way they are the US.

Big Think, Peter Leyden, 14 Apr 2026: The arc of human history is toward cooperation, not division, subtitled “Globalization did not fail — it improved the lives of billions of people. The next phase of human development could push us to a new level of global abundance.”

KEY TAKEAWAYS

  • In this op-ed, futurist Peter Leyden argues that humanity is fundamentally interconnected, with shared decency revealed through lived experiences across cultures.
  • He describes modern history as a shift from a divided post-WWII world to a globalized era that greatly improved living standards but also triggered backlash in the West.
  • Leyden contends that despite rising populism, the world will continue toward deeper integration and a new stage of progress driven by advanced technologies.

And here’s the opening of this essay:

In the early 1980s, I hitchhiked from London to Cape Town at the tip of South Africa. The overland trip took more than six months, and I traveled about 11,000 miles — almost half the circumference of the Earth. I dropped down through Europe, crossed into Morocco via the Strait of Gibraltar, and then traveled across North Africa. From Egypt, I followed the Nile all the way to its source in East Africa before making my way down to South Africa, which was still under apartheid at the time.

I was no newbie to hitchhiking. Since high school, I had hitched rides across the United States numerous times, traveling from coast to coast on many of the nation’s major interstate freeways. Hitching was also the main way I moved between my home in the Midwest and my university on the East Coast. I loved hitchhiking because it offered a fantastic way to get to know an amazing cross section of people from many different classes and races and walks of life. Hitching is particularly good at connecting you to those living at the margins of society — the kinds of people many of us don’t encounter often through normal channels and the media. Upper-middle-class people almost never pick you up.

I learned something hitching that I later used in my career as a journalist. Everyone is an expert on at least one thing: themselves. All you have to do is ask a person open-ended questions and be genuinely interested, and they will talk forever about almost anything they have ever done. I used to climb out of trucks after 10 hours of driving through the night and know the most intimate details about the truck driver’s life — and he would not know a single detail about me, including my name. I was fine with that. I knew my story, and I wanted to learn as much as I could about him.

The cure for conservatism, I suspect, is to meet lots of people unlike yourself. Get out of bubble. Move out of your small town.

I was friends with all of them, and they each were friends with me. We were all just human beings on planet Earth.

The essay then summarizes three or four stages in recent human development, which I’ll indicate by his headings:

  • Stage One in human development: The post-World War II era
  • Stage Two in human development: The era of globalization
  • The current backlash to globalization from the incumbents
  • Stage Three in human development: Toward planetary abundance

And the world isn’t going back to some mythical ‘golden age,’ despite Trump and MAGA. I haven’t heard of this author before, but he has a Substack, The Great Progression, on which this essay is his current post, and a book on this topic coming out in January 2027.

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If actual evidence matters (it doesn’t seem to, to conservatives), here’s yet another study that challenges the animus of conservatives against same-sex couples. Conservatives are perpetually scared of things that don’t exist, or that won’t come true — anything different.

LA Times, Benjamin Karney, 14 Apr 2026: The results are in, and same-sex marriage was a win for children and society

Prior to the Supreme Court’s 2015 Obergefell decision, opponents raised alarms about the severe and immediate harms that would surely occur if marriages between same-sex couples were recognized nationally. Afterward, when those harms failed to materialize, those voices grew quieter, but some have been returning with renewed vigor, in hopes that the current Supreme Court, after overturning Roe vs. Wade, may be willing to overturn the Obergefell decision as well — though the justices declined to do so in November.

To build public support for rolling back marriage rights, new campaigns have been repeating the claims that legal recognition of same-sex marriages may harm children or even the stability of different-sex marriages. These are some of the same concerns that were raised in the years prior to the Obergefell decision. They were groundless then, and, more than 10 years later, the data confirm these fears to be unfounded.

In 2024, for the 20th anniversary of the first legal marriages of same-sex couples (in Massachusetts), my lab at UCLA joined with a team of researchers at Rand Corp. to review what social scientists learned over those two decades about the consequences of legalizing same-sex marriage.

And,

After 20 years of legalized marriage for same-sex couples, 96 independent studies confirm there is no evidence for the harms critics predicted. Our review identified not a single study that observed significant negative consequences of legalizing same-sex marriage. Instead, the research literature identified many significant positive consequences.

Why would this be? The article here doesn’t identify the obvious answer. When same-sex couples have children, they’re making a deliberate, and sometimes very expensive, decision. They’re far more invested, on average, than straight couples, who often have children by accident, so to speak.

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Similarly.

Robert Reich, today: Stephen Miller’s Strait of Hormuz, subtitled “His crackdown on immigrants is assumed to be good for America as long as it causes immigrants more pain than it does us. Same ‘logic’ as Trump is using in Iran.”

Friends,

Trump’s chief bigot, Stephen Miller, said on Fox News that immigrants to the United States bring problems that extend through generations.

“Not only is the first generation unsuccessful,” Miller claimed. “You see persistent issues in every subsequent generation. So you see consistent high rates of welfare use, consistent high rates of criminal activity, consistent failures to assimilate.”

Again, look at the evidence; this isn’t true. Immigrants work hard to get into the US, and have every motivation to behave and not break the law and work hard. Just as the ancestors of Stephen Miller and millions of other descended from Europeans did. (As my family did.) Back to Reich:

Bullshit. The children and grandchildren and great-grandchildren of most immigrants are models of upward mobility in America.

In a recent paper, researchers found that immigrants today are no slower to move into the middle class than immigrants were a century ago. In fact, no matter when their parents came to the U.S. or what country they came from, children of immigrants have higher rates of upward mobility than their U.S.-born peers.

Stephen Miller’s great-great-grandfather was born in a dirt-floor shack in the village of Antopol, a shtetl in what is now Belarus. He came to America in 1903 with $8 in his pocket and spoke no English. Three generations later, little Stephen was born in 1985 to American parents but somehow developed a visceral hatred for immigrants.

Well, I would say, their visceral hatred is an expression of base, tribal, human nature, in which everyone different is assumed to be inferior.

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Briefly noted.

Slate, Molly Olmstead, today: It Turns Out, the President Can’t Get Away With Insulting the Pope and Portraying Himself as Jesus, subtitled “At least, he can’t anymore.”

There’s a typical pattern when Donald Trump does something outrageous: His critics get angry, his defenders are belligerently inflexible, and everyone walks away mad—except for Trump, who breezes through to the next news cycle. But this weekend, when Trump went on a posting spree about the pope and Jesus, Trump’s defenders went off script. Instead of taking a stance of trollish defiance, they condemned the president.

The two posts, published Sunday night on TruthSocial, hit different nerves. The first, a wall of text, responded to Pope Leo’s criticism of the war in Iran by blasting Leo as “WEAK on crime.” In the post, Trump told the pope to “get his act together,” and suggested that Leo should be grateful to him because if Trump “wasn’t in the White House, Leo wouldn’t be in the Vatican.” The second post, which he published an hour later, was an A.I.-generated illustration of Trump as a Christ figure in robes healing a man on his sickbed while surrounded by troops, medical professionals, fighter jets, bald eagles, and praying Americans in a state of awe.

Also, I saw suggestions on Facebook today that someone might have told Trump that that Trump-as-Jesus image was “doctored,” and he thought that meant he was being portrayed as a doctor, and so he went with that. Makes as much sense as anything else.

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Salon, Amanda Marcotte, today: Trump is right: He is MAGA’s Jesus, subtitled “The president’s blasphemy exposes the truth about the Christian right”

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Media Matters, Jason Campbell, 14 Apr 2026: Even some in right-wing media are now asking questions about Trump’s age and mental acuity

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Let me end with this screed, or Cri de Coeur, by Adam-Troy Castro, on his Patreon yesterday.

Adam-Troy Castro, yesterday: Life Wisdom: The Bible As An Excuse for Not Knowing Anything

Look, I understand the category confusion, but the existence of a sub-category called “religious assholes” is not the same thing as saying that the pie chart of people who are religious and assholes is just a drawing of a circle.

I am so not saying that.

I have known many, many religious people who read widely and well, outside their opiate of choice.

But there are certain behaviors that indict you for using your religion to justify being a asshole, as when people hold up their religious tome of choice and declare that they just don’t see why anyone would ever pick up any other book. I am talking about people who say that the Bible tells them all they want to know and that any other book is superfluous, or that the existence of any other book is a foolish insult to their faith, or that books aside from the one they claim to base their lives on but apparently have not read are suspect objects that probably need to be banned.

I am finally talking about Speaker Mike Johnson, who upon being asked how his religion affects his stances, says that he can just pick up the Bible and get anything he wants to know about “any subject under the sun.”

There seem to be many people who believe this. As if — as I’ve said again and again — they think nothing has been, or can be, learned since Biblical times.

Castro then imagines taking Mike Johnson at his word and asking various questions. I’ll quote just a few.

I would like to ask him to quote the Bible verses, in New or Old Testaments or in the apocrypha, that help him with the following vital problems:

Mike, what can you tell me about the transmission of epidemics?

Mike, what can you tell me about the things that can go wrong with jumbo jet passenger planes, including one from a few years back that literally made planes override pilots and navigate into the ground?

Mike, what can you tell me about the specific history that led to ethnic strife in India and Pakistan?

Mike, did our founding fathers really intend this to be a “Christian” Nation, or did they bend over backward preventing that terrifying fate from overtaking it?

Mike, what specific arguments between abolitionists and pro-slavery forces led to regional conflicts before our Civil War?

Much else. And quoting a wise passage from The Lord of the Rings:

Frodo: I can’t do this, Sam.

Sam: I know. It’s all wrong. By rights we shouldn’t even be here. But we are. It’s like in the great stories, Mr. Frodo. The ones that really mattered. Full of darkness and danger, they were. And sometimes you didn’t want to know the end. Because how could the end be happy? How could the world go back to the way it was when so much bad had happened? But in the end, it’s only a passing thing, this shadow. Even darkness must pass. A new day will come. And when the sun shines it will shine out the clearer. Those were the stories that stayed with you. That meant something, even if you were too small to understand why. But I think, Mr. Frodo, I do understand. I know now. Folk in those stories had lots of chances of turning back, only they didn’t. They kept going. Because they were holding on to something.

Frodo: What are we holding onto, Sam?

Sam: That there’s some good in this world, Mr. Frodo… and it’s worth fighting for.”

Much more.

Posted in Conservative Resistance, Human Nature, Human Progress, The Gays, Tribalism | Leave a comment

MAGA is for OT, not NT

  • John Pavlovitz on how MAGA hates the Pope’s Jesus;
  • The Pope denounces the US “delusion of omnipotence”;
  • William Saletan on the GOP acting like bigots;
  • Tom Nichols on Trump’s latest meltdown;
  • Sean Hannity knows better than the Pope;
  • More about that teleporting guy;
  • And another Republican concerned about alien bases;
  • Even MAGA die-hards have rebuked Trump about his Jesus image;
  • Trump despicably posts a fake photo of Springsteen;
  • Jerry Coyne recalls the Jefferson Bible;
  • Items about how Trump took down that Jesus image;
  • NYT’s Frank Bruni about Pete Hegseth’s religious zealotry;
  • And how Trump supporters survive by cognitive dissonance.
– – –

Items from the past three days, briefly noted.

John Pavlovitz, 10 Apr 2026: MAGA Christians Don’t Hate The Pope; They Hate His Jesus.

As I’ve said over and over, MAGA is more about OT than about NT. Which sorta undermines the meaning of being “Christian.”

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JMG, from Associated Press, 11 Apr 2026: Pope Leo Denounces US “Delusion Of Omnipotence”

In his strongest words yet, Pope Leo XIV on Saturday denounced the “delusion of omnipotence” that is fueling the U.S.-Israel war in Iran and demanded political leaders stop and negotiate peace.

I think this goes to (arrogant) idea of American exceptionalism.

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The Bulwark, Will Saletan, today: They’re Not Bigots. They Just Think, Talk, and Act Like They Are., subtitled “The House GOP’s ‘Sharia-Free America Caucus’ is an un-American fraud.”

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The Atlantic, Tom Nichols, today: Trump’s Latest Meltdown, subtitled “Attacking the pope was only part of the president’s disturbing night on Truth Social.”

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Media Matters, 10 Apr 2026: Sean Hannity questions the Pope’s knowledge of the Bible

Hannity: “Did you ever hear the story about David slaying Goliath?”

Once again, appeal to the OT.

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JMG, from CNN, today: Teleporting FEMA Official: My Dead Girlfriend Once Levitated My Car And I Met Satan While Hiking In Spain

Once again, a loose grasp upon reality, addled no doubt by religion.

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And again:

JMG, 13 Apr 2026: Burchett Begs Trump To Release Files On Alien Bases

There are no alien bases. Religion makes you credulous.

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Mediaite, 13 Apr 2026: ‘Gross Blasphemy!’ MAGA Die-Hards Deliver Rare Rebuke of Trump for Posting ‘Unacceptable’ Meme Depicting Himself as Jesus

Even MAGA — ironically — has its limits.

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JMG, from The Mirror, 12 Apr 2026: Trump Posts Gruesome Fake Photo Of Springsteen

What a despicable man, Trump.

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Jerry Coyne, 13 Apr 2026: Monday: Hili dialogue

These occasional “Hili dialogues” are compilations of numerous topics. This one concerns National Thomas Jefferson Day, and the famous Jefferson Bible, his personal redaction of the NT to omit all supernatural passages while saving the supposed wisdom of Jesus.

As with the writings of Thomas Paine, the Jefferson Bible undercuts claims by the right that the founders of the US intended a Christian nation.

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NY Times, 13 Apr 2026: Trump Takes Down Post Depicting Himself as a Jesus-Like Figure, subtitled “The image, which President Trump shared on Truth Social shortly after criticizing Pope Leo, depicted him as a divine leader healing the sick.”

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And,

Washington Post, 13 Apr 2026: Trump post appearing to depict him as Jesus removed amid backlash, subtitled “Before the post was deleted, evangelical and Catholic allies called the image blasphemous in a rare public break from a base that has largely stood by Trump.”

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The current administration is infected by religious zealotry.

NY Times, opinion by Frank Bruni, 13 Apr 2026: Pete Hegseth’s Gospel of Carnage [gift link]

I guess a zealot, by nature, can’t hide — too extreme are his convictions, too grand his designs, too consuming his arrogance. And so, over recent weeks, Pete Hegseth has fully revealed himself.

He has made clear that every missile the United States fires, every bomb it drops, every Iranian it kills, is for Jesus. Praise be the Lord, who has given America the power to wipe out an entire civilization. That’s what President Trump threatened to do — in an intermittently jaunty social media post, no less — and Hegseth gave no indication of unwillingness to execute that order.

He brandishes assertions about God’s will with the exaggerated brio of an electronics merchant pressing fliers on pedestrians passing by his new megastore: Have I got a holy war for you. Embrace the death. Exult over the destruction. What only looks like hell is a ticket to heaven.

Hitchens: religion poisons everything. The other side feels exactly the same way as Hegseth about their religion.

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AlterNet, Matthew Rozsa, 12 Apr 2026: Trump supporters have a secret weapon against bad news about him: report

This is about cognitive dissonance.

President Donald Trump supporters have stood by him despite his documented abuses of power, rhetorically violent attempt to overturn the 2020 election and numerous alleged instances of sexual misconduct. To those outside the so-called Make America Great Again (MAGA) movement, this is mystifying — yet a recent study reveals the surprising reason why.

…Will follow up with this tomorrow.

Posted in conservatives, Religion | Leave a comment

Steven Pinker, WHEN EVERYONE KNOWS THAT EVERYONE KNOWS…

Subtitled: Common Knowledge and the Mysteries of Money, Power, and Everyday Life
(Scribner, 2025, xv + 364pp, including 64pp of notes, references, and index.)

This latest Pinker book, which follows ENLIGHTENMENT NOW and RATIONALITY, seems at first glance a bit more abstruse or academic without quite the verve of theme that distinguishes most of his books. Yet upon review it is, rather like Harari’s NEXUS, nevertheless full of fascinating revelations and insights that make it key to Pinker’s oeuvre. In fact, it shows that Pinker’s concerns about the human mind, human nature, the nature of rationality and so on, extend into sociology and the many ways humans interact. (Rather like the way Harari’s exploration of information extends into politics.) All of his books, with only an exception or two, are of a piece.

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Key Points

Ch1 explains ‘common knowledge’ as what people know that they are aware other people know too (as distinct from the common use of the phrase, as knowledge that most people are aware of individually). Common knowledge enables ‘coordination games’ between different people, to enable cooperation. These can rely on focal points, aka conventions, which match what Harari calls ‘fictions’. Examples of viral memes, why dictators suppress expressions of opinion that generate common knowledge. Such ‘common knowledge’ can include unverifiable beliefs, as in religion and politics. Social media can generate shaming mobs, the examples from literature.

Ch2 explains how common knowledge relates to common sense, in three particular ways: you can deduce facts about the world from what people don’t know; an infinite vortex of “I know that he knows that I know…” is unavoidable; and rational agents with the same understanding of the world must arrive at the same conclusion: they cannot ‘agree to disagree’. And explaining why people still do disagree.

Ch3 looks at examples from game theory and how common knowledge applies: the Prisoners’ Dilemma, the tragedy of the commons, two people deciding where to meet. How cultures settle on different focal points. Coordination games of Chicken, and Hawk-Dove, and the Madman strategy.

Ch 4 explores the limits of recursive thinking in “you know that I know that you know…” situations. We can’t go more than four layers deep, so we have ways of thinking in ‘chunks’ and mental scripts to reduce such complexity. These involve reflexive or self-referential statements, or self-evidence from public events. People learn to anticipate what others think, usually not correctly.

Ch 5 considers altruism, why some donors choose to remain anonymous, and the Effective Altruism movement. Then looks at four styles of social relationships (or coordination games) in human cultures: Communal sharing; Authority ranking; Equality matching; and Market Pricing. These reflect the tensions between intuitive human relationships and the formal institutions that underlie modernity. One recent result of these tensions is modern ‘cancel culture.’ Many social practices are efforts to generate or avoid the common knowledge that would allow people to coordinate their social games.

Ch 6 looks at emotions, both involuntary and conscious: laughing, crying, blushing, staring, glaring. The first three evolved to establish certain kinds of common knowledge. Author finds Koestler’s ideas unsatisfying, and appeals instead to an early work by Darwin, explaining the evolutionary utility of such traits.

Ch 7 concerns words and innuendo and euphemism, the latter as ways to provide plausible deniability. Direct speech generates common knowledge; indirect speech and expressions are intentionally to avoid establishing common knowledge, but to leave things vague or ambiguous.

Ch 8 addresses the “canceling instinct,” as ways to suppress common knowledge, even in academic situations. People cite moral principles or other rationales for why some things should not be known; author favors intellectual freedom.

Ch 9 addresses why some things should not be common knowledge, that some knowledge should be private. We have a propensity to overshare, e.g. on social media. Examples of problems with complete honesty. Social interactions depend on conventions, which are idealizations, and would be undermined by by ‘radical honesty.’ With final thoughts about the power of human recursive thought, and how it makes human progress limitless.

**

Detailed Notes

Preface

The author, like everyone, constantly thinks about what other people think, and so on. Common knowledge. The idea goes back to his book The Stuff of Thought (which I’ve not read). Common knowledge explains various features of social organization. … all the way to academic cancel culture.

Like Words and Rules (which I’ve not read either) this book features results of author’s own research.

1, The Emperor, the Elephant, and the Matzo Ball: what common knowledge is, and why it matters, p1

It’s the difference between the private knowledge of everyone seeing that the emperor is naked, and everyone knowing that they all know it. Example cartoons where knowing is depicted as seeing. This book aims to bridge psychology and cognitive science. Main ideas, p5. “Common knowledge” in this book means something different from the ordinary English sense. Mutual knowledge; other terms 7t. The meanings of words are the most prominent kind of common knowledge in our lives.

Language is the basic tool of social activity. It enables reciprocal altruism, p9, as modeled by the Prisoners’ Dilemma. Various moral sentiments, 9b, evolved to implement the strategy of reciprocity. (Author has told this story in five books.) But along with cooperation is the problem of coordination. When coordination works, everyone wins. Consider the game Rendezvous; each of two people tries to guess where they will meet. They’re missing common knowledge. Failing direct speech, the next best thing is common salience, or a focal point. Some random reason why one or the other choice might come to mind. Such a focal point, or commonly known solutions, are called conventions. These match the ‘fictions’ in Harari’s three books, 12b, quote 13t. Author would put it differently: the world is built on conventions that allow us to coordinate and are self-reinforcing because they are common knowledge, 13.4. [[ this is a good point for those who might feel that Harari trivializes things. Or object to religions being called ‘stories’. ]] Common knowledge creates nonphysical realities. These issues of cooperation create their own complex situations… Four examples.

Consider viral memes on social media. One example was mathematical. From 2015. The Cheryl’s birthday problem.

The turning point with home computers came in 1984 with the Apple Macintosh. The GUI had been tried before, it just hadn’t taken hold. The famous Super Bowl ad by Ridley Scott may have done it. Everyone who saw it knew that many other people were seeing it. Other products did the same thing. Super Bowl ads became as popular as the game itself. In 2022 came Bitcoin. Details about currency and blockchains. It’s all about expectation. Depending on ‘greater fools.’ Eventually bubbles can pop, as happened when the value of Bitcoin sank of 75%. Etc. Sam Bankman-Fried. Larry David in his ad was right.

Then there’s why dictators suppress expressions of opinion. Demonstrations generate a kind of common knowledge. Gandhi. Other regimes came to the same fate. (Covered in Better Angels.) With communications methods accelerating them. China has gotten good at subverting such nonviolent resistance movements. Solzhenitsyn on lying, 36.3. Example of a 2013 tweet about AIDS that went viral. Ruining her life. Justine Sacco. The beginning of cancel culture. Example from 2022 by Jonathan Haidt. Targeting the Like, Share, and Retweet buttons. Author can take this explanation further. Such shared posts become common knowledge. This is the big difference with social v traditional media: people can *generate* common knowledge.

This can generate a social media shaming mob. (Comment about unverifiable beliefs, 31.4. 31.5. about religion and political affiliations.) Examples. Norms are reinforced by punishing flouters. Instead of spectacles in the public square, now we have social media. Everyone eventually needs to watch everyone else. But why do some of these ‘punishments’ seem extreme, even sadistic? To clearly signal which faction people align with. Intentions matter. (Interesting aside about how archaic system of justice ignored intentions.) Similarly consequences matter.

Several works of fiction depict punitive mobbing. Koestler’s Darkness at Noon; Miller’s The Crucible; Orwell; Shirley Jackson.

We’ve considered logic, economics, politics, and public morals. One more key idea: social relationships are coordination games. And this depends on common knowledge. Shifts in relationship involve renegotiating common knowledge; and thus the manners of human social life. But why isn’t common knowledge common knowledge? We speak of it as conceptual metaphor. E.g., argument is war; love is a journey. Common knowledge is a conspicuous sight or sound. Example from When Harry Met Sally. Other examples, p40.

2, Common Knowledge and Common Sense, p43

The logic of common knowledge is often an insult to common sense. This chapter discusses three such cases:

1, you can deduce facts about the world from what people don’t know;
2, people do really need to think in an infinite vortex of “I know that he knows that I know….”
3, rational agents with the same understanding of the world must arrive at the same conclusion: they cannot agree to disagree.

Consider the brainteaser in which “three logicians walk into a bar.” Explained 45t. Another problem (from Asimov, Gamow, and Gardner) about cheating wives, later updated to cheating husbands. And other versions. Author gives his own version, about psychologists with spinach in their teeth. Explanation. Variations.

There are fictional examples, e.g. a David Lodge novel, the mystery genre in general. Example of Poe. This general game of psyching-out others extends to logic puzzles, mystery stories, and jokes. Examples.

Example of James and Charlotte deciding which coffee shop to meet at; it’s always a dilemma. The Electronic Mail game. Example of two army divisions coordinating an attack. Or fighter pilots. There are loopholes in all these scenarios. Examples of distributed computing and joggers at crosswalks. Goodbyes.

Agreeing to disagree. This can’t work; equal priors lead to equal posteriors. The background is Bayes’s Rules (covered in earlier book). It’s more or less common sense, though sometimes human flout it. … there’s no splitting the difference, etc etc. Facts don’t care about your feelings, etc. Example of who will win a literary prize. How arguments should go, diagram p69. Yet in real life people disagree even when they exchange their best-informed opinions. Why?

In mathematics it often works like the idea, where two parties will talk each other into changing their opinions. But most people anticipate future values. Which should have already been taken into account. Don’t follow hot tips, etc; don’t try to outsmart the market. Others like will have already heard about those tips. An issue is the assumption of equal priors. And people can believe anything they want, as their priors. E.g., not believing that Trump didn’t win the election. Maybe different priors are due to different backgrounds, and so on. But: it’s not about you. Your background doesn’t affect what’s true or false about the world. So why *do* people disagree? Because they’re convinced they’re smarter than the other guy. People condemn self-serving decisions in *others*. And people deceive themselves. In refined debating forums the style is gladiatorial combat, unshakable confidence on either side. In contrast are the forecasters, or the rationality community, or Bayesians. P75. Recall Lakoff and Johnson’s conceptual metaphors. Try to imagine them differently. Rational argument should be more like a dance than a war.

3, Fun and Games, p77

This chapter considers more common situations where common knowledge is a regular feature of human social life. These are ‘games’ from game theory. First we consider the Prisoners’ Dilemma, which is different from coordination games. See diagram. These ‘games’ don’t have winners or losers, but they often have an ‘equilibrium’. The game demonstrates the virtues of being altruistic. The tragedy of the commons is similar. But many human predicaments are Prisoners’ Dilemmas. The James & Charlotte dilemma, of where to meet for coffee, has two equilibria. How to reach one or the other? Here’s where common knowledge is necessary. With cell phones? But words are cheap. People and animals can lie. And would lie given a conflict of interest. Conversation is possible because of the default maxim of honesty. Con artists are the exception. Why did language evolve? Perhaps simply because it cheaply generates the common knowledge that makes social coordination possible, 84m.

Recall Thomas Schelling’s idea of common salience, or a focal point. Focus on whatever pops into your mind. When culture settled on a focal point, it becomes a convention. E.g. seven days in the week. Different cultures settle on different things; thus the variation among cultures. Thus, there are not Prisoners’ Dilemmas behind every tree. An arbitrary focal point can break such a dilemma. But sometimes interests conflict. Consider the ‘battle of the sexes.’ See an opera or a ball game? Bargaining.

These ideas go back to the Enlightenment. Example from Rousseau. The Stag Hunt. Similar to actual hunts where everyone must cooperate. Examples in earlier chapters match these ideas.

One more coordination game is called Chicken. Recall the James Dean movie, and also Bertrand Russell about the cold war. Many international conflicts follow this pattern. 96m. A similar conflict prototype is the Hawk-Dove game. Acted out by any two birds. Natural selection favors winning, but even more strongly if favors not dying. Numerous wars throughout history. Possession is nine-tenths of the law. One strategy here is the madman strategy, of relinquishing control. Recall Dr. Strangelove. One solution is a world government. In practice we’ve had the Long Peace since World War II, due to the territorial integrity norm: international borders are grandfathered in. That didn’t stop Russia in Ukraine. Yet, no nation has gone out of existence through conquest in this period. Also, the use of mediators and arbitrators. The Pope; the International Court of Justice. Unwritten rules to settle disputes among rural ranchers, etc. Thus legal systems are not just coercive, but expressive. The laws become self-enforcing. That doesn’t mean we can defund the police.

Ch4, Reading the Mind of a Mind Reader, p105

Examples of layers of ‘you know I know that you know…’ etc. If common knowledge entails such recursive thinking, why are these examples so difficult to think about?  There are three main theories.

One is that it’s recursive, but that leads to an infinite number of propositions, which could not fit into a finite skull. There are ways of reducing this. Second, a reflexive representation. And third, self-evidence or conspicuity. Which of these do people actually use? First, we know children realize ‘theories of mind’ fairly early. Studies have been done. Children start to get second-order thinking around seven or eight. An age that’s been called the Age of Reason. How many levels can people think? Examples p116. Four; people had trouble with five. But it’s not that simple of course. … This works via content-addressable memory, represented as a single neural circuit. Thus you can’t not think about a polar bear. People fuse a collection of ideas into a ‘chunk’. Like breaking a phone number into chunks. Some chunks have their own words: bluff, deceive, doubt, etc. Mental scripts like “affair” and “scandal” and “argument” help us automatically extend recursive situations…

Two other theories of how people represent common knowledge. One is a reflexive or self-referential statement…  Another is self-evidence. Such as public events. Example of coral using the full moon as a focal point for spawning.

Studies author has done with grad and post-doctoral students. Working alone or in groups. Examples of how much each person knows. The results were more or less rational, with blind spots.

Other experiments… Leads to ‘expectation’, beliefs about other people’s beliefs. A beauty contest. Experiments about trying to guess the most common guesses. They choose differently than their own favorites. Economists worry about things like these. Richard Thaler. Jumps in prices of mutual funds. Meme stocks. Bubbles and crashes, etc. Bank runs. Examples. Toilet paper in 2020. Example of Family Feud, trying to guess what other people most often think. And the American primary system for presidential elections, how small unrepresentative states set ‘momentum’ for the rest of the nation. Biden dropping out. (These are all cases of recursive mentalizing.) One more case: Kitty Genovese in Queens. The facts of the actual story were much more modest than had been reported. Still, bystander apathy exists. Everyone assumes someone else will get involved. Experiments with students. More examples. Volunteer’s dilemmas.

Ch5, The Department of Social Relations, p153

Author recalls learning in sixth grade about the Ladder of Charity, due to Maimonides. A ladder with 8 rungs, p154-5. Other rabbis had similar ideas. Larry David brought the ideas to life in Curb Your Enthusiasm. Whether donors remain anonymous or not. Gates, Jobs. Author did research into this area. It’s all about altruism. Then why do some donors wish to remain anonymous? Something called partner choice. The receivers of donations can choose who to deal with. All of this relates to the Effective Altruism movement, EA. Author studied whether this ladder makes intuitive sense today. Mostly, but not entirely. …  we’ll see how levels of mutual knowledge govern the coordination games that underpin our social relations, 166m.

Consider a number of social paradoxes, 166-7.

These involve detection of genuine traits like honesty and fairness with ‘virtue signaling’. Social relationships are long games. Go back to Rendezvous. Relationships, friendships, are matters of common knowledge. Examples and details.

Alan Fiske has a theory of social relationships based on universals and diversity in human cultures. Three or four kinds of social relationships, or coordination games. First is Communal sharing, or communality. Solidarity is physical closeness, kindship, being made of the same flesh. Having the same mind. Details, including ancestry and gods. Preposterous beliefs, 173b. Nonverbal except for rituals.

Next is Authority Ranking: hierarchies. Common focal points like Hawk-Dove. Those on top are typically bigger or higher or earlier. Signals of dominance, like loud motorcycles. Reputation. Face. Facework: see list 176m. Overlapping this is Leader-Follower, 178.

Fiske’s third model is Equality Matching, equity or fairness. Relationships to create fairness. The Divide the Dollar game. Which explains the evolution of fairness.

Naturally these models are mixed and matched differently in different cultures. Some models can be applied where they don’t belong, creating confusion. Examples 184b.

Fisk’s fourth model is Market Pricing. Not to be mixed with Communal Sharing. The economic sphere, or the ‘rational-legal’ system governed by formal rules. [[ Constitution of Knowledge? ]] Representatives, not strongmen. Universities too, where friction between two grounds of belief has led to today’s cancel culture (Ch8). The tension between intuitive human relationships and formal institutions underlies the discontent of modernity.

These relationships are not just between individuals, but between classes, races, religions, etc. Communal outrage is analogous to a public insult. A recurring plotline in human history. Examples, up to Gaza. These aren’t revenge so much as solutions to two coordination games. Hawk-dove, and stag hunt. Entire nations act as if they’re more concerned about face than pursuing any rational strategy. Examples. More about quest for standing and revenge, than struggle for resources. Today, we have all these nuclear weapons. They’re status symbols. Thus the nuclear taboo.

Many social practices are efforts to generate or avoid the common knowledge that would allow people to coordinate their social games.

Ch6, Laughing, Crying, Blushing, Staring, Glaring, p193

About the muscles in the human face, the emotions it can express, how they’re common all over the world, and are similar to those of our primate cousins. (Note that some emotions depend on head or body position.) Then there’s laughter. Which is very different among people. Tears, blushing, gazing. All but the last are involuntary, and they can be understood as ways to generate common knowledge.

The study of humor is rather humorless. Author tried to explain this in How the Mind Works. Laughter can challenge a dominance hierarchy, or it can reinforce a communality relationship. One researcher actually analyzed a thousand instances of laughter. It’s usually public. It’s contagious. It’s involuntary. Much laughter is not in response to anything humorous. Laughter can be hurtful. (Obama and Trump.) So we come to the function of laughter. Humans have the social models discussed earlier; laughter is a way to undermine them. Climbing off the hierarchy. Communal sharing rather than authority ranking. [[ This is why Trump et al have no sense of humor. ]] And laughter, such as teasing and self-deprecation, disarms the battle for hierarchical dominance. Further: humor can challenge any arbitrary convention. This covers other examples of humor. Realize that humor is focused on jokes; jokes are a technology to generate a jolt of humor. Examples from Arthur Koestler. The resolution to an incongruity.

Crying. The oppose of laughter perhaps. Expressing sadness, from loss, defeat, or humiliation. Helplessness. A signal of surrender and of neediness. Arising from infants’ need to attention. But it can also be a source of pleasure, thus ‘tearjerker’. Crying for joy. Love and compassion in others: being touched, and moved. Certain memories. Examples. How to make sense of these? Examples of memories that can trigger tears. P208. A tearjerker is a kind of controlled dose of harmful stimuli, like hot peppers and saunas. Koestler’s ideas are not satisfying. Author has different ideas.

Go back to Darwin’s forgotten masterpiece about emotions. Three principles: serviceable habitats. Antithesis; examples of animal behaviors. Humor savors an infirmity; weeping savors a virtue. The sources are opposites of each other. But why are these emotions conspicuously displayed? Perhaps to advertise our sensitivity to such situations.

Blushing, p211. Another involuntary physical response. A display of embarrassment or shame. Dark skinned people blush too. But guilt doesn’t trigger it. What’s the point of blushing? Darwin fought the idea that facial expressions meant anything at all. Blushing is a signal that the person knows they screwed up. It earns them forgiveness and trust. What about blushing at praise? It’s a kind of self-deprecation. There are layers of common knowledge here. Common knowledge about being an anonymous referee in peer review. Experiments.

Staring, p222. Eye contact is the ultimate common knowledge generator. Other animals make eye contact, but only humans have eyes that make the direction of sight obvious. A stare is usually a sign of malignant intent. Barrooms, fights. The other guy blinked. Casual eye contact in social interactions isn’t as direct as that. People can pretend not to see each other. Passing for white. Being in the closet. Being fat, but never speaking of it. Consider how Silicon Valley gadgets about devices using site bombed; the device would hide your eyes. Videoconferencing may not endure; people can’t make eye contact.

Glaring, p228. The angry expression makes our threats credible. Experiment to demonstrate this: the Ultimate Game. With appropriate glares.

Ch7, Weasel Words, p231

Recalls a scene in Schindler’s List in which a bribe of diamonds is made without overtly saying so. Other examples of innuendo, euphemism, etc: Getting out of a traffic ticket. Shame if something happened to it. Come in to look at my etchings. Asking to pass the salt; indirect speech. Trump, Zelensky, and Biden, leading to an impeachment. Why not speak plainly? Innuendos provide plausible deniability. But author has a refinement to offer. The plausible denial is the common knowledge of the intended meaning. Similar to an idea in The Stuff of Thought in 2007.

Start by imagining life without indirect speech. Incomplete information; the driver doesn’t know if the officer is honest or not. Strategic Speaker theory. Need to consider the officer’s point of view: matrix 241b. They did an experiment.

What about everyday life, without the need of a bribe? Example of getting into a fancy restaurant. Bribes work! One reason for indirect language is not to presume one of those social situational models that may not be appropriate. Like the relationship between the customer and the maître d. Analogous situation include threats, sexual come-ons. Example of latter from Seinfeld.

But: people use indirect speech even when there’s no need for it. Also, is it plausible that innuendo wouldn’t be misunderstood? Direct speech generates common knowledge. Intention is necessary. Indirect speech maintains tentative relationships. … This theory had to be tested, p253. Only blunt propositions were generators of common knowledge. Experiments with five and six layers. Innuendo depends on context. And can help people overhearing you from taking you seriously.

Still, indirect speech makes social life possible, but it has a dark side. They allow people to perpetrate atrocities – Orwell, Schindler’s List.

Ch8, The Canceling Instinct, p263

The urge to prevent ideas from becoming common knowledge, even in the knowledge profession.

A list of provocative questions. Academic freedom came into the spotlight in 2023 with congress grilling universities about antisemitism. All part of the sinking reputation of higher education. Author co-founded the Council on Academic Freedom at Harvard in 2023. The subject emerges from two features of our psychology. Still, can’t consensus be doubted? Example of Covid, and how scientific cautions led to distrust.

Free speech is not absolute; there are plenty of exceptions. Universities have additional controls to fulfill their mission. But incidents of censorship on campuses recently don’t fit those exceptions. Some deliberately provoke. There’s always been repression of speech in various ways.

Why do people cancel? The ostensible motivation is moral. Defending the marginalized, etc. defending moral principles, even when their arguments were non sequiturs. Examples. This is moral philosophy 101 about fact vs value. And people arguing to win, not to be consistent. The trolley problem. Etc. This goes to the paradox of how a clever species like ours is so subject to nonsense (discussed in Rationality), 272m, and author’s explanation. Academics defend contradictory things; they’re only human. There’s still a streak of post-modernism about truth and facts.

Recall the lady who hoped Darwin’s theory wasn’t true, but if so, that it not become well known. This is resistance against common knowledge. Academics still do this. They’re afraid that some ideas might become common knowledge. When a prejudice becomes common knowledge everyone will feel free to act on it. 275. Speech police shouldn’t care if everyone knows something privately, only when they know everyone else knows it. Then people will defy those beliefs, leading to pluralistic ignorance.

So what’s a case for limiting intellectual expression? Perhaps a policy of “don’t go there” because some knowledge would upset civility, e.g. the idea of racial differences in intelligence. [[ ‘There are some things man was not meant to know.’ ]] [[ Or, know them only in private. ]] Chomsky made the point about racial intelligence, considering the significance of whatever the finding would be, would be slight. There are other such subjects too. Journalists muzzle themselves in some circumstances. Yes there are problems, and yes it may be too late. The default as always must be intellectual freedom. …It’s better to know what’s so, or what’s false. Various things are wrong, 280b, because they’re inconsistent with various moral commitments. Still, there’s a tension…

Ch9, Radical Honesty, Rational Hypocrisy, p283

Why not everything should be common knowledge.

Summary of methods of communicating common knowledge, not just speech; nonverbal, ritual and symbols, institutions. Social change is driven by the creation of new common knowledge. In some circumstances they avoid acknowledging common knowledge. Even formal institutions do so.

So why do we keep so much knowledge private? It’s been the historical trend. Scientists and historians have no compunction about disenchanting the world, or undermining hero myths. We have freedom of information acts. We overshare on social media. How much can we continue to bring things out into the open? Some things must be private by design.

But nobody really wants complete honesty. Recall the Jimmy Carter interview. Hillary Clinton later. Hot mics. Alexander Hamilton. Totalitarian states tolerate no privacy. We all have many things to hide. Thus Gen Z and old social media posts. Example of what being rude means. Tootsie. Science fiction writers can use various devices to reveal what people are thinking (examples in footnote). And in reality there’s a movement called Radical Honesty. Which can become creepiness. Ray Dalio and radical transparency.

Radical honesty is the greatest hypocrisy of all. We’re naturally sensitive and inhibited – but why? The logic of coordination and common knowledge provides the answer. Humans are massively interdependent, due to both altruistic cooperation, and mutualistic coordination. Social relationships are held together by conventions, which are idealizations, verging on fictions. Knowledge that would undermine those conventions is kept private. Examples of communal sharing, authority ranking, equality matching. Our imaginations run wild but in reality we are constrained by the world. Hobbes noticed this, and others. We realize other people have similar fantasies.

So understanding this can stop us from ruining our lives, or others. Police can’t enforce the letter of every law. Politicians have to balance knowledge of experts with the will of the people. Avoid speaking too clearly about arithmetic. Some policies rely on ‘deliberate ambiguity’. Higher-order rationalities.

Author summarizes how all of his books are about how cognition feeds its own outputs back into more cognition. Language, how human intelligence extends to reason about the universe, how human progress is possible, how rationality itself is limitless. We have thoughts about our thoughts, and this is how we’ve derived science, philosophy, and math, and has made human progress possible, and suggests that progress is limitless.

[[ this last section is all about the wisdom of applying or not applying the understanding of the previous chapters. ]]

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Posted in Book Notes, Psychology, Social Progress, Steven Pinker | Leave a comment

The Slow Motion American Train Wreck

  • Rebecca Solnit on how the US is destroying itself;
  • The significance of Victor Orbán’s loss;
  • How Trump thinks religion is about power, not morality;
  • Trump’s grotesque AI image depicting himself as a Jesus figure.
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I’ve gradually become aware of another savvy political commentator and essayist, Rebecca Solnit, to set along with the three of four others I check out daily. (Richardson, Reich, Krugman, Pavlovitz.) David Brin posts highly about her. This piece was linked from Facebook this morning, and captures the moment. She has a Substack, Meditations in an Emergency, since Jan. 2025. She’s published a number of short books, of which I just bought a couple.

The Guardian, Rebecca Solnit, yesterday: The United States is destroying itself, subtitled “The daily news can’t adequately convey the administration’s sabotaging of our government, economy, alliances and environment”

I’ve mentioned more than once that the actions of the Trump administration are not unlike what a group of infiltrators or saboteurs would do to undermine everything that has until recently made America great. Solnit:

The United States is being murdered, and it’s an inside job. Every department, every branch, every bureau and function of the federal government is being fatally corrupted or altogether dismantled or disabled. All this is common knowledge, but because it dribbles out in news stories about this specific incident or department, the reports never adequately describe an administration sabotaging the functioning of the federal government and also trashing the global economy, international alliances and relationships, and the national and global environment in ways that will have downstream consequences for decades and perhaps, especially when it comes to climate, centuries.

While the insular and ignorant MAGA base doesn’t care. Well, Rome fell too. Human nature hasn’t changed. More:

Across the branches of government, the services that are supposed to protect us – nuclear stockpile monitoring, cybersecurity, counter-terrorism – are being undermined, understaffed or trashed. A different kind of protection that consists of public health, vaccination programs, food safety, clean air and water, social services, civil rights and the rule of law is also under attack. The federal government that serves us is being starved while the federal government that serves the Trump agenda and the oligarchy is glutting itself on taxpayer money, including the grotesque sums dumped on the Department of Homeland Security and the US military now being warped into Pete Hegseth’s twisted vision of a ruthless mercenary force. Hegseth has reportedly stood in the way of promotions for more than a dozen Black and female officers.

The essay goes on and on summarizes events we remember from the past several years. There’s an essential element of human nature here: people don’t notice things that happen slowly enough. And that don’t affect them directly. Ending:

It’s the antidemocratic weaknesses in our system that created the vulnerabilities that let this happen – the electoral college and voter suppression that gave Trump a minority victory in 2016, the gerrymandering that has given a minority party majority power in Congress and statehouses, a grotesquely corrupted and unaccountable supreme court and the corrosive influence of the ultra-wealthy in a system that gives them power on a scale that is a direct assault on democracy. We need to imagine a more democratic, more egalitarian, more generous country, one that operates in recognition of an abundance of wealth that should serve all of us – and nature and future generations too – rather than is driven by the moral poverty of billionaires.

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But the significant news today is that Victor Orbán lost. And replaced by this guy:

The Atlantic, Anne Applebaum, yesterday: Illiberalism Is Not Inevitable, subtitled “If Viktor Orbán can lose, then his Russian and American admirers can lose too.”

In the end, the defeat of Viktor Orbán, Hungary’s autocratic prime minister, required not just an ordinary election campaign or new messaging but rather the construction of a broad, diverse, and patriotic grassroots social movement. And by building exactly that, Hungary’s opposition changed politics around the world.

Orbán’s loss brings to an end the assumption of inevitability that has pervaded the MAGA movement, as well as the belief—also present in Russian President Vladimir Putin’s rhetoric—that illiberal parties are somehow destined not just to win but to hold power forever, because they have the support of the “real” people. As it turns out, history doesn’t work like that. “Real” people grow tired of their rulers. Old ideas become stale. Younger people question orthodoxy. Illiberalism leads to corruption. And if Orbán can lose, then his Russian and American admirers can lose too.

My thoughts: Sometimes we assume that dictators like Putin and Orban conduct nominal elections but rig the votes so that they always win. So what happened here? Perhaps it’s not so easy to rig elections after all, despite the presumptions of conservatives in the US that every time they lose, elections much have been rigged. Alternative explanation: perhaps conservative ideas are simply losing popularity.

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Dictators like Orban and (would-be dictator) Trump appeal to religions they don’t believe in, and their followers don’t notice, or care.

The Atlantic, David A. Graham, today: The Parable of the President, subtitled “Donald Trump’s criticism of Pope Leo XIV reveals that to him, religion is primarily about power, not morality.”

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Trump posted this AI image last night. Responses have been all over the web. This is idolatry.

Robert Reich, today: Trump’s God Complex is Getting Even Worse, subtitled “He believes he’s the savior, not because he wants to save anyone but because he wants to dominate everyone”

Late Sunday night, Trump posted on Truth Social the most grandiose depiction any U.S. president as ever made of himself.

I’ve reproduced it above. Take a look, and remember: It came from Trump.

What kind of a president would post this of himself?

Today, Trump told reporters that he posted it because he thought it depicted him as a physician. “I thought it was me as a doctor,” he said, adding that news organizations had misinterpreted the image. “It’s supposed to be me as a doctor, making people better, and I do make people better,” he said.

There’s something fundamentally wrong with the man.

And for a long time, I’ve felt that there is something fundamentally wrong with people who support Trump.

At the same time, I have to acknowledge that such people are expressing an inescapable part of human nature, which the species cannot easily escape, or overcome. Some of us understand this.

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Posted in conservatives, Human Nature, Lunacy, Religion | Leave a comment

Are All Weddings the Same?

We attended a wedding yesterday, in Alameda, between my partner’s older son’s wife’s sister, and a man from a non-Catholic family, who had converted, and gotten baptized a year ago, in order to marry into my partner’s older son’s wife’s family, a Vietnamese family, that is resolutely Catholic. Got that? The ceremony was held at the St. Joseph Basilica in the middle of Alameda, led by Catholic priests, and went an hour and 15 minutes. So many of their rituals must be rote by them, performed and recited over and over again.

This particular ceremony, no doubt designed by the intended couple, was modernized. There were no separate vows, but rather a common vow read out by one of the priests, with a near-simultaneous ring exchange. Still, lots of songs, hymns, recitals of prayer, and audience responses of “Thanks Be to God”. With the Eucharist at the end, members of the church were invited to come forward, while others could remain in their seats. The groom’s family remained in their seats. As we did.

After an interval, the wedding party gathered at a restaurant in Emeryville, Hong Kong East Ocean Seafood Restaurant, a place we have been to several times and walked past many more times, on walks out and back on that Emeryville peninsula.

All of this was similar to a couple other weddings in recent years, on my partner’s side of the family, including Y’s older son’s. As it turned out, as I had not realized, the priests who conducted this ceremony were the same ones who had done his wedding in Fremont six or seven years ago — because they’re part of the Vietnamese community, which both grooms married into.

And as it happened, at the reception, Y and I were seated at a table along with a couple sets of elderly grandparents and the three priests from both of those ceremonies. At that earlier wedding wedding, there had been a gap between the wedding and the reception, and Y and I hosted a party of sorts at our house, up here in the Oakland Hills. Those three priests had come to our house. I remembered them, they remembered me, or at least the one: Fr. Tho Bui, SDB (I have the program from yesterday’s ceremony), who was seated beside me at the reception. We chatted about local things, restaurants and whatnot. (Certainly not about politics or religion). He is a charming man, and he and another of the priests got up to perform Karaoke.

The whole event was well funded. The dinner was lavish, with eight or nine courses, and bottles of Coca Cola and Cabernet and Hennessy XO were on every table. The entertainment was a DJ and a Karaoke machine, which only a few people used. Y gave the groom a red envelope. In return, in effect, we snagged a bottle of Hennessy XO, only one-third empty, to take home along with leftover rice and black cod and marinated beef. The bride’s father gave it to us and insisted.

There was a retinue of three or five photographers running around throughout the ceremony and the reception. I was tempted to ask one of them, from your perspective, are all weddings the same? And, did you get fed? All together, the events ran from 2pm to 10pm at least. But I didn’t get a chance to chat with any of the photographers.

OTOH, I did ask two 20-year-old kids at the groom’s family’s table if they were twins. They were. I wish I could have thought of a clever question to ask them, something like, Is there something you’d like people to know about twins that no one has ever asked? Or, what question do you get asked all the time that you hate? But I didn’t think of anything.

The entire weekend since Friday has been rainy. It rained off and on through the wedding/reception day. It might not have been perfect weather, but perhaps it was memorable. The photo above is what Y took from the restaurant window, in a break of the rain at sunset. Is that the bride out there? Maybe. Let us think so.

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Skiffy Flix: The War of the Worlds

This is about the 1953 movie, surely one of the best known and highly-regarded SF movies of the ’50s, along with THE DAY THE EARTH STOOD STILL, FORBIDDEN PLANET, and perhaps INVASION OF THE BODY SNATCHERS.

I wrote about the novel back in 2021, along with some comparison to this film. I watched the DVD of the film again last night.

(My DVD cover is similar to but not exactly like the one shown here. On mine, “The Original Invasion” appears at the top, and there’s no Korean(?) text beneath the title.)

Couched among other skiffy flix of the era, this film is an example of the Hollywood-ization of a classic novel to fit the pattern of what audiences excepted a science fiction movie to be at the time. With so many resemblances to other sf movies of the era.

First: the location is changed from the London suburbs to the desert or hills outside LA. Second, a narrator portentously explains how no planets other than Earth would be suitable for settlement by Martians. Fuzzy photos of Martian cities and canals (as in RED PLANET MARS) are shown to justify the Martians’ search for another world, and how they must have settled upon Earth. But we never see any clue about whether the Martians are intelligent or not; we only see them as mindless invaders. That reflects the cultural fears of 1950s America.

The story begins as a meteor is seen from a small California town, how it starts a fire, how the local fire trucks respond. Investigators respond, including a local scientist from “Pacific Tech,” played by the relatively well-known actor Gene Barry (perhaps better known later for a couple TV series). Lots of cars and tourists, men wearing the baggy suits of the time.

Later that night we see a hatch on the ship slowly opening like a screw, and a head emerging (with a distinctive shaking sound effect), then a local waving a white flag. Who is zapped with some kind of ray that disintegrates him. Meanwhile, lights go out at a local dance, along with the phones and watches. Another meteor comes down.

True to cliche, the military is called in, as reports come in from around the world of other landings.

Eventually we see one of the Martian ships emerge from where it landed — and this is the most striking thing about the movie, as well as a departure from the Wells novel. In this movie, the Martin ships are flat ovoids, floating slowly above the ground, with huge stalks coming out of the top with tri-color eyes that fire disintegration rays at everything. In Wells’ original, the Martian ships walked around on tripods of mechanical legs. The movie’s ships are far more striking. (And it would have been easier for the movie to float the Martian ships over a stage landscape, rather than try to depict them walking around on three legs.)

Plot follows. More military. Gene Barry’s character and his girl find refuge in a farmhouse, until an encroaching alien sends its probe into the house… and even glimpse one of the Martians themselves. They escape as the house explodes.

More military, even atomic bombs, which do not phase the Martian ships at all. Los Angeles tries to evacuate, with mobs attacking each other. The Martian ships coolly glide into the city, disintegrating buildings, including the iconic Los Angeles City Hall.

And then, in what’s literally a deus ex machina, and coincidentally as Gene Barry finds refuge in a downtown church, the gliding Martian ships sputter, and sink to the ground, crashing. We see the arm of a dead Martian, with its three fingers, falling out of one of the ships. In the church, people were praying for a miracle. The narrator intones about how the tiniest of creatures, bacteria, infected the Martians, who had no resistance to what to them were aliens. Such small creatures as “God in his wisdom had put upon the Earth.” Amen.

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Now, the movie excels for its production values. It was directed by George Pal, who earlier did DESTINATION MOON and WHEN WORLDS COLLIDE and later did THE TIME MACHINE. It won an Oscar for visual effects.

And yet, it’s just another skiffy flix. The same patterns appear that were in so many other 1950s Hollywood science fiction movies. Frightening invaders, military response, and the invocation of the Christian God to take credit for the invaders’ defeat.

The novel by Wells was much wiser, as I discussed here.

Here’s a more detailed summary, with lots of context: Wikipedia

I saw the Steven Spielberg 2005 remake when it came out, but have not watched it again. As I recall, it followed the basic plot closely, complete with the farmhouse encroachment of a Martian eye, but added on a sappy happy-ending coda involving a boy. Typical Spielberg. But perhaps I’ll watch it again some time.

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Those Who Do, Those Who Can’t

As I begin this post the Artemis II mission, named Integrity, while the spacecraft itself is called Orion (if I’m following this correctly), is about 20 minutes from splashdown. Here’s an essay on the chasm between those who understand and do, and those who believe and don’t, and can’t.

Free Inquiry, Ronald A. Lindsay, 9 April 2026: Reaching for the Stars, But Mired in Oppressive Fantasies

So, the news this week featured headlines about how the Artemis II crew had traveled farther away from the Earth than anyone else in prior lunar missions. An amazing achievement, and a testament to the rigorous application of scientific principles and evidence.

In the same time frame, however, we had reminders of how much of humanity remains trapped in detrimental religious fantasies.

Example at hand this week: each side in the Iran War thinks God is on its side.

Perhaps it is not surprising that the leadership of some countries invoke religion to justify their actions given that in these same countries religious fundamentalism still has a grip on much of the population. And in the United States, right-wing legislators are doing their best to ensure many Americans continue to be indoctrinated into Christianity. Various state legislators continue to push the posting of the Ten Commandments in public schools, Texas is going to require students to study passages from the Bible, and public tax dollars are now subsidizing religious indoctrination in several states. Of course, the indoctrination has to be in the right type of religion; Islamic schools are being excluded from the handouts in the United States.

And what are they trying to accomplish? Conformance? What else *can* they accomplish? What *have* religions accomplished in 2000 years except interfere with those who can and do?

Ever since the Enlightenment, reliance on empirical evidence and application of the scientific method have brought us marvelous achievements, unimaginable in prior times. But throughout the past couple centuries, there has been an unresolved tension between the reliance on science for specific projects and solutions and the persistent influence religion has exercised over the minds of many, which, in turn, results in religious beliefs and doctrines affecting public policy and private actions—usually with harmful consequences. As the late physicist Victor Stenger once remarked, “Science flies you to the moon; religion flies you into buildings.”

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Here’s an essay by the author of a recent book about the moon, Our Moon: How Earth’s Celestial Companion Transformed the Planet, Guided Evolution, and Made Us Who We Are, first published two years ago.

The Atlantic, Rebecca Boyle, today: A Different Moon From the One We’ve Known, subtitled “NASA’s Artemis II mission is bringing home a view of the moon unlike any humanity has seen before.”

[[ As I type: Integrity seems to have made it through its blackout;  the critical issue of heat shield integrity is past. ]]

The writer recalls Galileo. Then:

This week, we got a different moon—the Artemis moon. The moon captured by America’s first mission there in generations is not the moon I look for every time I step outside. It is not the moon I grew up with or the one my parents learned about during the Apollo missions.

On Monday—the moon’s day—we were introduced to a brown, battered world. Whole regions of its scarred far side did not appear a brilliant lunar white, but a much more familiar, homey hue. Mushroom, chestnut, hazel, cocoa, coffee, tea-stained, russet, brown: earth tones. Straight lines running over the moon’s surface; concentric rings that look like companion coffee-cup rings.

The new view comes from a combination of technology, orbital motion, and human nature, all of which are part of the point of the Artemis II mission. The camera quality on Artemis, let alone the ability to livestream the views, was inconceivable during the Apollo era. Film from cameras that were specially built for Apollo had to get home first, then be developed, before the images could grace the front pages of newspapers on Earth. During Artemis, we are getting at least a few of them straight from astronauts’ Instagram Stories. Many more stunning images will arrive home with the astronauts this evening, when their Orion capsule is scheduled to splash down in the Pacific, off the coast of San Diego.

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Meanwhile there were essays about how spending all this money was pointless, and Fb posts about how it was all a fraud, because in space there’s no oxygen which the rockets need to burn their fuel. Dummkopfs. There will always be dummkopfs. (Relying the scourge of “common sense,” which is exactly the notion of extrapolating how the local familiar world works onto circumstances where those notions don’t apply. And Dunning-Kruger: they don’t realize how dumb and uneducated they are.)

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Only time to note these items briefly. And tomorrow I’m attending a wedding, so there’ll be likely no post at all.

  • The Atlantic, Stephanie Bai, yesterday: What Will Humanity Do With the Moon?, subtitled “As the Artemis missions work to build a permanent lunar home, we should remember why we keep going back.”
  • Concluding,

    In a message recorded before his death, the Apollo astronaut Jim Lovell welcomed Artemis II’s astronauts to “my old neighborhood.” Koch, Glover, Hansen, and Wiseman listened to his tape before their lunar flyby, more than 200,000 miles from home. “I’m proud to pass that torch on to you,” Lovell said. “It’s a historic day, and I know how busy you’ll be. But don’t forget to enjoy the view.” His words were a reminder to his fellow space travelers that they come from a short line of people who have peered out at the swirling mass of the universe, and also a reminder to us: to look up instead of down, if only for a little while.

  • Slate, Molly Olmstead, yesterday: J.D. Vance Is Stumping for a Dictator. The Reason Should Make Us Very Nervous., subtitled “He wants Hungarians — and Americans — to stand for ‘the God of our fathers.'”
  • So supporting dictators is about defending Western Civilization? Well, that makes a kind of sense, if you believe Western Civilization should be modeled after the Old Testament. But most of us do not believe that. We’re part of a culture that has grown up.
  • Not a new idea, but confirmed yet again.
  • Paul Krugman, today: Losing the World’s Respect, subtitled “The Iran War looks like a tipping point”
  • Text and video. “Sir, you are a loser.”

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No music today. Watching the video feed.

Posted in conservatives, Human Progress, Religion, Science, Space | Leave a comment

Our Demented Administration

  • A majority of Americans favor impeachment;
  • Now the Trump administration is threatening the Vatican;
  • Yet more evidence that they’re white supremacists;
  • Revisiting the question if Trump is suffering dementia;
  • Long piece about how Trump is stuck in the era of the 1980s;
  • Brief items: The administration delays published news about vaccine benefits; the USDA secretary sends a Jesus email to 100,000 of her workers; comment on Fb about why MAGA thinks protesters are being paid;
  • Radiohead’s “Dollars and Cents”.
– – –

Newsweek, updated today: Donald Trump Impeachment Backed by Most Americans: Poll

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Now they’re threatening the Vatican.

The New Republic, 8 Apr 2026: Pentagon Threatened the Pope After He Criticized Trump, subtitled “It was so bad that Pope Leo changed his plans to travel to the U.S.”

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They’re definitely white supremacists.

The Atlantic, Adam Serwer, 8 Apr 2026: Pete Hegseth Is Trying to Resegregate the Military

Subtitled: “Color-blind and merit-based” now seems to be anything but.

Earlier examples we’ve seen, and more examples. It concludes:

Authoritarian regimes behave as the Trump administration is behaving—optimizing for political loyalty rather than competence. Merit, in short, has little to do with it.

Hegseth is a prime example. Deeply unqualified for the job and convinced that brutality provides an easy path to victory, he has led the United States to the verge of a strategic defeat with a weaker adversary in Iran. The current cease-fire leaves Iran with a more hard-line government than before, one in total control of a shipping lane crucial to the world economy. The Islamic Republic is arguably in a stronger position today than it was when the war started, and probably in a stronger position than it was before Trump, in his first term, scrapped the Obama-era nuclear deal.

On Sunday, Trump posted on his social network a refrain that he and his toadies seem to think is insightful: “If you import The Third World, you become The Third World!” This archaic social Darwinism is the ideological mortar of the Trump project. It fuses Hegseth’s disdain for diversity in the military’s senior leadership and valorization of brutality with the administration’s attack on birthright citizenship and its deployment of federal agents to occupy American cities. It is a worldview that would assume an easy victory against a country like Iran, especially with America’s new, “unwoke” military. Bigotry isn’t just inefficient, as the U.S. military discovered in the 1940s. It also makes you stupid.

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And

Robert Reich, today: The truth about Harmeet Dhillon, Trump’s likely pick for attorney general, subtitled “She’s now assistant AG for civil rights but is intent on reversing civil rights.”

Dhillon admits that her overall vision is not just slowing down civil rights in America but “turning the train around and driving in the opposite direction,” as she told the conservative Federalist Society after her appointment as head of the division.

She has eliminated federal oversight of police departments accused of discrimination, once the centerpiece of the Civil Rights Division’s work.

She has directed universities to end all types of affirmative action, once defended by the Civil Rights Division.

She is now suing states to acquire voter databases in an effort to disenfranchise minority voters. The Civil Rights Division once existed to protect their voting rights.

Harmeet Dhillon is no advocate for civil rights. She’s a legal hack for Trump’s cruel agenda of attacking Americans trying to stop ICE and Border Patrol agents from doing their worst, of seeking to destroy academic freedom in American universities in favor of Trump’s narrow view of what should be allowed, of undermining equal opportunity for people of color, and of prosecuting anyone — like Cassidy Hutchinson — with the courage and integrity to stand up against Trump’s despotism.

Harmeet Dhillon is the last person who should be running the Civil Rights Division of the Justice Department. She should never become attorney general — which means Trump will probably nominate her.

(So it’s not precisely white supremacy. Note that she’s not purely white herself.)

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Slate re-posted this piece, from January. Yes, people are asking this every day.

Slate, Anna Gibbs, 26 Jan 2026: Is Trump Losing It?, subtitled “It’s time to seriously ask the question.”

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Here’s an interesting piece — it expands on the familiar idea that Trump (like so many conservatives) is stuck in the past and wants the present to return to what was familiar to him in his youth.

The Atlantic, Jonathan Lemire and Isabel Ruehl, today: 1979 Is the Year That Explains Donald Trump, subtitled “And pretty much all of the 1980s do too.”

Longish piece. Here’s a sample from the middle.

By the late 1980s, Trump was a celebrity real-estate developer, a best-selling author, and a tabloid fixture. But what he said then effectively previews how he is governing now; indeed, for a politician who has few consistent ideologies (except on tariffs; he has always loved tariffs), it’s striking how Trump’s views on Iran haven’t really changed. A New York Times write-up of an October 1987 speech in New Hampshire relayed that the businessman had suggested that the U.S. “should attack Iran and seize some of its oil fields in retaliation for what he called Iran’s bullying of America.” A couple of months later, Trump complained to Phil Donahue (we told you this was a very 1980s tale) that American allies were not doing enough to protect access to oil in the Persian Gulf. The following year, Trump told The Guardian that if he were ever to run for president, he’d be “harsh” on Iran, declaring that “one bullet shot at one of our men or ships, and I’d do a number on Kharg Island. I’d go in and take it.” Nearly 40 years later, the Pentagon has prepared a plan for a ground invasion to do just this. It’s awaiting Trump’s approval if the cease-fire falters.

Fast forward to now, and Trump’s backing off his threats against Iran.

Hours later, Trump backed off the unhinged threat, and a two-week cease-fire materialized. The fragile truce, however, seemed to only strengthen Iran’s claim over the strait; if that becomes permanent, it will be difficult to view the war as anything other than a strategic defeat for the United States.

Trump and his aides, though, would hear none of it. They insisted that the war has been won, that Iran’s regime has been changed, and that, as the president put it this morning on social media, we could soon see “the Golden Age of the Middle East!!!” How was that possible? Trump’s aides pointed us to the madman theory, saying that the president’s unpredictability, combined with his genocidal threat to wipe out Iran, had forced the agreement. “That’s The Art of the Deal, baby,” one White House aide crowed to us.

That book, of course, was published in 1987.

Linking a David Frum piece from yesterday.

In a sense there’s a truth of human nature here, not just of conservative human nature. Most people develop fixed ideas by their 20s or 30s and then never change. Even scientists, supposedly the most objectively thinking people. That’s why there’s a saying that, in order for science to progress, sometimes you have to wait for the oldest scientists (the stick-in-muds) to die.

I think most scientists are conscious of this and try to avoid it. Certainly I’ve been conscious of this. I’ve acknowledged having changed my mind significantly two or three times over the years, and I’ve learned a lot about human psychology over the past decade that has allowed me to rethink how I understand political issues.

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Briefly:

  • Washington Post, today: CDC delays publishing report showing covid vaccine benefits, subtitled “The acting CDC director cited concerns with the methodology, but the design has long been used to test vaccine effectiveness.”
  • Yet again, they’re suppressing news that conflicts with their anti-vax ideology. News they don’t like. Authoritarianism.

  • JMG, today, from Washington Post: USDA Secretary Sent Jesus Email To 100,000 Workers
  • “Happy Easter — He is Risen indeed!”
  • Do Christians not realize how inappropriate this is in a country that is not, by definition, a religious theocracy? What would they think if a Jewish or Muslim employee send out a message of celebration about something in their faith?
  • Anonymous comment on Facebook:

The reason MAGA thinks protesters are being paid is because they can’t fathom doing something without a “what’s in it for me?” angle. It’s called having a moral compass … which is why it’s so confusing to them.

I think this principle can be applied more broadly.

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And here’s the Radiohead song that, for some reason, popped into my head today. All day.

Why don’t you quiet down?
(Maybe I’ll wander the promised land
I want peace and honesty)
Why don’t you quiet down?
(I want to live in the promised land
And maybe wander the children’s land)
Quiet down!
(Yeah, and there, there we can free)

Posted in conservatives, Lunacy, Music, Politics | Comments Off on Our Demented Administration