That Potential Revolutionary Scientific Reinterpretation? Never Mind.

  • That Potential Revolutionary Scientific Reinterpretation I posted about four days ago does not seem to have played out (but that’s how science works);
  • A nice summary of the top five astronomical discoveries of all time (so far);
  • And a dicier list of “17 astounding mysteries that researchers can’t yet solve”;
  • All these pieces are about the balance between the media and actual science; true scientific advances are very rare.

First of all, I’ve seen no positive follow-up to the news of a week or so ago about the revolutionary new interpretation of data that eliminates the notion of “dark matter” and implies that the universe is twice as old as long-thought. In searching for the researcher’s name (Rajendra Gupta), and most authoritative source I found was this. And it’s from last August!? Why did this story bubble up into my Google News feed — via many sources — last week? Don’t know. But it always pays to be skeptical, and follow-up, and check the sources.

Astronomy.com, Paul Sutter, 7 Aug 2023: Is the universe twice as old as we thought?, subtitled “A recent paper suggests our understanding of the cosmos is wrong and proposes a different model. Could this new idea be right? In a word: No.”

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EO Wilson, CONSILIENCE, 11

Earlier posts: Post 1; Post 2; Post 3; Post 4; Post 5; Post 6; Post 7; Post 8; Post 9; Post 10.

Chapter 12, To What End?

Wilson’s final chapter ponders options for humanity’s future, and comes down on the side of “existential conservatism.” And since it is about humanity’s future, the chapter has some things to say about the themes of science fiction.

Key points in this chapter:

  • The big questions are: what we are, where do we come from, and how shall we decide where we go. Neither theology nor western philosophy has done well answering them.
  • There are two risks in gaining this understanding. One: knowledge leads to increase in numbers, the diminishment of the natural world, and technology become a prosthesis. Two: it brings the prospect of altering the biological nature of the human species.
  • Natural selection isn’t really still at work among humans. What is happening is a global homogenization.
  • We face an age of ‘volitional’ evolution, in which with gene therapy we can both cure diseases and engineer improvements. What ‘improvements’ will people choose?
  • The answer will reflect our environment ethic: do we think we are adapted to one specific environment? Or that we are outside the natural world and are able to overcome any limits?
  • Wilson summarizes the current state of the environment [remember this is 1998]: global population rising, eating up the planet’s resources, nearing the limits of food and water supplies, changing the environment. Exceeding the carrying capacity of the planet.
  • It’s too late to return to Paleolithic serenity; the goal must be sustainability. Economists, who preach endless growth and pretend the environment doesn’t exist, are part of the problem.
  • Wilson pleads for preserving “Creation,” i.e. the environment, the biodiversity. Humanity is driving other species to extinction.
  • “The legacy of the Enlightenment is the belief that entirely on our own we can know, and in knowing, understand, and in understanding, choose wisely.”
  • What does it all mean? Considering our deepest roots, Wilson comes down on the side of existential conservatism. “This is what it all means. To the extent that we depend on prosthetic devices to keep ourselves and the biosphere alive, we will render everything fragile. To the extent that we banish the rest of life, we will impoverish our own species for all time. And if we should surrender our genetic nature to machine-aided ratiocination, and our ethics and art and our very meaning to a habit of careless discursion in the name of progress, imagining ourselves godlike and absolved from our ancient heritage, we will become nothing.”

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The Economy, the Deep State, and Conservative Denial of Reality

  • How conservatives have won their war against social media in order to keep spreading disinformation;
  • A reality check on what the “Deep State” actually consists of;
  • Two more takes on why so many people don’t realize how good the American economy is;
  • Notes from the fringe: Republican politicians taking credit for infrastructure bills they voted against; how MAGA fans fail the most basic civics; Fox & Friends praying on TV and promoting a prayer app; and the “evangelicalese” used by Project 2025.

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To the reality-based observer, the “conservative views” that conservatives claim are being suppressed are disinformation, i.e. lies.

Front page of NYT two days ago.

NY Times, 17 Mar 2024: How Trump’s Allies Are Winning the War Over Disinformation, subtitled “Their claims of censorship have successfully stymied the effort to filter election lies online.”

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Ancient and Modern Morality, Examples

  • David French and Stephen Breyer on originalism;
  • Short items about how Trump is out of his mind (from Robert Reich), his “blood bath” comments, and his threat to shut down the media;
  • Jamelle Bouie on how the election isn’t about Biden and Trump, so much as two differing visions of American government — whether it exists to help people, or to rule over others;
  • An article about GOP hypocrisy, on moral matters, specifically about LGBTQ+ people threaten “vicarious immortality,” as I’ve been saying for years.

Here’s a brief opinion piece (on the paper’s website’s “The Point” blog) that relates to yesterday’s post about the Supreme Court’s motivated reasoning.

NY Times, David French, 18 Mar 2024: Justice Breyer Is Only Partly Right About Originalism

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EO Wilson, CONSILIENCE, 10

Chapter 11, Ethics and Religion

The chapter in the book that would most challenge conservatives, or anyone who thinks morality and religion are handed down from on high.

Key points in this chapter:

On ethics:

  • Author summarizes arguments on both sides, the transcendental and the empirical, for the origin of ethical sentiments.
  • Theologians see natural law as an expression of God’s will, despite allowing the faithful to justify war, slavery, and genocide.
  • Wilson is an empiricist, of course. “The primary origin of the moral instincts is the dynamic relation between cooperation and defection.” That is, our moral instincts arose as rules to solve ethical dilemmas in the primitive environment, e.g. regarding money, status, power. Thus we evolved cooperation, remorse, shame. The dark side of these sentiments is xenophobia.
  • “Ethical and religious beliefs are created from the bottom up, from people to their culture. They do not come from the top down, from God or other non-material source to the people by way of culture.”
  • And yet moral sentiments can change — as a result of new knowledge and experience; certain rules may be relaxed, others devised. That’s why we find things like slavery unpalatable today.
  • Ultimately ancient sentiments will adapt for the conditions of modern life. Wilson sees the result as likely democratic, to the detriment of rival ideologies and religions, though it will be slow.

On religion:

  • Religions are born, grow, compete, reproduce, and eventually die. They begin as cults. They involve a creation myth and a mystery only devotees have access to.
  • The religious drive arises from the survival instinct, i.e. fear of death. It provides an understanding and control of life, explained via mythic narratives, and the supernatural as evidence of another world so desperately desired.
  • Humans are easily seduced by confident, charismatic leaders, especially in religious organizations.
  • People are attracted by transcendentalism since empiricism seems sterile and inadequate. But passion and desire are not the same as truth.
  • Theology is a history of abstractions: the Hebrews resolved the pantheon into a single person; later philosophers have moved away from God as a literal person.
  • “The essence of humanity’s spiritual dilemma is that we evolved genetically to accept one truth and discovered another.”
  • We’re learning too much about how the world works for this contradiction to remain.
  • Yes, people need sacred narratives. And so religion must incorporate the discoveries of science in order to remain credible. The result will be the secularization of the human epic, and of religion itself.

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Motivated Reasoning, Supreme Court Edition

Just one short, but provocative, item today.

This is the opening piece in the “Talk of the Town” section in the March 18th issue of The New Yorker. It cuts to the core of Supreme Court, and conservative, thinking.

The New Yorker, Jill Lepore, 10 Mar 2024: Will the Supreme Court Now Review More Constitutional Amendments?, “After their ruling on a Fourteenth Amendment case, which keeps Donald Trump on the ballot, will the Justices be willing to revisit Dobbs, or Second Amendment cases?”

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A Potential Revolutionary Scientific Reinterpretation

No one thinks that all of physics, or cosmology, is solved; the reigning problems in cosmology include contradictory conclusions about the age of the universe, and the nature of “dark matter” and “dark energy,” both terms being placeholders for unknown quantities needed to explain first, the amount of gravity in the universe, given observations of attraction among distant galaxies, and second, why the universe is expanding faster than expected.

This story has been floating around for a week or two, in various venues, to the point where it’s worth mentioning here. (A lot of radical ideas are put forth, many in pop venues, that gain no traction, and which therefore I don’t mention here.)

Phys.org, 15 Mar 2024: New research suggests that our universe has no dark matter

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EO Wilson, CONSILIENCE, 9

Chapter 10, The Arts and Their Interpretation

Here we have perhaps the area most resistant to the idea of biological or psychological interpretation. Because it doesn’t occur, especially to the artists themselves, why people tell certain kinds of stories and not others, why they find certain subjects of paintings pleasant and not others, and so on; they may not even realize there are other kinds of stories (paintings, yes, I suppose). (But that’s my gloss.) And this might be the chapter of most relevance to science fiction, which of course as a type of literature, is a kind of art.

Key points in this chapter:

  • The consilient channel from the natural sciences to the arts is interpretation, guided by knowledge of science and the understanding that human nature exists, in preference to postmodernism or other intuitive approaches;
  • Wilson again summarizes gene-culture coevolution, and concludes that this view favors a more traditionalist view of the arts;
  • We can easily find groupings of archetypes that underlie most myth and fiction, from “In the beginning” to “The hero embarks on a journey” and many others;
  • Human evolution entailed the shocking recognition of the self, the finiteness of personal existence, and the chaos of the environment. The arts were spawned by the need to impose order on the confusion perceived by intelligence.
  • Cave paintings reveal ancient tendencies for sympathetic magic, that remain today in the names of sports teams;
  • Other evidence of how genetically-driven perceptions affect the arts includes how brain waves respond best to 20% redundancy among random patterns, and how this is reflected in abstract designs around the world; and how the beauty industry plays on human attraction to supernormal stimuli;
  • The arts nourish our craving for the mystical, our yearning to see what lies beyond the rim of the world, and as the entire world is now home ground, we look beyond it to the stars.

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OnlySky, Religions, Cults, and the Crazies

  • The end of OnlySky;
  • What the difference between religions and cults is;
  • Items about the crazies: Hillary’s acid, executions, God’s law, and how vaxxed people are inhuman.

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Alas, the end of OnlySky, which might have been called a safe space on the web for nonreligious people.

OnlySky, 7 Mar 2024: The end of OnlySky — an experiment in secular news and storytelling

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EO Wilson, CONSILIENCE, 8

Chapter 9, The Social Sciences

Now Wilson begins takes his conclusions about human nature and searches for ways to bring insight, if not explanation, to various aspects of human culture, in particular studies in the humanities that are supposedly resistant to scientific analysis or insight.

Key points in this chapter:

  • The social sciences, in contrast to the medical sciences, do poorly in dealing with complex problems;
  • The social sciences don’t speak a common language, are not grounded in the physical realities of human psychology, and are hobbled by social activism and tribal loyalty to original grand masters, like Durkheim, Marx, and Freud;
  • The social science best poised to bridge the gap to the natural sciences is economics, which measures things and constructs models to try to predict things. Still, its success is limited, due to lack of fundamental laws, or even a solid foundation of units and processes.
  • And the models are simplistic, relying on folk psychology, including the idea that people make choices based on their background and environment, not human nature.
  • Wilson recognizes heuristics, in the beginning (in the 1990s) of studies about psychological biases; these traits are commonplace, he says, especially among “cult members, the deeply religious, and the less educated.”

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