Ideology and Fertility

  • The complex reasons behind the drop in fertility;
  • Mike Johnson is literally illiterate;
  • Texas Christians are trying to define Muslims out of existence;
  • Trump is trying crush California’s environmental policies, of course;
  • Robert Reich explores who’s benefiting from the explosion in the national debt;
  • Heather Cox Richardson on Natalie Harp, if we still care;
  • Von Karajan does Bruckner 7.
– – –

Testing provisional conclusions. Is this just about primitive tribal priorities for survival, in a world that doesn’t actually need more children? Or something else?

The Atlantic, Olga Khazan, today: Another Big Difference Between Liberals and Conservatives, subtitled “People on the right tend to have more kids than people on the left. Why?”

…several academics told me that research conducted in the past few years has shown a fairly strong association between ideology and fertility. The latest evidence comes from a June report by the Institute for Family Studies, a think tank that promotes marriage and family life, which polled more than 7,000 Americans aged 18 to 54 and found that self-identified conservatives had 1.4 kids, on average, to liberals’ 1.09, a statistically significant difference. The study also found that liberals were more likely to not have children. The ideological fertility gap remained even after controlling for other variables that may influence family size, such as religion, race, income, age, marital status, and education.

Several theories. Liberals are more anxious about the state of the world. Liberals and conservatives have different values. And both sides tend to live in bubbles. The rest of the article expands on these.

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Wiping out databases; sycophants; misogyny; revenge; Waymo

  • What authoritarian regimes do: suppress inconvenient evidence;
  • Much concern about Trump sycophant Natalie Harp;
  • More about Trump’s misogyny;
  • Trump is all about revenge;
  • How Democrats are resisting Waymo, a promising new technology.

This is not a surprise. This is what authoritarian regimes do to hide their mismanagement and irresponsibility.

The Guardian, yesterday: Trump 2.0 has deleted or altered nearly 400 US datasets, endangering public health, education and more

Why? Short answer is in the subtitle: “Health data appears to be most affected by administration’s attempt to wipe findings that don’t align with its priorities, tracker shows”

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Stories and Reality

  • Are more Americans seeing the truth behind the GOP lies?;
  • Evidence that disputes Trump’s promises, in 11 charts;
  • Robert Reich tells Scott Bessent who’s wrong and who’s right;
  • Paul Krugman wonders why Trump likes North Korea, the worst government on Earth;
  • Rep. Jared Huffman’s frank discussion of Christian Nationalism;
  • Haitink conducts Bruckner 4.
– – –

Some people (whom we call conservatives) won’t ‘believe’ any kind of evidence that disputes their stories.

The New Republic, yesterday: At Long Last, Americans Are Starting to See the Truth About the GOP, subtitled “A businessman can set this country right. Republicans are better for the economy. Republicans love the military. Lie, lie, and lie. ”

But the last three Republican presidents—Bush, Bush, and Trump—have been disasters. The first Bush oversaw a double-dip recession and a massive savings and loan scandal that looted the treasury. The second Bush started a costly and tragic war based on lies and nearly brought the global economy to its knees. Trump, you know about—corruption, fascism, and staggering incompetence.

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How the American Experiment May Not Be Working

  • Adam Lee suggests abolishing the US Senate (as others have before him)

America has always considered itself an experiment, on the world stage, and in fact it has developed into the most powerful nation on Earth. But has the experiment been entirely successful? Is America perfect? The test of any experiment and its conclusions is whether they can stand up to later discoveries and experiments and their conclusions. Things change.

OnlySky, Adam Lee, today: For the good of democracy, abolish the Senate, subtitled “It’s an oligarchic institution designed to thwart the popular will.”

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Caro Claire Burke, YESTERYEAR

(Knopf, April 2026, 391pp)

I read the bestselling novel YESTERYEAR, by Caro Claire Burke, three weekends ago, on a trip to LA to spend time with family on the occasion of a 1st birthday and a new house, and it turned out to be a perfect book for such a trip. In such family gatherings things are going on all around me that don’t need my attention (especially on Open House day when 50 people were wandering around the house and property), and this book was an easy read as I sat on the sofa, or retired to our guest room.

It’s difficult to discuss this book without spoiling it in one direction or another. I added it to my Weekly Bestsellers page, on Locus Online, beginning April 20th, because the various descriptions of the book implied it involved time travel — a contemporary woman goes back to 1855.

Spoiler: Continue reading

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Fantasy Lands

  • Andrew O’Hehir on how few people understand the differences between socialism, capitalism, and all those other isms, as even MAGA embraces socialist ideas;
  • Mark Joseph Stern on the origin of originalist ideas about the US Constitution;
  • Jamelle Boudie on how Trump is living in a fantasy land;
  • Two items about Trump’s underwhelming “Patriot Games.”
– – –

Some of us are more closely aligned with reality than others.

Another in a series about how few people know what these various terms actually mean.

Salon, Andrew O’Hehir, today: Even MAGA loves socialism now, subtitled “Everyone’s done with capitalism — except mainstream Democrats, late to the party as usual”

As you may have noticed, many members of the American media and political classes are currently rending their garments in terror and despair at the perceived threat of “socialism.” It’s not at all clear what that word means in 2026, in this context or any other.

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David Brin’s Phases of the American Civil War

Still under the weather, for a week now. I’m behind updating sfadb. I spent some time this afternoon refining yesterday’s post. For now, not entirely irrelevant:

Brin has long portrayed American history as the same kind of transition between modes of human nature. He describes several “phases” of the ongoing American Civil War.

David Brin, 19 Sep 2014: Phases of the American Civil War

My point being that this conflict between the varieties of human nature has been playing out for centuries. At least.

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The Expansion of Human Morality, the Relativity of Good and Evil

  • Further thoughts on the evolutionary forces behind the expansion of human morality;
  • Thought while reading Stephen King’s THE STAND;
  • And further thoughts about human morality, and how conservative and progressive stances have been appropriate at different times;
  • Heather Digby Parton on the roots of science denial: fundamentalist faith and Big Business;
  • And now Trump wants to redesign aircraft carriers, because he knows best.
– – –

Following up on yesterday’s post. (Updated 15aug26)

The idea is that human morality has changed, and we can chart those changes chronologically, and see how it has evolved from a single tribal morality into the spectrum we see today. Sketch:

Humans have existed in their present form for two or three hundred thousand years. As social, tribal creatures, mostly on the African Savannah. That ‘morality’ was hierarchical, primed for reproduction against constant threats of starvation and disease, hostile toward other tribes for resources, bound by common stories that combined with intuitive perceptions of the natural world’s agency to become religions, and so on.

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The Deep History Key to the American Political Divide

  • Kurt Andersen on America’s soft breakup;
  • How the divide goes back ultimately to the Agricultural Revolution.
– – –

First up, a NYT Op-ed

NY Times, Kurt Andersen, 9 Aug 2026: Has America Already Undergone a Soft Breakup?

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MAGA Art Slop; Ignoring the Data

  • MAGA taste in art, and a new exhibit in Washington DC;
  • More Republican destruction: the US Census, and monitoring the Arctic;
  • Maybe they don’t believe they’re lying, they just don’t know the difference between lies and truth;
  • Robert Reich on why MAGA wants children to get sick and die of measles;
  • Aliens stole a Christian televangelist’s eggs and made a hybrid baby;
  • Pettersson #6
– – –

I don’t know why it should necessarily be that conservatives have lousy tastes in art, but it does seem to be so. On one level it’s understandable that conservatives should like ‘representational’ art, e.g. painting of actual things, or music that is lyrical, and reject anything else, such as any kind of abstraction. There’s that cognitive limitation thing again.

And we could discuss Trump, who likes nothing so much as gilt on everything. And lowbrow music for his Kennedy Center and rallies. And wrestling as 4th of July entertainment. Perhaps he has paintings of tigers on black velvet somewhere; surely his MAGA fans do. But let’s look at this:

Slate, Christina Cauterucci, today: I Went to the Trump Admin’s “Patriotic” Art Exhibit. Dear God., subtitled “It was like a HomeGoods display around the Fourth of July.”

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