Review: The Outsider Test for Faith

John W. Loftus’s THE OUTSIDER TEST FOR FAITH: How to Know Which Religion Is True (2013) is a trade paperback book, one of a number of similar volumes I’ve perused over the past couple years, generally from Prometheus Books or small presses, a couple of them verging on self-published: Adam Lee’s Daylight Atheism (review here), Greta Christina’s Why Are You Atheists So Angry? (review here), and Peter Boghossian’s A Manual for Creating Atheists (review here), and a couple titles by Richard Carrier and Armin Navabi whose titles I won’t bother to mention.

These are books of varying quality, all designed to appeal to a small audience, all of them in some sense likely preaching to the atheist choir, but all of them, even the last two, making distinctive points and insights, which is why I keep checking them out. (The best is the one by Adam Lee, though the combined essays on his site are collectively better.) None of them, however, match the erudition or eloquence of the books by the atheist “four horsemen” – Harris, Dawkins, Dennett, and Hitchens, or, especially on grounds of eloquence, the British philosopher A.C. Grayling, whose The God Argument (despite its simplistic title) (review here) is my favorite of all these, because he spends half his time explaining not just why religious faith is discredited and obsolete, but why the alternates of rationality and humanism are so much more preferable.

The next volume at hand is by John W. Loftus, THE OUTSIDER TEST FOR FAITH: How to Know Which Religion Is True (2013). Significantly, Loftus was for some years an evangelical Christian and Christian apologist, before rejecting the faith in the 1990s and writing a book called Why I Became an Atheist: A Former Preacher Rejects Christianity in 2008.

The present books discusses a very simple idea, a ‘test’ to apply to one’s own religious faith, that Loftus originally proposed some years before writing this book.

Ironically, it’s hard to find in this book a concise description of what his test is, and how an average person should apply it. Part of the reason I suspect is that Loftus has discussed his idea in so many previous venues (including his own blog) that he likely assumes that everyone knows about the test he is talking about – and which he subsequently spends a large portion of the book defending the idea against various criticisms it has attracted over the years.

First he defines two concepts he abbreviates as:

RDVT: the religious diversity thesis, the elementary observation that religious faith varies widely around the world with distinct faiths largely confined to distinct geographical areas. That is, the overwhelming factor of which faith one grows up to believe in is where one was born; most people inherit their religion from their parents, as they do their language, cuisine, and politics. (What Adam Lee calls the Argument from Locality.) Loftus makes the elementary point, illustrated in two maps, that religious beliefs vary around the world, while “beliefs based on logic, reason, and critical thinking” (i.e. science), are uniform across the world. The maps in his book are in shades of gray; Jerry Coyne reproduces them in color here.

RDPT: the religious dependency thesis, the idea that evidence from biology, anthropology, and psychology show that religion is a consequence of human nature as it has evolved over the millennia. As the world grew larger to various tribes and cultures, their local gods grew greater, leading to the ‘evolution’ of monotheistic gods increasingly defined as greater than anyone else’s god. The ideas here are of course familiar from many recent books, including those he cites by Michael Shermer, Dan Ariely, and David Eller (and of which my favorite is Jesse Bering’s The Belief Instinct: The Psychology of Souls, Destiny, and the Meaning of Life from 2011, which Loftus does not mention).

So what is the test exactly? Here it is on pages 16-17: “The only way to rationally test one’s culturally adopted religious faith is from the perspective of an outsider, a nonbeliever, with the same level of reasonable skepticism believers already use when examining the other religious faiths they reject.”

This sounds completely reasonable on its face, though he doesn’t offer many specifics about how one should actually conduct or apply this test. (Again, perhaps he’s done so in previous writings.) On page 80 he mentions that one way would be for believers to read critiques of their own faiths, or of faith in general — (like this book!). He does point out that citations of holy books, anecdotes of conversion stories (he quotes William Lane Craig’s), are insufficient justifications for one’s faith; such rationales can be cited by believers of completely different religions.

This is all very elementary, of course, yet Loftus spends much of the book addressing criticisms he’s received on various grounds: on the validity of his provisional theses; on the validity of science itself; on whether the test presumes something hidden, or could be applied to any cultural beliefs, and so on. A penultimate long chapter discusses Loftus’ own analysis of how Christianity fails the test (as he wrote about more exhaustively in earlier books). A final chapter asks why we should have “faith” in *anything* (even the facts of ordinary daily life), and he says we shouldn’t — we should only accept anything based on relative probabilities derived from experience.

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So… my take on the book is that, like other rather crude atheistic critiques of religion, it dwells entirely on the implausibility of religion’s various supernatural claims, and the contradictory situation of adherents of rival beliefs being equally certain of their validity — rather than considering the cultural, social, and psychological reasons for why that situation has endured. It’s my observation and understanding that, for example,

  • The fact that believers of other religions exist around the world doesn’t, in fact, bother most people;
  • The beliefs and experiences of most people, as they grow up in shared cultural milieu, to some extent *mold* their brains, so they to some extent cannot change their minds, regardless of any evidence or reason

Loftus is not a smooth writer; aside from long-winded repetition throughout the book, he frequently rants, he occasionally sputters. Here’s Loftus reacting to an admittently lame defense from a friend about the friend’s belief in heaven, on the basis of seeing his dad and grandfather in a dream. Loftus:

Wow, isn’t that something? What does it take? I don’t know sometimes. But evidence? Who needs that when you have an experience? …

Ironically, then, when he quotes other writers they are usually more eloquent than he himself. One such writer I was not familiar with is a David Eller, who makes this point similar to mine above:

Christians, like other religionists, are not so much convinced by arguments and proofs as colonized by assumptions and premises. As a form of culture, it seems self-evident to them; they are not so much indoctrinated as enculturated.

Which I now realize Loftus quotes twice! On pages 60, and 147. There’s a longer passage by Eller quoted on pp58-59. Maybe I’ll track down his book.

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Loftus not only quotes better writers than he, but mentions what might be better ideas than his own. In a footnote on page 235 he mentions a precursor test by a mathematics professor, John East, which is described here: The Outsider Test for Faith and the Veil of Ignorance. East’s notion is to suppose that a person is told that when they wake up in the morning, they will be randomly changed into a person with a different religious view. But before bed they are allowed to write a letter to themselves, offering general advice on how to investigate religious options, without saying which one they should accept. What should they write?

My own thought as I read this book was that a more straightforward ‘test’ would be the following. Suppose a neutral outsider, say an intelligent Martian, arrives on Earth sincerely curious and completely unbiased, asking representatives of various religious faiths to explain, as persuasively as they can, why their faith is true and the others are not.

Or, if you want a person to sincerely examine their own beliefs, simply ask them to imagine what possible evidence, if any, would convince them that their religious faith was wrong. If they can’t come up with anything (as Ken Ham did not) then they are admitting they have no rational basis for their beliefs, and we may suppose there are not any. (Scientists, on the other hand, almost by definition, always have criteria for disproof in mind.)

So enough about that book.

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Film review: THE REVENANT

From Facebook, 10jan16:

Today we went to see THE REVENANT, the film with Leonardo DiCaprio as an 1820s fur trader in the American northwest, mauled by a bear and left for dead by his compatriots, who manages to survive and return to take revenge (specifically against the man who not only left him for dead but murdered his son Hawk). It’s a grueling film, perhaps overshadowed by its publicity (at least among those of us who read the newspapers that cover the Hollywood film industry) — about how Leo did actually endure excruciating months of filming live scenes in harsh conditions, about the mostly CGI bear maul, and mostly about how Leo might finally win an Oscar, after so many nominations and losses. But as I rarely ask after seeing a film — what is the point? There have been many another more literary and insightful stories about revenge, and this film seems to be more of a stunt, by its director and lead actor, seeing how much Leo can endure, seeing how many graphic scenes of Indian attacks with arrows through the throats, or scalpings, or knife fights (as the film eventually resolves), the director can depict, and the audience can endure.

At the same time, it has lovely cinematography, in the sense of having frequent scenes of gorgeous mountain and sky views; some vibrant music by Ryuichi Sakamoto (albeit reminiscent of the ’70s era of electronic scores); and good performances by Domhnall Gleeson and Tom Hardy, who both seem to be in every other film we’ve seen this past year.

www.imdb.com/title/tt1663202/

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Links and Comments: Conspiracy Theories, Cognitive Biases; Changing Minds; All Stories

Catching up on links and comments from this past week.

First, a couple book reviews in last Sunday’s NY Times Book Review.

First, a review by Adrian Chen of Suspicious Minds: Why We Believe Conspiracy Theories, by Rob Brotherton. Subtitle: “We are hard-wired to believe that nothing happens by accident”.

George Washington entertained conspiracy theories about the Illuminati.

Brotherton attacks the stereotype, which he says was popularized by the historian Richard Hofstadter in his influential essay “The Paranoid Style in American Politics,” of conspiracy theorists as a small band of tinfoil-adorned loonies — the paranoid fringe. Brotherton’s main argument is that we all possess a conspiracy mind-set to some extent, because it is hard-wired into our brains. “Suspicious Minds” details the various psychological “quirks and shortcuts” that make us susceptible to conspiracy theories.

For example, psychologists have discovered that we possess an “intentionality bias,” which tricks us into assuming every incidental event that happens in the world is the result of someone’s intention.

And especially this:

Paradoxically, the illusion of an evil, all-powerful conspiracy guiding events can be more comforting than the reality that humans are rarely in control.

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And this review, by Robert A. Burton (author of On Being Certain: Believing Your Are Right Even When You’re Not, a book on my shelves), of two books, Black Box Thinking: Why Most People Never Learn From Their Mistakes — but Some Do by Matthew Syed, and Failure: Why Science Is So Successful, by Stuart Firestein.

More about cognitive biases, Daniel Kahneman, Steven Pinker, and whether we can overcome those biases. Can there be a program for self-improvement?

This problem becomes particularly acute when a book both outlines our deeply rooted behavioral inclinations and simultaneously suggests that they might be overcome. The better your argument for our inherent limitations, the weaker become your bootstrap suggestions for self-improvement.

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Last week Michael Krasny, host of the nationally-syndicated radio program Forum, hosted a segment asking guests and callers What Have You Changed Your Mind About…And Why?.

What’s notable in this program about whether people have changed their minds about anything, and why, is that the political and scientific issues people have change their minds about are invariably from conservative/denialist positions to liberal/reality positions. Just saying. Note that the show is broadcast cross-country, so it’s not as if all the callers are from the relatively liberal Bay Area…

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The Atlantic: All Stories Are the Same: From Avatar to The Wizard of Oz, Aristotle to Shakespeare, there’s one clear form that dramatic storytelling has followed since its inception, by John Yorke.

An essential essay about how stories work and why they are appealing.

Also this, from The New Yorker: How Stories Deceive, by Maria Konnikova.

More and more discussion of how humans think in terms of *story*, and how it’s hard for humans to understand aspects of reality that do not conform to a familiar kind of story.

My follow-on thought: while I’d like to think about science fiction as being a way to explore understanding of reality outside the usual parameters of human culture, I have to admit that still, SF consists of a body of *stories*, stories which are more or less successful depending on their appeal to human biases, and so, how can it be trusted to reveal anything new?

But actually, SF has to some extent anticipated this. More on this in next posts.

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Film Review: Room

Room is an incredibly powerful film, both on its own terms as a harrowing story of a mother and her 5-year-old son trapped inside a single room for the boy’s entire life, and for its metaphoric weight (which I admit struck me as much as the surface story). Loosely based on one or more real-life stories, the situation is about a woman kidnapped by a man who confines her to a garden shed in his back yard, with the only window a skylight, to use for his sexual pleasures. The result after the first two years is a son, Jack, who grows up entirely confined to Room, as they call it. They have a TV, the images on which Jack regards as “outer space”, not real. Everything inside Room is unique: bed, sink, lamp. In the opening scene, Jack wakes one morning and says hello to each of them. Hello bed, hello sink.

As Jack turns five, his mother Joy tries to explain that some of things she told him earlier weren’t entirely true, but now that he’s old enough, he deserves to understand. There’s a real world out there; there’s another side to the walls of the room. He doesn’t get it, he’s confused, he screams “I want another story!”. [Narrative!]

It’s not giving much away to say that Jack’s and his mother’s life inside Room takes up only the first half of the film. This is the power of the story’s metaphor: Jack escapes. He sees the sky for the first time! He discovers a *real* world so much larger than anything he has imagined. He brings about the rescue of his mother, and they return to her parents’ home to try to resume normal life. The first night, his reaction is, can we sleep in the bed? In Room?

Part of the conflict is about Joy, the mother, who is struck by an interviewer question about why she didn’t have her captor try to take Jack away, for a better life outside Room. No; she never considered it — her bond as a mother was too strong — but this consideration leads to drastic doubts. And she renounces any recognition of her captor as the boy’s ‘father’. And part of the conflict is about Jack’s adjusting to the outside world, of course. How he misses Room, and its comforts. And the final scene.

Great film, and something I rarely do after watching a film, I’m ordering the novel it was based on, by Emma Donoghue, who did the screenplay for the film.

IMDb: Room
Wikipedia: Room (novel)
Wikipedia: Room (2015 film)

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Link and Comment: Terrorism and Republican Fear-Mongering

Jerry Coyne points to an essay by Lawrence Krauss, in The New Yorker: Thinking Rationally About Terror.

Krauss’ essay addresses the fairly obvious fact that incidents of ‘terrorism’, despite the publicity they get and panic they trigger, are very rare compared to ordinary dangers like car crashes and (especially in the US) gun violence.

It is sobering to recognize that this month’s attack in California, as horrific as it was, does not skew the statistics at all; sadly, December 2nd in San Bernardino was just another average day in the United States. In fact, with over a hundred and eighty people shot each day in this country, even a mass killing like that which occurred in Paris would not significantly affect the death toll from guns in the U.S.

Needless to say, it is terrifying to know that there are individuals living among us with the express intent of killing randomly, for effect. But we must recognize that that’s the point of terrorism: it aims to scare us, thereby disrupting normal life.

And the fact that the terrorists have, in fact, driven much of the US population into an unreasonable panic means that…in a way… they have won. And the Republican presidential candidates are doing their best, by playing off that fear, to help them win. As another Salon essay captures, just today: David Brooks is so very afraid: Ted Cruz, Donald Trump and the New York Times sadistically exploit anxiety over Islamic terrorism to grab votes.

Krauss again:

A cynical individual might wonder who benefits more from the terror induced by terrorism: the terrorists themselves or the politicians and governments who use the public reaction to acts of terror for political gain?

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Link and Comment: The Year in Religion, and Adults

Salon, Jeffrey Tayler: Religious delusions are destroying us: “Nothing more than man-made contrivances of domination and submission”. Subtitle: “We managed a year of Charlie Hebdo, Franklin Graham, Ted Cruz, Josh Duggar and more creationism. To sanity in 2016”

An unfortunately familiar review of 2015. I found this paragraph echoing one of my little essays here:

We need to stress the indignity of religion. Superstitions ordaining us to submit to God are the enemies of human dignity. That God is wholly imaginary only compounds this indignity. Coddling the religiously deluded by showing “respect” for the undignified shams to which they are attached (denouncers of “Islamophobia” take note!) drags out the misery they impose on themselves and on the rest of us. In contrast to religious folk, we nonbelievers know how to live free and should never hesitate to point this out. Religion and freedom are incompatible. In fact, religion and true adulthood can’t coexist. One who shies away from bleak facts surrounding our time on Earth is really a child, no matter his or her age.

I might be inclined to revise my version, given an increased appreciation for the way human beings do, in fact, live and thrive despite having delusional ideas about the nature of reality; to a large extent, the nature of reality is irrelevant to human prosperity. Clearly, most people do become functional adults, whatever their religious or supernatural beliefs. My point is that there is a greater, dare I say higher, state of awareness that is possible, a potential that the majority of people never realize or even aspire to: the awareness of the actual nature of reality, that is of humanity’s tiny place within it, and an attendant awareness of how human nature works without presuming that the rest of the entire universe operates on the same principles. That’s what I mean by “active consciousness”, though it might as well be called “meta-awareness” or somesuch, and it is a state currently appreciated mostly by, I would think, scientists, and perhaps by a fair number of science fiction authors and readers.

Note, in Tayler’s essay, that he mentions several significant books of the past year, including Jerry Coyne’s brilliant Faith vs. Fact: Why Science and Religion Are Incompatible (which I took extensive notes on, but never did summarize on this blog), and David Silverman’s (to me problematic) Fighting God, which I just reviewed.

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Review of David Silverman

The book is FIGHTING GOD: An Atheist Manifesto for a Religious World, just published in December 2015, and I’m not linking it with a cover image as I often do with books I review, since I can’t especially approve of the author’s take on this issue. He makes several interesting points, which I’ll summarize, but I don’t find his take on religion, and why people are religious, as especially useful in understanding these issues in the larger context of human culture and history. (I have a couple other books that are more useful in that regard, that I’ll discuss shortly.)

The author is the president, since 2010, of the American Atheists (https://atheists.org/). This is a blunt book with little nuance but some evidence that in-your-face tactics do work to undermine religious privilege, especially Christian privilege, in the US, and evidence that such privilege is fading.

His first chapter exhorts anyone who considers themselves ‘agnostic’ or ‘secular’ or ‘humanist’ to embrace the word and designation *atheist*. He cites cultural issues where atheists have been vilified.

A concept I appreciate is his description (p82) of the so-called Overton window, from which the author quotes a passage from trouble.org [though I can’t find any reference to it currently on that site]:

The Overton window… designates the range of points on the spectrum that are considered part of a “sensible” conversation within public opinion and/or traditional mass media.

The most important thing about the Overton window, however, is that it can be shifted to the left or the right, with the once merely “acceptable” becoming “popular” or even imminent policy, and formerly “unthinkable” positions becoming the open position of a partisan base. The challenge for activists and advocates is to move the window in the direction of their preferred outcomes, so their desired outcome moves closer and closer to “common sense”.

…The short, easy way is to amplify and echo the voices of those who take a position a few notches more radical than what you really want.

Last line is the key — thus the author’s advocacy of in-your-face ‘firebrand’ tactics. I think this is a profound metaphor, and I also think it describes the arc of progressive history: how, from generation to generation, ideas that were once unthinkable are put forth by radicals until they become part of the general political conversation, and eventually, as the generations pass, part of assumed culture. (In part this works because those who resist change are older people who eventually die off.)

I like one other key point that Silverman makes: that “All Religion Is Cafeteria Religion” (p89)

Every time Christians and Jews meet an atheist and don’t kill the person, they are committing cafeterianism. Every time a woman teaches a class, every time a man holds an old-fashioned football, every time anyone wears a blended fabric, the person ignores and breaks a biblical law.

Which is to say, despite nominal belief in the Bible (in the case of Christians and Jews) as the literal word of God, no one in fact follows or believes in every word of it, and every different person makes different decisions [based on their own background, mental biases, social circumstances, etc.] about which parts of it to believe and which parts to ignore. The easiest examples are all those vile condemnations in Leviticus, which modern believers mostly ignore *except* for the one about men sleeping with men. Those who cite Leviticus to justify animus toward gays are making a personal decision about which verse to cite — i.e., it’s about them, not about the Bible.

In later chapters the author addresses morality, and provides a cute version of the ontological argument to prove the most perfect god must be one that does *not* exist. (My thoughts about the various ‘proofs’ of God is why, even if they were valid, they entail any particular god. Why shouldn’t the ontological argument prove the existence of the Greek pantheon of gods?)

And he discusses how the evidence for evolution undermines the entire basis –- Adam and Eve and their need for redemption –- of Christianity. (A point Jerry Coyne is fond of.) It’s all a bronze-age, simplistic, myth.

Further chapters discuss “firebrand” tactics, with examples including billboards, not *competing* with religious organizations, attending conventions on both the right and the left. A brief discussion of morality, with religious right equations of morality to issues of abstinence education (which evidence shows does not work), abortion, gay marriage, etc.

Silverman discusses legal battles that American Atheists have fought, including IRS rules that exempt religious nonprofits from taxes, the exclusion of religious confessionals as accessories to crimes, the 9/11 ‘miracle cross’, and the ‘atheist bench’ set alongside a display of the 10 commandments, which the author places in the context of the Bible’s demands for the execution of those who break the commandments (most of which, of course, are not in fact enshrined in common law).

And final chapters discuss the 2011 Reason Rally in Washington DC, and some exploration of statistics showing that the “nones” are increasing every year. There’s a summary on p217, and several appendices, including reasonable responses to typical questions of atheists – that they have no morals; that they can’t prove God doesn’t exist; whether atheists seek to remove religion from society? [no]. And a key list of questions to believers about why Christianity makes no sense (p242).

And some discussion about how the US’s ‘Founding Fathers’ rejected gospel, p249.2, and approved the Treaty of Tripoli, which explicitly stated that

the Government of the United States of America is not, in any sense, founded on the Christian religion.

One of those quotes the religious right conveniently ignores.

As I said, Silverman is not one for nuance; he says things like “That’s theists being bigoted assholes as a result of serious brainwashing by a poisonous religion cycle.” (p87.3). He tosses that word “brainwashing” around quite a lot.

Salon has an excerpt from the book: I am the Fox News atheist: “Some call me a militant atheist. Others call me a dick. I am neither”, subtitled, “I believe that religion poisons everything and I argue for truth and honesty, no matter the audience. It is working”.

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Film review: BRIDGE OF SPIES

From Facebook, 3jan16:

Today’s movie: “Bridge of Spies”, seen belatedly, nearly 3 months after it was released. (We saw it at the last theater still showing it anywhere in the Bay Area, an independent in Berkeley — another nice, old-fashioned theater with a charming lobby that lets right out onto the street. And parking on residential side-streets.) The film is typically polished Spielberg, a detailed story about an insurance lawyer, played by Tom Hanks, at first defending a Soviet spy captured by the CIA in 1957, and later negotiating a prisoner exchange for that spy for U-2 pilot Francis Gary Powers, captured by the Soviets when his plane was shot down, and another American captured by East Germany. I admire Spielberg for his ambition at taking on serious subjects in his recent films, while at the same time being aware of his being a master manipulator of storytelling; in this film there are a couple cute edits where the consequence of some action in one scene plays out in a different context; and there are several parallel scenes from before and after events; and especially, how he can milk many a dramatic scene, especially the final exchange on the bridge of the title, and the final scene when the Hanks character returns home. You can admire his technique, almost cynically, while still getting choked up.

Tragically, the real Gary Powers went to work as a helicopter pilot for the NBC News affiliate in Los Angeles, and was killed in 1977 when his copter went down in the Sepulveda Dam Recreational Center, near where I lived at the time.

The story does have some echoes with current events — the whole early plot concerns the Hanks character’s willingness to defend a man who is almost certainly a Soviet spy, a man his colleagues want to see hanged, because America runs by the rule of the Constitution, and therefore the man deserves a legitimate defense. Currently we are now in a political era in which several (Republican) candidates for president seem willing to cavalierly disregard Constitution protections against fears of immigrants and the poor — there was an echo of this in “The Big Short” as well — or on the grounds of “religious liberty”.

http://bridgeofspies.com/
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bridge_of_Spies_%28film%29
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Francis_Gary_Powers
http://www.rialtocinemas.com/index.php?location=elmwood

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Film review: THE BIG SHORT

From Facebook, 2jan16:

Today’s movie: “The Big Short”, about as riveting and even emotional as you could possibly imagine a film about the financial crisis of 2007 and 2008 could possibly be. It stars Steve Carell, Christian Bale (as an investor with Asperger’s and a funny haircut who plays drums and reads Terry Books in his office and defies everyone who doubts his predictions), Ryan Gosling, and Brad Pritt as the principals in three or four semi-connected stories about the impending collapse of the mortgage bond industry, and who buy “shorts”, in effect a kind of insurance that pays off if the mortgage industry — and possibly the entire economy — collapses.

The technical background is complex, and the director has some fun ‘explaining’ some of those ideas in scenes with celebrities like Selena Gomez and Anthony Bourdain using metaphors about bets on bets in Las Vegas (keying off the “gambler’s fallacy”), and Sunday night fish stew, speaking directly to the camera.

The plot thickens when the predicted sub-prime mortgages begin defaulting but the credit agencies don’t change their ratings of those bonds, and the big banks like Lehman Brothers proceed as usual, apparently confidant that the government would bail some of them out — which it did.

The principal players all make money off their “shorts”, though not without qualms about being part of the problem — making money off an economic collapse that puts millions out of work and out of their homes. Great film, worth seeing.

http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1596363/
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler’s_fallacy

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Science Fiction As a Prism in the Dawn

Subtitle?

Posted in Book Notes, Provisional Conclusions | Comments Off on Science Fiction As a Prism in the Dawn