Other Shoes Falling

The pundits (and the Democrats) have been warning people about the potential consequences of Trump’s planned policies for months, if not years. Most people see higher grocery prices and don’t care about all those theoretical consequences.

  • Paul Krugman explains why Trump’s deportations will drive up grocery bills;
  • How there really is a deep state, but not what Trump says it is, and my take on the “deep state”;
  • How America’s allies around the world are hedging.
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NY Times, Paul Krugman, 11 Nov 2024: Why Trump’s Deportations Will Drive Up Your Grocery Bill [gift link]

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The Parochial and the Cosmic

  • Our mistake was thinking we lived in a better country than we do;
  • The US has lost faith in the American dream;
  • Connie Willis’s detailed daily political summaries are now at CW Daily on Facebook;
  • With today a dozen or more reason why fascism may not succeed in the US;
  • Switching gears: an essay by cosmologist Paul M. Sutter on how the emptiness of the universe gives our lives meaning.

A few more comments on the current situation.

The Guardian, Rebecca Solnit, 7 Nov 2004: Our mistake was to think we lived in a better country than we do, subtitled “Americans will be stuck cleaning up after Maga’s destructive streak because men like this never clean up after themselves”

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Do Trump’s Voters Know What They’ve Done?

  • Jamelle Bouie asks if Trump Voters know what he has planned for them;
  • Heather Cox Richardson observes how on social media Trump voters are alarmed by the implications of Trump’s polices, which somehow they hadn’t noticed before;
  • Two more lists of reasons why Trump won and Harris lost, from Slate and Salon;
  • How I see the big issue as about how humans react to short-term circumstances and cannot process long-term thinking.

Answer: No.

NY Times, Jamelle Bouie, 9 Nov 2024: What Do Trump Voters Know About the Future He Has Planned for Them?

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Lessons and Narratives

  • Everyone has theories and lessons to be drawn from the election results; Robert Reich rejects several and offers his own;
  • The focus on the current economy is just another example of short-term thinking, at the expense of bigger issues;
  • Disinformation and propaganda were key as well;
  • Items about what the world thinks, American’s dark age, how the consequences will be dire, preparing for the Trump sequel, and weaponizing the First Amendment;
  • And Adam Lee on heading into the dark, but reassuring us it won’t last forever.

It happens after every election, I’m sure, but this time the Monday-morning-quarterbacking (is that the right term?) seems especially extensive. Everyone has their own theory about what the Democrats did wrong, or what Kamala did wrong, or why voters cared about this and not that. The trouble with these is, they’re all ex post facto. If the problems were as obvious as the commentators seem to think, why weren’t they pointed out ahead of time? On the contrary, most Democrats and commentators seemed quite optimistic leading up the election…

So let’s start with Robert Reich’s piece. (In another couple days, maybe, I’ll move to non-political subjects. Maybe even science fiction!)

Robert Reich, 8 Nov 2024: The Lesson, subtitled “The real lesson we should draw from what occurred Tuesday”

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More Aftermath

  • Heather Cox Richardson summarizes;
  • Frank Bruni on the running theme that most voters don’t pay attention to the big picture;
  • RFK Jr and the role of disinformation, perhaps the worst plague of the 21st century;
  • More about who we are and the illiberal trend around the world;
  • And how Trump believers feel validated: God is on their side! Keep smart people out of Daddy’s cabinet! Impose “rough justice” on anchors and outlets that criticized Trump; how prosecutors deserve execution; how women are property; how Jack Smith should be imprisoned.

To cut through the opinionated commentaries about what happened in this week’s election, here’s historian Heather Cox Richard’s very matter-of-fact account.

Letters from an American, Heather Cox Richardson, 6 Nov 2024: November 6, 2024

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This Is Who Some of Us Are

Astonishingly, Trump won the presidency again. Despite everything.

  • Slate: Americans just voted to burn it all to the ground;
  • Trump supporters are calling for executions; and how they laugh at Trump rallies;
  • Zack Beauchamp on Trump’s existential threat, and some hope for optimism;
  • Robert Reich on the Resistance;
  • Tom Nichols suggests that the danger of a Trump administration might be undercut by his incompetence;
  • Personal comments about sexism and racism; how Democrats are not denouncing the results as evidence of cheating; how it will be interesting to track Trump’s promises/threats against results; and how I find this result more shocking than the one in 2016.

Or to the rest of the world, this is what Americans are. This too shall pass.

Slate, Christina Cauterucci, 6 Nov 2024: Americans Just Voted to Burn It All to the Ground, subtitled “This is an even more decisive turning point than 2016.”

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An Election About Elections

We won’t know today.

  • David A. Graham at The Atlantic about how this election is a test;
  • Evidence about how European nations would vote in today’s US presidential election;
  • More about the Republican backlash to the idea that women can think for themselves;
  • Short items about educated women, submission to Christ, how Democrats are demonic, how RFK would remove fluoride, and how today Trump uttered 15 falsehoods in 15 minutes.

The Atlantic, David A. Graham, 5 Nov 2024: This Is a Test, subtitled “Can the country pass?”

This is an election about elections.

One of the two leading candidates in the race, Donald Trump, has not only demonstrated a long-running skepticism of rule of law; he is also the only president in American history to attempt to remain in office after losing an election. This election is a test: Can the American public resoundingly reject a man who has not merely been a chaotic extremist but has also attacked the American system of republican government itself?

No, because to many Americans, Trump represents something more important than the “American system of government,” despite how much they claim to venerate the Constitution. Graham concludes,

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Of Course This Won’t Be All Over Tomorrow

  • Trump’s Wild Claims, Conspiracies and Falsehoods Redefine Presidential Bounds;
  • Trump says rallies are full while a cameraman pans over an empty arena;
  • CNN fact-checks Trump’s final day of his campaign;
  • When called out, Trump says never mind, I was kidding;
  • Robert Reich offers some reassurance;
  • WaPo asks whether Americans are better off now than they were four years ago, and the answer, for most people, is yes;
  • David A. Graham at The Atlantic asks yet again, how is the election this close?
  • Quick takes on voting like atheists, and Tucker Carlson stating that hurricanes are because abortions.

Again and again, why do so many people support a man who lies constantly? You can’t believe anything he says! That means you can’t *count* on anything he says, no matter what he promises. He’s a con man. Why do his fans believe him??

NY Times, news analysis by Peter Baker, 3 Nov 2024: Trump’s Wild Claims, Conspiracies and Falsehoods Redefine Presidential Bounds, subtitled “Throughout his life, Donald J. Trump has bent the truth to serve his needs, never more so than on the campaign trail to win back the White House.”

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César Hidalgo, WHY INFORMATION GROWS

Subtitled “The Evolution of Order, from Atoms to Economies”
(Basic Books, 2015, xxi + 232 pp, including 51pp of acknowledgements, notes, and index)

A few weeks ago I sat down to read the new Yuval Noah Harari book, NEXUS, and just a few pages in noticed a footnote crediting much of his understanding of the concept of “information” to César Hildago’s WHY INFORMATION GROWS. And I realized, I have that book! It’s that green one! So I got it off the shelf and browsed a bit. His thesis based on that browsing seemed very similar, at least analogous if not identical, to a key idea in the Brian Greene book I read recently, UNTIL THE END OF TIME (review here) — the idea that order can build up, despite the 2nd law of thermodynamics, but only *temporarily*, even if temporary means billions of years, because of the course of the life of the *entire* universe, that order (or information) will dissolve back into entropy. (Greene calls this “the entropic two-step”.) How interesting! That meant the little green Hidalgo book has ties to two other big books. So I set Harari aside, to get Hidalgo’s ideas from the source. And here we are. How does this idea relate to “information”? How exactly does he define “information”? That’s what Harari deals with too.

(More broadly, the idea of that evolution can happen despite the 2nd law of thermodynamics, an idea disputed by naive, ill-educated people who desperately want evolution to be untrue so that can think their Bible is true, relates to a broad range of topics. And another 2015 book I haven’t read, Matt Ridley’s THE EVOLUTION OF EVERYTHING.)

So: the universe is made of energy, matter, and information, and it’s the last that makes it interesting. It hides in pockets at the universe succumbs to entropy. Nevertheless, information grows. Without summarizing the entire book, here are some key points:

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How Much Is There Left to Say?

  • David French: There will always be a Trump;
  • David Frum: No one has an alibi;
  • Facts, if anyone cares, about the economy under Biden and Trump (On 17 points: Biden advantage 11, Trump advantage 5, and 1 unclear);
  • How Musk’s mother claims she can vote multiple times; How a Project 2025 leader suggests Christians will be forbidden to worship; How maps show that Trump and his fans actually despise most Americans; Zach Beauchamp compares Trump to Orbán; Gingrich is infuriated over the idea that wives might vote differently than their husbands; Vance suggests testosterone aligns with conservative politics; and how Trump has lured evangelicals to follow Satan.
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NY Times, David French, 3 Nov 2024: There Will Always Be a Trump. That’s Only Part of the Problem.

This echoes a key theme of my blog; as I said in my summary of the Prothero book yesterday, “there will always be gays and bigots.” Base human nature will never go away. But it’s despite that that humanity has made progress.

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