Link and Comment: Terrorism and Republican Fear-Mongering

Jerry Coyne points to an essay by Lawrence Krauss, in The New Yorker: Thinking Rationally About Terror.

Krauss’ essay addresses the fairly obvious fact that incidents of ‘terrorism’, despite the publicity they get and panic they trigger, are very rare compared to ordinary dangers like car crashes and (especially in the US) gun violence.

It is sobering to recognize that this month’s attack in California, as horrific as it was, does not skew the statistics at all; sadly, December 2nd in San Bernardino was just another average day in the United States. In fact, with over a hundred and eighty people shot each day in this country, even a mass killing like that which occurred in Paris would not significantly affect the death toll from guns in the U.S.

Needless to say, it is terrifying to know that there are individuals living among us with the express intent of killing randomly, for effect. But we must recognize that that’s the point of terrorism: it aims to scare us, thereby disrupting normal life.

And the fact that the terrorists have, in fact, driven much of the US population into an unreasonable panic means that…in a way… they have won. And the Republican presidential candidates are doing their best, by playing off that fear, to help them win. As another Salon essay captures, just today: David Brooks is so very afraid: Ted Cruz, Donald Trump and the New York Times sadistically exploit anxiety over Islamic terrorism to grab votes.

Krauss again:

A cynical individual might wonder who benefits more from the terror induced by terrorism: the terrorists themselves or the politicians and governments who use the public reaction to acts of terror for political gain?

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Link and Comment: The Year in Religion, and Adults

Salon, Jeffrey Tayler: Religious delusions are destroying us: “Nothing more than man-made contrivances of domination and submission”. Subtitle: “We managed a year of Charlie Hebdo, Franklin Graham, Ted Cruz, Josh Duggar and more creationism. To sanity in 2016”

An unfortunately familiar review of 2015. I found this paragraph echoing one of my little essays here:

We need to stress the indignity of religion. Superstitions ordaining us to submit to God are the enemies of human dignity. That God is wholly imaginary only compounds this indignity. Coddling the religiously deluded by showing “respect” for the undignified shams to which they are attached (denouncers of “Islamophobia” take note!) drags out the misery they impose on themselves and on the rest of us. In contrast to religious folk, we nonbelievers know how to live free and should never hesitate to point this out. Religion and freedom are incompatible. In fact, religion and true adulthood can’t coexist. One who shies away from bleak facts surrounding our time on Earth is really a child, no matter his or her age.

I might be inclined to revise my version, given an increased appreciation for the way human beings do, in fact, live and thrive despite having delusional ideas about the nature of reality; to a large extent, the nature of reality is irrelevant to human prosperity. Clearly, most people do become functional adults, whatever their religious or supernatural beliefs. My point is that there is a greater, dare I say higher, state of awareness that is possible, a potential that the majority of people never realize or even aspire to: the awareness of the actual nature of reality, that is of humanity’s tiny place within it, and an attendant awareness of how human nature works without presuming that the rest of the entire universe operates on the same principles. That’s what I mean by “active consciousness”, though it might as well be called “meta-awareness” or somesuch, and it is a state currently appreciated mostly by, I would think, scientists, and perhaps by a fair number of science fiction authors and readers.

Note, in Tayler’s essay, that he mentions several significant books of the past year, including Jerry Coyne’s brilliant Faith vs. Fact: Why Science and Religion Are Incompatible (which I took extensive notes on, but never did summarize on this blog), and David Silverman’s (to me problematic) Fighting God, which I just reviewed.

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Review of David Silverman

The book is FIGHTING GOD: An Atheist Manifesto for a Religious World, just published in December 2015, and I’m not linking it with a cover image as I often do with books I review, since I can’t especially approve of the author’s take on this issue. He makes several interesting points, which I’ll summarize, but I don’t find his take on religion, and why people are religious, as especially useful in understanding these issues in the larger context of human culture and history. (I have a couple other books that are more useful in that regard, that I’ll discuss shortly.)

The author is the president, since 2010, of the American Atheists (https://atheists.org/). This is a blunt book with little nuance but some evidence that in-your-face tactics do work to undermine religious privilege, especially Christian privilege, in the US, and evidence that such privilege is fading.

His first chapter exhorts anyone who considers themselves ‘agnostic’ or ‘secular’ or ‘humanist’ to embrace the word and designation *atheist*. He cites cultural issues where atheists have been vilified.

A concept I appreciate is his description (p82) of the so-called Overton window, from which the author quotes a passage from trouble.org [though I can’t find any reference to it currently on that site]:

The Overton window… designates the range of points on the spectrum that are considered part of a “sensible” conversation within public opinion and/or traditional mass media.

The most important thing about the Overton window, however, is that it can be shifted to the left or the right, with the once merely “acceptable” becoming “popular” or even imminent policy, and formerly “unthinkable” positions becoming the open position of a partisan base. The challenge for activists and advocates is to move the window in the direction of their preferred outcomes, so their desired outcome moves closer and closer to “common sense”.

…The short, easy way is to amplify and echo the voices of those who take a position a few notches more radical than what you really want.

Last line is the key — thus the author’s advocacy of in-your-face ‘firebrand’ tactics. I think this is a profound metaphor, and I also think it describes the arc of progressive history: how, from generation to generation, ideas that were once unthinkable are put forth by radicals until they become part of the general political conversation, and eventually, as the generations pass, part of assumed culture. (In part this works because those who resist change are older people who eventually die off.)

I like one other key point that Silverman makes: that “All Religion Is Cafeteria Religion” (p89)

Every time Christians and Jews meet an atheist and don’t kill the person, they are committing cafeterianism. Every time a woman teaches a class, every time a man holds an old-fashioned football, every time anyone wears a blended fabric, the person ignores and breaks a biblical law.

Which is to say, despite nominal belief in the Bible (in the case of Christians and Jews) as the literal word of God, no one in fact follows or believes in every word of it, and every different person makes different decisions [based on their own background, mental biases, social circumstances, etc.] about which parts of it to believe and which parts to ignore. The easiest examples are all those vile condemnations in Leviticus, which modern believers mostly ignore *except* for the one about men sleeping with men. Those who cite Leviticus to justify animus toward gays are making a personal decision about which verse to cite — i.e., it’s about them, not about the Bible.

In later chapters the author addresses morality, and provides a cute version of the ontological argument to prove the most perfect god must be one that does *not* exist. (My thoughts about the various ‘proofs’ of God is why, even if they were valid, they entail any particular god. Why shouldn’t the ontological argument prove the existence of the Greek pantheon of gods?)

And he discusses how the evidence for evolution undermines the entire basis –- Adam and Eve and their need for redemption –- of Christianity. (A point Jerry Coyne is fond of.) It’s all a bronze-age, simplistic, myth.

Further chapters discuss “firebrand” tactics, with examples including billboards, not *competing* with religious organizations, attending conventions on both the right and the left. A brief discussion of morality, with religious right equations of morality to issues of abstinence education (which evidence shows does not work), abortion, gay marriage, etc.

Silverman discusses legal battles that American Atheists have fought, including IRS rules that exempt religious nonprofits from taxes, the exclusion of religious confessionals as accessories to crimes, the 9/11 ‘miracle cross’, and the ‘atheist bench’ set alongside a display of the 10 commandments, which the author places in the context of the Bible’s demands for the execution of those who break the commandments (most of which, of course, are not in fact enshrined in common law).

And final chapters discuss the 2011 Reason Rally in Washington DC, and some exploration of statistics showing that the “nones” are increasing every year. There’s a summary on p217, and several appendices, including reasonable responses to typical questions of atheists – that they have no morals; that they can’t prove God doesn’t exist; whether atheists seek to remove religion from society? [no]. And a key list of questions to believers about why Christianity makes no sense (p242).

And some discussion about how the US’s ‘Founding Fathers’ rejected gospel, p249.2, and approved the Treaty of Tripoli, which explicitly stated that

the Government of the United States of America is not, in any sense, founded on the Christian religion.

One of those quotes the religious right conveniently ignores.

As I said, Silverman is not one for nuance; he says things like “That’s theists being bigoted assholes as a result of serious brainwashing by a poisonous religion cycle.” (p87.3). He tosses that word “brainwashing” around quite a lot.

Salon has an excerpt from the book: I am the Fox News atheist: “Some call me a militant atheist. Others call me a dick. I am neither”, subtitled, “I believe that religion poisons everything and I argue for truth and honesty, no matter the audience. It is working”.

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Film review: BRIDGE OF SPIES

From Facebook, 3jan16:

Today’s movie: “Bridge of Spies”, seen belatedly, nearly 3 months after it was released. (We saw it at the last theater still showing it anywhere in the Bay Area, an independent in Berkeley — another nice, old-fashioned theater with a charming lobby that lets right out onto the street. And parking on residential side-streets.) The film is typically polished Spielberg, a detailed story about an insurance lawyer, played by Tom Hanks, at first defending a Soviet spy captured by the CIA in 1957, and later negotiating a prisoner exchange for that spy for U-2 pilot Francis Gary Powers, captured by the Soviets when his plane was shot down, and another American captured by East Germany. I admire Spielberg for his ambition at taking on serious subjects in his recent films, while at the same time being aware of his being a master manipulator of storytelling; in this film there are a couple cute edits where the consequence of some action in one scene plays out in a different context; and there are several parallel scenes from before and after events; and especially, how he can milk many a dramatic scene, especially the final exchange on the bridge of the title, and the final scene when the Hanks character returns home. You can admire his technique, almost cynically, while still getting choked up.

Tragically, the real Gary Powers went to work as a helicopter pilot for the NBC News affiliate in Los Angeles, and was killed in 1977 when his copter went down in the Sepulveda Dam Recreational Center, near where I lived at the time.

The story does have some echoes with current events — the whole early plot concerns the Hanks character’s willingness to defend a man who is almost certainly a Soviet spy, a man his colleagues want to see hanged, because America runs by the rule of the Constitution, and therefore the man deserves a legitimate defense. Currently we are now in a political era in which several (Republican) candidates for president seem willing to cavalierly disregard Constitution protections against fears of immigrants and the poor — there was an echo of this in “The Big Short” as well — or on the grounds of “religious liberty”.

http://bridgeofspies.com/
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bridge_of_Spies_%28film%29
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Francis_Gary_Powers
http://www.rialtocinemas.com/index.php?location=elmwood

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Film review: THE BIG SHORT

From Facebook, 2jan16:

Today’s movie: “The Big Short”, about as riveting and even emotional as you could possibly imagine a film about the financial crisis of 2007 and 2008 could possibly be. It stars Steve Carell, Christian Bale (as an investor with Asperger’s and a funny haircut who plays drums and reads Terry Books in his office and defies everyone who doubts his predictions), Ryan Gosling, and Brad Pritt as the principals in three or four semi-connected stories about the impending collapse of the mortgage bond industry, and who buy “shorts”, in effect a kind of insurance that pays off if the mortgage industry — and possibly the entire economy — collapses.

The technical background is complex, and the director has some fun ‘explaining’ some of those ideas in scenes with celebrities like Selena Gomez and Anthony Bourdain using metaphors about bets on bets in Las Vegas (keying off the “gambler’s fallacy”), and Sunday night fish stew, speaking directly to the camera.

The plot thickens when the predicted sub-prime mortgages begin defaulting but the credit agencies don’t change their ratings of those bonds, and the big banks like Lehman Brothers proceed as usual, apparently confidant that the government would bail some of them out — which it did.

The principal players all make money off their “shorts”, though not without qualms about being part of the problem — making money off an economic collapse that puts millions out of work and out of their homes. Great film, worth seeing.

http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1596363/
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler’s_fallacy

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Science Fiction As a Prism in the Dawn

Subtitle?

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Review of “The Danish Girl”

from Facebook, today:

Today’s movie: “The Danish Girl”, which both Yeong and I liked better than I’d expected given the lukewarm reviews. (Glancing at those negative reviews, their theme seems to be that the movie is too polished, too flat and cold, too mainstream, rather like some of the criticisms directed at “Carol”; I’m thinking those critics are jaded.) Redmayne and the character’s wife played by Alicia Vikander are both great [though Redmayne, after playing Stephen Hawking last year, might be at risk becoming merely an expert stunt actor], and we also liked Matthias Schoenaerts and Ben Whishaw. I thought the subject was handled frankly but not without some delicacy, with some insight about the idea of why a person would feel they are at their core a different gender, but without alluding to any easy explanations — because there are no easy explanations (despite the quick and drastic diagnoses of the several doctors Redmayne’s character visits at one point), and because whatever explanations there might be are surely different from individual to individual. A lovely and moving film. (With characteristically glittery, Philip Glassesque music by Alexandre Desplat.)

(We saw this at a three-screen theater in Berkeley, with a parking structure nearby to alleviate worries of parking tickets, but which cost $9 for the stay. It being Berkeley, the host who came in to introduce the film advised us of the theater’s composting policy, reminding us to deposit our soda and popcorn garbage in the green bins…)

http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0810819/

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The Yearning for the Golden Past

The Conservative Grand Narrative, according to Jonathan Haidt (mentioned in my discussion of his book The Righteous Mind in this post) is about “the struggle to return to a golden past” — a theme we hear echoed in Republican presidential candidates’ platforms, e.g. Trump’s “Make America Great Again”. Those who appeal to this theme never seem to spell out which past era they want to return to. When was America last great in a way it is not now? My guess would be the era after World War II, the last war the US won, and before all the other wars since then in which the US has gotten involved, in which the US has not won, again and again. (The Republican candidates, it might be noted, seem eager to start new wars. Carpet-bomb ISIS, says Ted Cruz.) But of course that late 1940s to early 1960s [before the Vietnam War] era was one of great social change, and this yearning for an era of unbridled US dominance across the world ignores what we would now consider social inequities of those eras. I’m guessing, again, that those inequities are of very little concern to the conservatives yearning for that golden past of US domination across the globe.

An op-ed in last Tuesday’s New York Times explores some of this, and how the conservative narrative, composed of many lies, seems not to matter: Donald Trump’s Unstoppable Virality, by Emma Roller. It’s partly about how Trump says outlandish things just to get attention — “As long as stories about Mr. Trump are receiving as many eyeballs as possible, it doesn’t really matter if people are reacting negatively to him. In fact, it probably helps his popularity.”

Echoing Chris Mooney’s book:

And people with certain political leanings may be more predisposed to sharing. According to Bradley M. Okdie, a social psychologist at Ohio State University at Newark, conservatives are more likely to share a given piece of content than liberals are, especially if it provokes a negative emotion.

“Conservatives tend to be a lot more reactive to negative information and they also tend to be a lot more insular in nature, and they also tend to have less tolerance for ambiguity,” Professor Okdie said. “Conservatives would prefer a negative concrete statement to a slightly positive, uncertain statement.”

With his us vs. them invective and his refusal to denounce hate-filled speech from some of his supporters, Mr. Trump is an echo chamber for certain corners of the far right, as evinced by his popularity with white nationalists and the so-called alt-right movement of mostly online activists.

“Donald Trump is telling them something they already believe, and they’re sharing it because they want other people to believe it too,” Professor Hemsley, who studies virality, said.

When was this golden era again? Two other op-eds in the same day’s paper describe ignominious moments of America’s past.

The Great Christmas Strike of 1906, by Peter Manseau: keying off a recent event in which a Virginia mother objected to a lesson at the local school to copy out an Arabic religious phrase, as an exercise in calligraphy. She perceived it as an attempt at indoctrination to Islam. [The parallel to the perceived ‘war on Christmas’ as somehow *not* being about Christian privilege in a nominally secular society is too obvious to pursue.]

There is perhaps no greater indication of the potency of religious language than the fear it sometimes inspires. Both those who believe the Shahada and those who don’t appear to agree that some words have spiritual consequences.

Concerned that their faith is being challenged in the classroom, Christians like Ms. Herndon have lately led the charge against supposed religious indoctrination in Virginia, Georgia and Tennessee. They have not had a monopoly on such fears in American history, however.

In fact, what may well be the single largest action taken by parents worried about religious indoctrination in American schools was made not in defense of Christianity, but against it.

The piece goes on to describe the event of the title, in which Jewish children in New York City, back in 1906, rebelled against the inclusion of Christian hymns, compositions, pictures, and decorations in the public schools, to the point where 20,000 of them boycotted.

And then there is Los Angeles, a City of Better Angels, by Héctor Tobar [author of that book about the 33 Chilean miners]. About lynches and mob killings in the city, in 1870 and 1871.

Here, as elsewhere, there are those who believe there is safety to be found in cultural homogeneity — and danger lurking in our embrace of diversity and openness. I’ve been listening to our local xenophobes rail about the perils of Mexican immigrants for decades. Now they’ve found Donald J. Trump adding to their “close the border” chorus with calls to bar Muslims as well as Mexicans.

In California, these are old arguments. Thankfully, we also have a long tradition of resistance to intolerance.

I’ve previously linked to other items about the relative intolerance of past eras — e.g. how the Irish were demonized, way back in the 1850s, in much the same way Muslims are these days — not to mention the Chinese and the blacks and many others throughout our history…

The conservative yearning for a golden past is a fantasy; like other conservative engagements with reality, as the Chris Mooney book explored (my comments on his book The Republican Brain), it prioritizes narrative, in the service of social cohesion and resistance to change and new understanding.

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Review of “Carol”

From Facebook, 30 Dec 15:

Seeing “Carol” at a classic movie theater on Piedmont Avenue–

We saw a film today at a classic old movie theater, the kind on a street corner along a street lined with shops and cafes, where you walk out of the lobby afterwards right onto the street! This was the first time we’ve seen a movie in the Bay Area anywhere other than the AMC theaters in Emeryville, where you park in a large structure behind the theaters and adjacent shops.

The theater was charming but parking problematic: street parking was limited to 2 hours. I asked the ticket clerk about it, and he suggested parking on the side streets several blocks back, where the two-hour limit didn’t apply. It was raining today, so we got a space on the main street in front of the theater, fed the meter immediately before the film, then raced back to the car before the credits finished. (For the first time in likely 20 years, I did not sit through the credits, fearing a parking ticket.)

The film was Carol, starring Cate Blanchett and Rooney Mara, a lesbian romance set in the early 1950s, adapted from a novel by Patricia Highsmith (who also did the book that the film The Talented Mister Ripley was based on). It’s immaculately produced and subtly acted, with the plot considering the consequences in that era for anyone suspected of behavior that would trigger an “immorality clause”, that threatens the Blanchett character from losing contact with her child. This is not a film of histrionics, but the best scene is when Blanchett’s character, meeting her and her husband’s lawyers, defies their agreement that would brand her some kind of deviant, insisting that they are not ugly people, the kind of people who would drag their dispute through the courts at the expense of their child. It’s a dramatic scene in a film that is mostly about subtle nuances…including, most especially, the final scene.

http://www.landmarktheatres.com/san-francisco-east-b…/…/info

http://www.imdb.com/title/tt2402927/

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The Narrative of Narratives

A couple of years ago, when I read David McRaney’s second book, You Are Now Less Dumb, with its long section about human beings’ ‘narrative bias’, in which everything must be understood as some kind of story, this was a revelation. (Blog post about it here.) This explained various biases toward ideas like “everything happens for a reason” and why when disasters happens, the faithful become even more faithful, because God must have a reason.

Of course, this is a delusion. The universe is not a narrative, and things happen at scales very small and very large which do not operate in any kind of cause-effect relationship that we humans perceive on our interaction with our environment at the scale at which we live.

It may just be confirmation bias, but I don’t think so: the idea of ‘narrative’ is becoming a cultural meme.

First, from the New York Times Magazine a couple weeks ago: When the ‘Narrative’ Becomes the Story by Mark Leibovich, which focuses on political narratives.

When did a plain story become a perpetual narrative? It used to be that after something happened, our leaders, or would-be leaders, would simply debate whatever occurred. It was not always elegant or polite. But the exercise was at least direct. Politicians would unfurl their platforms and attacks and (if they wanted to get all lofty about it) their ‘‘visions.’’ The media would cover it, and then we could all go on with our lives without having to endure an endless belch of rapid reactions and step-back analyses.

Now we must fashion ‘‘narratives.’’ It has all become so faux-momentous, especially in the dispiriting potboiler of our national politics. There might be ‘‘counternarratives’’ to a ‘‘false narrative’’ that feed a ‘‘meta-narrative.’’ The horrific shootings in San Bernardino were barely more than a few hours old when a headline on the conservative website Breitbart was crowing that the mass shootings ‘‘Destroy Leftist Narrative After Leftist Narrative.’’ After the attacks in Paris, President Obama spoke not just of defeating ISIL but also of undercutting ‘‘the ISIL narrative.’’

Second, Time Magazine’s double issue for Dec 28/ Jan 4, about “The Year Ahead”, has a section about Media, by James Murdoch (the CEO of 21st Century Fox), with this subtitle: “Storytelling — both fiction and nonfiction, for good and for ill — will continue to define the world”.

We have examples of transformative storytelling all around us.

Storytelling isn’t always positive. In the midst of the chaos of Iraq and Syria, ISIS masterfully tells its story of blood-soaked vengeance against supposed oppressors in their own lands and those from the West. Its stories sow the seeds of unspeakable atrocities from Raqqa to Paris.

Entrenched and compromised interests spin the fiction that science is more divided than united, and they sow seeds of uncertainty on issues of unquestionable priority: namely, the survival of our species on this planet.

In 2016 and beyond, those who wish to create a better world will have to make storytelling the center of their efforts, not an afterthought. It’s clear that economic and military might will always be the key levers of statecraft. But more than ever before, swift and dramatic change is being driven by powerful narratives that crisscross the world at the speed of a click or a swipe.

We will have to see if 2016 will be a year in which stories of anger, grievance, resentment and scapegoating of the “other” are ascendant, or whether stories of the power of love, empathy and hope for a better future rule the day.

Third, a book review from the weekend’s Wall Street Journal, a paper I don’t normally read but which was free at our hotel in Hollywood this past weekend. It’s a review by Alan Hirshfeld of a book by Randy Olson, Houston, We Have a Narrative (which, despite the review credit, has a paperback edition available for less than $20).

The idea here is that science hasn’t appealed to ordinary folk because it doesn’t have the strong narrative (that religions do).

In “Houston, We Have a Narrative,” Randy Olson, a marine biologist turned Hollywood-based filmmaker and communications consultant, perceives a “narrative deficiency” in the way science presents itself. It is scientists’ feeble storytelling, he claims, that induces yawns in the bulk of society and skepticism, if not outright hostility, in the rest. Whether or not such a blanket assertion is correct, Mr. Olson’s remedy makes sense: To better communicate, researchers should try to distill their work into its story-like essence, ideally a single sentence or perhaps a paragraph, from which can be assembled an engaging, mostly non-technical narrative—a human-interest tale built on scientific facts.

The book’s three-part structure is explicitly modeled after the classic Hegelian triad of thesis/antithesis/synthesis. The “thesis” section posits the aforementioned narrative deficiency in science reportage, while the next section shrugs off its “antithesis” label and elaborates on the narrative techniques that scientists might adopt. Under “synthesis” are anecdotal assessments of these techniques and several case studies, as well as a summary recommendation that scientists create group story-writing circles.

Despite my earlier comment about the idea of narrative as becoming almost a cultural cliche, I am inclined to think the idea of narrative is a cultural imperative, especially as it applies to science and how humanity understands, through science, its place in the universe. Is science fiction a narrative that enables humanity to understand its place in the universe? I’m thinking yes, to some extent, but not entirely. In any event, I am thinking that anyone who might ponder writing a book about how the evident truths of science apply to how humanity understands itself needs to understand how narrative, like sugar, helps the medicine go down.

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