The Sixth Extinction and the Pope’s Encyclical

Weekend Facebook post, amended:

The Sixth Extinction: Curious this topic is in the news suddenly, all over the past couple days, since the idea has been recognized for years and the latest Pulitzer Prize winning nonfiction book, by Elizabeth Kolbert, was on precisely this subject. Coincidentally, I read that book a couple weeks ago and will post a summary and comments about it on my blog shortly. The current trigger that all the news is about a new report from an American Association for the Advancement of Science site, http://advances.sciencemag.org/content/1/5/e1400253, which summarizes:

The oft-repeated claim that Earth’s biota is entering a sixth “mass extinction” depends on clearly demonstrating that current extinction rates are far above the “background” rates prevailing in the five previous mass extinctions. Earlier estimates of extinction rates have been criticized for using assumptions that might overestimate the severity of the extinction crisis. We assess, using extremely conservative assumptions, whether human activities are causing a mass extinction.

As the Time article indicates, “this paper hardly breaks ground in its premise…. What differs, here, are the criteria; the scientists estimated very conservatively when it came to how many species have recently gone extinct, and still found that conservative estimate showing the likelihood of an environmental cataclysm.”

Here’s another post about this at Slate: The Earth’s Sixth Mass Extinction is Here—and Humans are to Blame

There’s a tie here with the recent Pope environmental encyclical and criticism of it on the grounds that it dismisses a primary cause: the exploding [in the contest of Earth’s history] population of the human race.

http://time.com/3929419/scientists-sixth-extinction/

http://www.amazon.com/Sixth-Extinction-Unnatural-His…/…/0805092994/

Some realists/rationalists/scientists welcome the Pope’s stance on accepting climate change, while being troubled by his sidestepping of one of the principal causes: the every-expanding population of humanity. (Of course, the Catholic Church’s stance on abortion to birth control has the underlying motivation of *increasing the human tribe*. Be fruitful and multiply! If only the Church would acknowledge that we humans are smart enough to perceive that this advice cannot continue forever, or we will fill up the planet, destroy all other life on the planet, and doom our species.)

Here’s Lawrence M. Krauss at Scientific American:

Ideology Subsumes Empiricism in Pope’s Climate Encyclical

One can argue until one is blue in the face that God has a preordained plan for every zygote, but the simple fact is that if one is seriously worried about the environment on a global scale population is a problem. A population of 10 billion by 2050 will likely be unsustainable at a level in which all humans have adequate food, water, medicine and security.

Posted in Culture, Evolution, Religion | Comments Off on The Sixth Extinction and the Pope’s Encyclical

Bible System Updates

From The New Yorker, last November: Bible System Updates

VERSION 1.0: Original release. Heavens, Earth, formless void.

And so on.

1.6 “Sodom and Gomorrah” N.S.F.W. glitch identified and removed. Bible now free of “Homosexuality” virus.

And then

VERSION 2.0: “New Testament” expansion pack. Adds Jesus features.

And so on and so on.

VERSION 6.0: Homosexuality-compatible. Homosexual colors added back (sea-foam green, fire-engine red).

6.1 Eve now known as Steve.

6.2 “Original Sin” glitch fixed; basic human goodness implied.

And finally,

6.12 “God” feature removed entirely. Replaced with “The Cloud.”

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Narrativium and Lies-to-children

I was looking at the third volume in this series, published in the US last week (the publisher, Penguin Random House/Anchor, has kindly been sending me copies), and realized the book wasn’t at all what I’d thought at first glance – i.e. not about justifying the ‘science’ of the Discworld universe, as the title might suggest (the way a book like THE SCIENCE OF STAR TREK might try to do) – but something quite different and much more interesting. I read a few pages of that and then went back to read the first volume, end of last week.

[I confess I have not read any Discworld novel. I need to catch up.]

What these books do (a fourth is due in the US later this year) is *contrast* how the fantasy universe of Discworld works, with the reality of how our own universe works, on two basic points: in Discworld, magic works, and things happen for reasons, i.e. because of narrative imperative. Discworld has ‘narrativium’ p10. Our real world doesn’t have narrativium, though the concept is fundamental to how humans *think* about that world, p11.

The book’s structure alternates fictional chapters (3 or 4 pages each) of a story in which the wizards of Discworld have accidentally created what they call Roundworld, i.e. our own Earth, inside a container that’s infinite on the inside (and thus encompassing our entire universe), with nonfiction passages (8 or 10 pages each) that expound upon the points raised by the story. As the wizards advance the arrow of time to watch Roundworld develop, they are concerned by how things seem to develop without magic and without narrativium – just by virtue of the ‘rules’ or ‘laws’ built into it. As the wizards puzzle things out in the fiction chapters, the nonfiction chapters [presumably by Stewart and Cohen at least mostly] explain what they don’t understand.

So the book is a primer on current scientific thinking about the origins of the universe, physical theories of everything, the formation of our planet, the history of life on earth, the evolution of dinosaurs and ultimately of humans, told in a straightforward, insightful and occasionally cheeky, occasionally profound, manner.

Will not summarize entire book, but will note several insightful points. [Page references are to the Anchor trade paperback edition, where p12t means top of page 12 (m=middle, b=bottom), and p18.3 means 3/10 of the way down page 18.]

P12t: Many important questions of science are not about how the universe actually is, but about what would happen if the universe were different.

P33.3: regarding deep mysteries like consciousness: “A scientist wants plausible answers to such questions, not just an excuse to stop thinking about them.” (Contrasting, of course, the religious and ID proponents who would say God did it, end of story.)

P37m, authors use the idea of a space elevator as a recurring metaphor for e.g. various evolutionary developments: the initial expense of the elevator would be enormous, but once it’s done, and you can balance the cost of moving things up with the energy of things coming down, it’s relatively free.

P41 We have ‘magic’ in our world to the extent we are surrounding by technology that we don’t personally understand; cf. Clarke’s law. But TV, e.g., is magic to everyone who uses it *now*.

P43 Education is a special kind of magic that humans use to pass ideas from one generation to the next. But early explanations to children have to be simple: “lies-to-children”. Most basic science is lies-to-children; only later do some learn the more complex ideas. Examples p44, and footnote comment: students arrive at university confidant they know nearly everything, and leave years later certain they know practically nothing. (I see Lie-to-children has its own Wikipedia entry!)

P52, discussion of human concepts of beginnings and becomings, but the universe may not actually work to those ideas. E.g., our best idea about the beginning of the universe, per Hawking, is that it *didn’t* begin, any more than there’s a place further north than the north pole. But we need creation myths, p58b, that appeal to our sense that things must have beginnings.

P59 In contrast some things about are becomings, with no clear boundary from one stage to the next – e.g. abortions, or gender identity between male and female.

P88.3 Science is common sense *applied to evidence*.

P103-104, description of a computer program called Langston’s Ant, which produces very simple results for a while, then chaotic results, and then emergent order, all resulting from the same simple rule. (The point is, a single simple “theory of everything” wouldn’t ‘explain’ in any obvious way the emergent order that might result from it.)

P185 How humans ‘reify’ ideas by supposing corresponding ‘things’ must exist in the real world. Bravery? Cowardice? Space? Debt?

P188:

Concepts like gods, truth, and soul appear to exist only in so far as humans consider them to do so … But they work some magic for us. They add narrativium to our culture. They bring pain, hope, despair, and comfort. They wind up our elastic. Good or bad, they’ve made us into people.

P219 Amidst some explanation of how DNA works, i.e. it’s not a blueprint, but a series of instructions that have been cobbled together by natural selection because they work, not because they make any kind of obvious sense. (One of many reasons there is rarely a single gene for any particular characteristic.) The comparison is an engineer who ‘evolved’ electronic circuits using a sort of genetic algorithm, repeating attempts each generation by selecting those that were closest to the desired answer. Amazingly, after some 4100 generations a perfect solution was found—which used only 32 of the 100 available logic cells.

P274, in a chapter about probability and statistics, with details about how ‘coincidences’ happen all the time, and so on, and stressing that apparent remarkable incidents are often the result of selective reporting.

Humans add narrativium to their world. They insist in interpreting the universe as if it’s telling a story. This leads them to focus on facts that fit the story, while ignoring those that don’t. But we mustn’t let coincidence, the clump, choose the sample space – when we do that, we’re ignoring the surrounding space of near-coincidences.

P307 Discussion of ‘Deccan Traps’, something I hadn’t heard of before – huge geological deposits of lava that are apparently the consequence of meteor strikes *on the other side of the planet*, strikes which generated shockwaves that converged half way round the world and triggered volcanic events.

P335, nice concept of “Grandfather” as a unit of time for discussion evolutionary periods among recent eras: a Grandfather is 50 years. Thus, Christ lived 40 Grandfathers ago. On this scale, humans diverged from chimps some 140,000 Grandfathers ago. (While simulations have shown that an entire eye can evolve in a mere 8000 Grandfathers, p336.)

P338-9 discussion of how brains are recursive and involve neural networks… How the invention of the nest was crucial to human culture, since humans spend so much time and energy rearing their children. And oh, how high sex drives seem related to intelligence… 😉 About those Bonobos.

P348 Humans compliment their intelligence with ‘extelligence’, all the external influences, culture and otherwise, that affect the brain and the mind.

P351 The context for the evolution of the mind is being among lots of other minds.

Each culture has devised a technique for putting into the minds of the next generation what it is that will make them put it into the minds of the next generations after that – a recursive system that keeps the culture going. Lies-to-children often feature prominently.

And:

We are running into problems doing this today, because old-style tribal cultures, even national cultures, are becoming intermingled with an international culture. This leads to clashes between what used to be separate cultures, triggering their breakdown…

P355 Authors cite a concept from Samuel R. Delany’s 1966 novel Empire Star (which I read years ago), about simplex vs complex vs multiplex:

Simplex minds have a single-world view and know exactly what everyone ought to do. Complex minds recognize the existence of different world views. Multiplex ones wonder how useful a specific world view actually is in a world of conflicting paradigms, but find a way to operate despite that.

And p356 last para:

We are having to cope with multiplexity. We’re grappling with the problem right now: it’s why global politics has suddenly become a lot more complicated than it used to be. Answers are in short supply, but one things seems clear: rigid cultural fundamentalism isn’t going to get us anywhere.

The second to last nonfiction chapter considers the idea that, in the long term (they’ve just reviewed the history of our planet, with its mass extinctions, after all), a planet is not a safe place to be. Where might we go? Back to the idea of the space elevator; Mars; generation ships.

The final chapter acknowledges that this book isn’t called the “Religion of Discworld”… but this is “explained to the hilt” in the second book. They advise, “All religions are true, for a given value of ‘truth’.” P378.

And they ponder what it might mean if there we never do encounter intelligent life, and our world is all there is.

This is our Discworld. In its little cup of spacetime, humanity has invented gods,* philosophies, ethical systems, politics, an unfeasible number of ice-cream flavours and even more esoteric things like ‘natural justice’ and ‘boredom’.

With the footnote: *We apologize to any real gods.”

Posted in Book Notes, Children, Evolution, Narrative | Comments Off on Narrativium and Lies-to-children

Links and Comments: Jerry Coyne; Max Planck; Creationism and Education; Human history and progress; and others

Finished reading Jerry Coyne’s new book Faith Vs. Fact, subtitled “Why Science and Religion Are Incompatible”, which I took extensive notes on that at some point I will summarize here on my blog. Meanwhile, Coyne did a Q&A with National Geographic, In Age of Science, Is Religion ‘Harmful Superstition’?, from which I will quote his key claim in his book:

In a nutshell, why are religion and science incompatible?

They’re incompatible first of all, because they both compete to find truths about the universe. There are some fundamental truths about the universe that believers have to accept in order to be religious. Many Muslims see the Koran as literally true. To question any of that is to bring a death sentence on yourself. The reason why people are so concerned with harmonizing science and religion, as opposed to, say, science and architecture, or science and baseball, is because science and religion are competitors in the field of esoteric truths about the cosmos.

But we use different methods to ascertain what’s true. Science has an exquisitely refined series of methods honed over 500 years to find out what’s real and what’s false. Richard Feynman  gave the best definition of science I ever heard, “It’s a way to keep you from fooling yourself, because you’re the easiest person to fool.” Religion doesn’t have a methodology to weed out what’s false. In fact, it’s a way of fooling yourself. They have authority, revelation, dogma, and indoctrination as their methods and no way of proving their tenets false.

There are thousands and thousands of religions and all of them make incompatible claims about the universe. The reason that that’s the case is because they don’t have any way of testing those claims.

The book is a distillation of the themes of Coyne’s website (he doesn’t like it being called a blog… though it is), and of several important themes of my Provisional Conclusions.

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And now a linkdump of items of collected over the past two weeks but which I’ve not had time to post until now. (A scratchy, coughy, sneezy cold has interfered this past week.)

Slate: Louisiana is teaching Creationism: The Bible v. the Constitution

File this under Conservative Resistance

And for that matter this one, not to mention advice from Rick Santorum about not getting an education at a university.

Jehovah’s Witness Leader to Crowd: Only Visit JW-Approved Websites or You’ll Be At “Spiritual Risk”

Cut off the outside world, lest your beliefs would wither in the daylight of reality.

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Nice piece about changing one’s mind, and how Max Planck was able to do this throughout his life.

Slate: Genius Move: Max Planck, the unlikely founder of quantum physics, knew how to change his mind.

We live in an age—perhaps the age—of confirmation bias. And given a turbulent sea of information, who can blame us for latching onto the familiar while looking away from anything jarring or mismatched? We yearn for the comforts of our main tribe, be that tribe political, religious, scientific, or economic. If that’s a failing, it is probably a hominid design flaw, far beyond evolutionary recall at this point.

Planck is the one who said “A new scientific truth does not triumph by convincing its opponents and making them see the light, but rather because its opponents eventually die and a new generation grows up that is familiar with it.” This also applies to social standards, too, of course.

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A five minute video about how we live in the greatest time in human history (because Industrial Revolution and modern technology).

Vox: 5 minutes that prove we’re living through the greatest time in human history

On the other hand, here’s philosopher John Gray:

Vice: John Gray Says Human Progress Is a Myth

His point is all apparent ‘progress’ could easily be swept away. I agree; see my Provisional Conclusions.

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New York Times op-ed by Molly Worthen: Wanted: A Theology of Atheism.

I’m not entirely on board with this; like many religious writers, this writer assumes that the accouterments of routine religious faith are somehow necessary for mental and social health, even if redirected to something non-supernatural. Typical lack of imagination, or myopia.

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One more from NYT: Timothy Egan on The Arrogance of Jeb Bush

You simply cannot be a leader of the Republican Party without appearing to know less than a fifth grader about earth science. …

“And for the people to say the science is decided on, this is just really arrogant, to be honest with you,” said Bush. “It’s this intellectual arrogance that now you can’t have a conversation about it even.”

[The opinion writer asks:] Is it arrogant to say that smoking causes lung cancer? That you shouldn’t text and drive? That the American diet and lifestyle cause Type 2 diabetes, which is killing people? There is some wiggle room in each of those assertions. But you test them at your peril. Since when did prudence become a vice in a family whose presidential patriarch was guided by what “wouldn’t be prudent”?

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Nice summary of plans to build huge new telescopes: Vox: These giant telescopes are going to change astronomy.

Unfortunately, the ones in Hawaii are being held up by locals who feel such telescopes would desecrate their holy grounds.

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Two more interesting items from Vox.

Steven Pinker explains how capitalism is killing war

A gloss on Pinker’s 2011 book The Better Angels of Our Nature, which argues that human violence has greatly reduced in recent centuries, that humanity is becoming more peaceful.

[ My own aside, not a thought in this article or anywhere else: so then, what is fueling the anger in the US about threats to the 2nd amendment to stock up arms, and the attendant paranoia that the Obama administration is about to take away all their guns? (Which conspicuously has not happened.) I suspect this is an issue apart from the trend of actual violence, which Pinker addresses. ]

One more, without comment: Game of Thrones is secretly all about climate change

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Finally, a cartoon that is spot-on about how most people assume their religion from their environment, and if they think about it at all, somehow don’t realize how very lucky they were to grow up in an area where the one true religion was revealed.

The Outsider Test for the Right Faith

Posted in Book Notes, Psychology, Religion, Science | Comments Off on Links and Comments: Jerry Coyne; Max Planck; Creationism and Education; Human history and progress; and others

Links and Comments: Modern Physics; Evolution and Strangers; Coming out in totalitarian societies; Elizabeth Kolbert on Mars

Sunday’s New York Times has a “Gray Matter” essay on A Crisis at the Edge of Physics by Adam Frank and Marcelo Gleiser* is about whether the empirical method — validating theories via predictions and evidence — does not work for some modern scientific ‘theories’. Or perhaps those ‘theories’ don’t count as proper theories. The prime examples are string theory and supersymmetry, as the next steps beyond the standard model (which does not unify all four basic forces). If high-order ‘theories’ can solve this unification mathematically, but cannot be validated through any kind of evidence, what’s the point? The authors compare these ideas to Ptolemy’s epicycles, which similarly ‘explained’ the orbits of the planets without any kind of evidence, but were accepted for 1500 years. The resolution to this quandary may come with upgrades to the Large Hadron Collider, which potentially might discover the predicted supersymmetric particles.

*Gleiser is author of a recent book The Island of Knowledge: The LImits of Science and the Search for Meaning, which I have in my to-read stack, and seems to be about this issue in many manifestations. There are also books like Jim Baggott’s Farewell to Reality: How Modern Physics Has Betrayed the Search for Scientific Truth, which claims science has already gone off the rails on these issues.

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And an interesting op-ed in Sunday’s LA Times by Robert Sapolsky [a biology professor at Stanford], The evolution of encountering, and embracing, strangers. (Beware the annoying ads that block the page for 15 seconds.)

For nearly all of human history, people lived in small hunter-gatherer bands, with some flow of individuals between neighboring bands that regularly encountered one another. In other words, your life was spent among people you knew.

But as has been explored by sociologists and psychologists, once humans developed proto-cities with thousands of inhabitants, starting around 9,000 years ago, something unprecedented occurred: We began to spend a lot of time around people we didn’t know very well at all.

Generosity and cooperation are common in small groups where everyone knows each other, but plummet when dealing with anonymous strangers. Thus…

…it is only when societies get large enough that people in them regularly encounter strangers that “Big Gods” emerge — deities who are concerned with human morality and who punish our transgressions. The gods of hunter-gatherers generally couldn’t care less whether we’ve been naughty or nice.

The point of his essay is that, upon seeing his son’s graduation from high school, he realizes the people in modern societies regularly *break* close social ties in order to move on — to move off to different cities, start a fresh life. It’s a process never experienced by our ancient ancestors.

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Heartbreaking story in NYT, North Korean Defector Opens Up About Long-Held Secret: His Homosexuality, about a man who defected from North Korea for reasons he wasn’t even aware of, except that he knew he felt no sexual attraction to his wife. Because he grew up

in the totalitarian North, where the government maintains that homosexuality does not exist because people there live with a “sound mentality and good morals.”

It wasn’t until he defected to South Korea that he understood that there was even the concept of homosexuality — though even in that country the topic is taboo.

And an analogous story also in NYT (and reproduced in the San Francisco Chronicle, and no doubt other subscribers), about transgender: Transgender Children’s Books Fill a Void and Break a Taboo.

Sam Martin was browsing in a Boston record store 23 years ago when an unusual photography book caught his eye. Mr. Martin flipped through its pages, which featured portraits and interviews with women who had become men, and started to cry.

“I thought, ‘Oh, my God, I’m not the only one,’ ” said Mr. Martin, 43, who started transitioning to male from female after he bought the book. “When I was growing up, I never saw people like me in movies or books.”

There is a range of human experience and perception that totalitarian societies, and religious conservatives in democratic societies, seek to suppress and deny — for what can only be characterized as socialistic reasons. Reproduce and multiply, for the good of society, for the good of the race. But it’s the arc of history, especially now in the internet age, and as the human race’s survival is relatively more assured than it was a century ago or a millenium ago, that these forces will give way to reality, to acknowledging the common humanity of such sexual minorities, and other minorities that have previously been marginalized over human history.

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Nice essay by Elizabeth Kolbert*, in the June 1 New Yorker, about Project Exodus: What’s behind the dream of colonizing Mars?

Nice essay that contrasts the practical difficulties of getting to Mars with the fantasies about getting there, and the potential consequences if we do.

“Humans carry biomes with us, outside and inside,” he writes. NASA insists that Mars landers be sterilized, but “we can’t sterilize ourselves.” If people ever do get to the red planet—an event that Conway, now forty-nine, says he considers “unlikely” in his lifetime—they’ll immediately wreck the place, just by showing up: “Scientists want a pristine Mars, uncontaminated by Earth.” If people start rejiggering the atmosphere and thawing the regolith, so much the worse.

“The Mars scientists want to study won’t exist anymore,” Conway writes. “Some other Mars will.”

With some discussion of Chris Impey’s new book Beyond: Our Future in Space, another book on my to-read stack.

*Kolbert is the author of The Sixth Extinction, winner of the Pulitzer prize and at least one other literary award IIRC as best science book of 2014; I read it on my plane flights a week ago and will write it up and summarize it here in the next week or so.

Posted in Evolution, Physics, Science, The Gays | Comments Off on Links and Comments: Modern Physics; Evolution and Strangers; Coming out in totalitarian societies; Elizabeth Kolbert on Mars

Upon Returning from a Wedding

I’ve tweaked a few passages in my Provisional Conclusions today, in light of attending a family wedding in a socially conservative state and observing first-hand a community that obviously thrives in the context of a traditional religious narrative.

What my thesis (my Provisional Conclusions) has to ‘explain’ is how apparently intelligent people can maintain such loyalty to [such obviously arbitrary and historically contingent] narratives of ideology and religion, and the sense of their special understanding of the will of God, despite the obvious facts that the universe doesn’t care and every other group of humanity feels just as confidant of their own superiority.

Part of the solution may be this: there’s no survival advantage in recognizing ‘reality’; those ideological and religious beliefs really do promote survival and perpetuation of the species.

So what I mean by ‘active consciousness’ (in my Provisional Conclusions) is a kind of maturity, an understanding of the protocols of survival and the need for those narratives, with an attendant understanding that those narratives are just stories we tell ourselves to get through the night, or through a life – that the universe outside the parameters of human existence operates by very different rules. It’s analogous to growing up and understanding where babies really come from, that the circumstances that created your life were largely arbitrary and circumstantial, and that your own town or sports team isn’t *really* the greatest one in the whole world. Even if you pretend they are, as everyone around you similarly pretends, as a matter of social cohesiveness (and a kind of group survival strategy).

Another part of the solution is understanding why it doesn’t matter to most people that most others in the world follow *different* narratives, i.e. different religions. *As long as they have a story to live by*, perhaps even to submit to, something that gives their life ‘meaning’, i.e. a narrative context that gives purpose to day to day life and the cycles of the generations – then that’s OK. In a sense it’s like speaking different languages. Relatively few people are insistent about their own languages being superior to all others, just as relatively few are much concerned about people subscribing to other religions. (Those who decline to follow a religion, however – those are the ones that bother people. How can they not subscribe to a narrative? They are loose cannons, unpredictable and nonconformist.)

It’s the people we call scientists and philosophers, mostly, who currently have this ‘active consciousness’ of understanding the reality of the universe as a thing above and beyond the protocols of human existence. This does not make them cold or inhuman; they are just as likely to have families and to love their children, to appreciate art and music and nature, as anyone else – just not, of course, in the context of a religious narrative that places themselves or their tribe as the center of all existence, the profoundly narcissistic idea that they are the reason the universe was created.

On the contrary; scientists will tell you there is great, deep gratification to appreciating the workings of the universe, to appreciating the context in which humanity exists, appreciating that humanity is a *consequence* (if not an inevitable one) of the operations of our enormous, ancient, cold, indifferent universe. This appreciation is all the more profound because it’s *true*, based on everything humanity has perceived and understood about the universe in which we live – in contrast to the self-flattering religious myths, tales imagined by ancient tribes who thought the world was flat, that most people live by.

It would be nice to think that the human race will gradually mature along these lines, as education expands and the religious tribes who resist such education are marginalized, but there’s little current evidence this might happen any time soon; on the contrary. The so-called ‘end of history’ described at the end of the 20th century (notably by Francis Fukuyama, who claimed that the liberal democracies and free market capitalism would spread around the world, and that would be that) was trounced by 9/11.

In the long run, however, I’m optimistic, and so is most science fiction. The arcs of social and technological history have had setbacks – but after every setback, humanity keeps moving forward, in a two steps back, five steps forward fashion. How science fiction writers have thought about these things is what I might explore, as I develop this blog and perhaps write a book around the framework of my Provisional Conclusions.

Posted in Culture, Evolution, Narrative, Religion, Science | Comments Off on Upon Returning from a Wedding

Links and Comments: About religious parents shielding their children from reality

More about the Duggars’ insular worldview.

Gawker: Tell Your Duggar Tales: Did Michelle Duggar Get a Gay Crew Member Fired?

The family kept their children so sealed from exposure to the outside world that their ideas about big cities like LA or New York were caricatures, and the TV crew filming them was instructed to be very careful not to “taint their version of the world”. (And the gay member of the film crew, who mentioned the fact matter-of-factly, was removed from the crew.)

During this time, the Duggars had very limited exposure to what they called the “outside world” and so most of the crew members being from larger cities, we were all very surprised at how very little they knew or understood about places like New York, Los Angeles, and London. All of their perceptions of these places were the most exaggerated stereotype caricatures as if their only source of news was from locally produced religious cartoons from the 1980s. As in, LA is full of surfer dudes and Valley girls, and everyone in New York talks and walks like John Travolta in Saturday Night Fever, walks in packs carrying switchblades, spray paints graffiti at every turn, with the only safe haven oddly being the mighty Trump Tower. Yes, Trump Tower was Jim Bob’s go-to when talking anecdotally about the elegance of lavish and luxurious places. … They didn’t own a television or had an Internet connection at that time, so, really, next to second hand church gossip, the local newspaper was really their only link to anything outside of Arkansas. The producers of the show had instructed crew members to not ever engage in conversation on our own with Jim Bob or Michelle in fears that we may either say something normal that they would find objectionable or that they would say something to where we’d react funny because we weren’t used to their level of “unwordliness” I think it was put.

Many other links, (e.g. Jezebel, The Duggars Aren’t Just a Family, They’re a Cult and The Atlantic: All Unhappy Families: The Downfall of the Duggars, but the point is made.

Conservative Resistance:
“religious inculcation of children, and the shielding of them from outside influences that would threaten their parents’ worldview”

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The Atlantic: Which Contemporary Habits Will Be Most Unthinkable 100 Years From Now?

Answers include burning fossil fuels, driving, having a lawn. And Daniel Dennett suggests:

Unsupervised homeschooling. When we come to recognize that willfully misinforming a child—or keeping a child illiterate, innumerate, and uninformed—is as evil as sexual abuse, we will forbid parents to treat their children as possessions whom they may indoctrinate as they please. They may teach their children any religious creed they like, but only if they also teach the uncontroversial facts about the world’s religions so their children can make an informed choice when they grow up.

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Slate: Were You There? As a creationist kid, I was determined not to learn about evolution.

So can religious students understand evolution even when they think it conflicts with their beliefs? In my own experience, as a case study for a creationist learning about evolution, the answer is no. Rissler has it right.

What I learned at home and church was like a fog that the most basic principles of biology could barely cut through. In science class, details got lost in the mist.

During one of Wortman’s lectures on natural selection—involving different types of bacteria—I was doodling. Normally an attentive student, I deliberately tuned out of the class. The subject made me uncomfortable because the process of new species coming about via natural selection directly contradicted what my church and parents taught me about the origins of life. From one corner of my page of sparse notes, a cartoonish rendering of Wortman peered at me from behind oversized spectacles. Abandoning the portrait, I traced angular shapes that fit together like puzzle pieces and circled them with flowers and vines. Then Wortman caught me.

“What, do you think you know this already?” Wortman asked indignantly, leaning on my student desk where my incriminating notebook lay. “Could you take the test right now?”

I was mortified.

(Of course, this “were you there” question was likely not asked in history classes about the Civil War. But then, perhaps the entire universe was created 100 years ago, just before any of us were born, or perhaps 2 minutes ago, complete with all our memories of a past.)

Posted in Conservative Resistance, Evolution, Human Progress, Morality | Comments Off on Links and Comments: About religious parents shielding their children from reality

How Science Works, Concerning that Retracted Gay Marriage Survey, and the Ironies

New York Times op-ed: What’s Behind Big Science Frauds?

Other links:

SFGate: Study retracted: 20 minutes actually CAN’T change a homophobe’s mind

The New Yorker, Maria Konnikova: How a Gay-Marriage Study Went Wrong

This concerns a report from a few weeks ago that I blogged about here — Links and Comments: Politics and Ideology; About Changing One’s Mind — concerning a series of in-person interviews with people about subjects including gay marriage. The results indicated that when the interviews were themselves gay, and had personal stories to tell, the interviewees often changed their minds, with lasting results. Somehow the personal connection made a difference. (The study included other topics, such as abortion, where the interviews had themselves had abortions, and explained the circumstances that led them to such a difficult decision.)

Now, suddenly, the lead author of that report has asked to retract its conclusion, because apparently the grad student who did the research cannot produce his evidence. Perhaps he faked it? Or something more complicated? That grad student plans a formal reply by the end of the month.

But this is how science works. Yes, scientists are people too, they are given toward mental biases such as confirmation bias, and there is huge pressure on grad students to produce results worthy of publication in prestigious journals.

But the fakers will be found out, whether they were deliberate or subconscious; that’s how science works. Results must be validated and reproduced. If not they will be corrected or withdrawn, as has happened here. For now.

(In contrast, when was the last time some religious pundit — insert any of dozens of names here — declared that he’d made a mistake, and his previous condemnation of this or that group was in error? Rather, see the current news about Mike Huckabee defending the Duggars. He has very different standards for those on his side and those on his other.)

Ironies:

In my earlier post I noted how this result challenged my provisional conclusion that most people simply cannot change their minds about anything. (Scientists supposedly are willing to, when evidence and studies shift, but even they sometimes have difficulty due to the psychological biases we are all given to.) This new development retracts the challenge to that conclusion.

And yet — here’s this huge political results in which a popular vote in Ireland has approved same-sex marriage (e.g. CNN), a circumstance unthinkable a decade or two ago.

What happened? Is it because people *change their minds*??

Or, perhaps, the march of history, the arcs of progress, depend on the old folks dying off and the younger generation, with a wider experience of the world and a great understanding of that world, take over?

Posted in MInd, Psychology, Science, The Gays | Comments Off on How Science Works, Concerning that Retracted Gay Marriage Survey, and the Ironies

Bodega Bay and The Birds

Today we took a mid-Memorial weekend day drive, from Oakland. We’d planned a drive up to the Russian River area, thinking to drive up the coast with a stop in Bodega Bay for lunch. We left at 11am; it took 4 hours to get to Bodega Bay. Partly due to traffic getting thru SF before the Golden Gate Bridge, mostly the slow drive (including some traffic) along Route 1, a beautiful drive once you’re along the coast, but not fast.

So we mosied around Bodega Bay and called it a day. We had oysters at Fisherman’s Cove, and a nice early dinner at Terrapin Creek Cafe Restaurant, which I am happy to plug.

Bodega Bay, of course, is the setting of the Hitchcock film The Birds, and I was fascinated to look around see if I could spot any specific locations. The only one I saw was the wharf area where, in the film, locals complain in a diner, Tippi Hedren is trapped in a phone booth as the birds attack, and this attack triggers a gasoline fire at a fill-up station. The wharf is still there, the diner greatly expanded.

We drove all the way around the bay, wondering if the house where Rod Taylor’s character (Mitch Brenner) lived actually existed. No sign of it.

Of course, there are any number of websites (and I have a book, somewhere, about film locations), that explain in great detail what scenes were shot where. E.g., this one, http://www.movie-locations.com/movies/b/birds.html, which explains that schoolhouse where the birds sat on power lines before attacking children was actually a few miles inland, not right above the bay as it seems in the film; and this one, http://www.bodegabay.com/index.php/visitor-info/articles-reviews-and-stories/41-the-birds-and-bodega-bay, which explains that the Brenner [Rod Taylor’s character] house was used only for exterior shots and has long since been demolished. (The interior scenes of this house and other scenes were filmed on soundstages back in LA.)

No surprise of course; all films of this era mixed live locations, usually with somewhat fictitious geography, and scenes filmed on sets in Hollywood.

But it was impressive to see the general area of Bodega Bay, and how it did overall resemble the locale of the film. I don’t have a conscious bucket list — but visiting this location is something I’ve long thought about, and am happy to have fulfilled.

Posted in Films, Personal history | Comments Off on Bodega Bay and The Birds

Links and Comments: The Duggars, and other Religious Matters

I’ve been only vaguely more aware of the Duggar family, who apparently host a reality show to show off their 19 children and their piety, than I was aware of the Duck Dynasty family a year or more ago when they were in the news, but haven’t paid any close attention to them. With the scandal in the past couple days of their oldest son having been charged with molesting several girls (including his own sisters!), it seems they’re just another in a growing list of sex scandals among far-right fundamentalists. So, hypocrisy from the right; yawn.

But what’s especially interesting about the Duggars is not just that their pious zeal leads them to actively campaign against gay rights (and impugn that gays are despicable people in general — given to molesting children!), but they apparently are an extreme example of the folks — examples come from all around the world — who shield their children from the outside world, from modernity in general, and one can only suppose anything scientific that would undermine or question their faith-based worldview.

Mark Joseph Stern at Slate pities Josh Duggar. (With a photo of the family having lunch with Rick Santorum…)

A boy grows up in a controlling, cultlike family that rejects Enlightenment values and closes off much of the outside world. He is deprived of any conception of morality separate from a fundamentalist interpretation of the Bible. His intellectual and ethical development is stunted by reactionary, dogmatic views about gender and sexuality. He is told that women were made to be subservient to men, to be obedient to their masters. How should we react when it comes to light that this boy repeatedly molested young girls?

Although TLC goes to great lengths to mask this fact, the Duggar family is a cult. They forbid their children from exploring outside ideas and expression, carefully monitoring every word and image they are exposed to. They forbid them from wearing shorts. They homeschool them in order to indoctrinate them with backward beliefs. They refuse to let their adult daughters kiss or hold hands before marriage and demand to read every text between their daughters and their suitors. They adhere to a fringe Christian movement called the “Christian patriarchy,” which commands total female submission to men and limited education for women. The Duggars do everything they can to control their children’s minds, then brainwash them with misogynistic dogma.

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Jerry Coyne, who just published a new book, did an interview with fivebooks.com recommending his five favorite books on “the incompatibility of religion and science” (which is the theme of his book). I’ve read one of these (Dennett), and have two others.

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Catching up with several articles last weekend at Salon.

  • The end of religion as we know it: Why churches can no longer hide the truth. Daniel Dennett has updated his book about closeted religious clergy… who go through the motions without anymore believing.

    Religions have thrived in part because they were able to keep secrets. They were able to keep secrets about other religions from their parishioners, who were largely ignorant of what other people in the world believed, and also keep secrets about their own inner workings and their own histories, so that it was easy to have a sort of controlled message that went out to people. Those days are over. You can go on the Internet and access to all kinds of information. This is going to change everything.

  • Richard Dawkins doesn’t “give a damn”: The big mistake he’s making about religion. The writer claims it’s more than about whether religious claims are ‘true’ (Dawkins’ mistake); it’s about

    Religions make all sorts of claims about the empirical world, almost all of which are false. Atheists are right to criticize these claims wherever they appear. But denying the truth claims of religion won’t suffice, because religion is about much more than truth; it’s about meaning, values, tradition, consolation, community, and transcendence. Dawkins flew right past this point in his response. That’s unfortunate.

    I disagree; this actually is the theme of Coyne’s book; it does matter, because in their zeal to cling to meaning and tradition, many faithful actively deny the reality of the world in which we live, to the extent of hobbling their own offspring (cf. the Duggars), but also actively imposing these views and blinders on the rest of society. Even if many religious people don’t take scriptural claims literally, it’s the minority who do who cause all the trouble, and who are a threat to the ongoing progress of an enlightened society.

  • And then Jeffrey Tayler takes on not just the Republican presidential candidates, who all pander to some degree or another to the faithful who form their base (though some of them — Cruz? Santorum? actually believe it all)– but also President Obama, for similar, if milder, pandering. This doesn’t surprise me; as I’ve said here, no politician gets elected to office anywhere, in any society, without appealing to the beliefs and prejudices of the common people. But it’s nice to see Tayler spell things out: Obama, Bush and Carson believe this nonsense? Our faith-addled, God-fearing leaders need to put superstition aside.

    But I won’t deal with the faith-imbued cretinism of the Republicans in this essay.  What concerns me now is what President Obama has just wrought to insult that most aggrieved (yet steadfastly growing) American minority, the advocates of reason, those who insist on evidence before accepting the truth of a given proposition, especially grand propositions about the origins of the universe and our species.

    Tayler takes apart Obama’s National Day of Prayer proclimation, in detail. The essay concludes:

    Religion is not some metaphysical conceit concerning only those who profess it; it menaces our national well-being and is dumbing down our people.  Faith has always stood on the wrong side of the quest for truth, starting most egregiously with Christian theologians objecting to “heresies” that posited nature following laws (an infringement on God’s “omnipotence”), the earth orbiting the sun, or humankind sharing kinship with other primates.  The last two “heresies” are alive and well: one out of five Americans believe the sun circles the earth, four out of 10 think God created humankind less than 10,000 years ago, and only 28 percent of teachers consistently teach evolution.  Surely a generation of heavily faith-polluted home-schooling plays into this, but so does God-friendly prattle proffered by politicians – including, of course, our Panderer-in-Chief and his Prayer Day Proclamation – an outrage to rationalists everywhere who expect the United States to set an example.

    It’s long past time for Obama, and the pack of faith-mongering pols clambering to replace him, to realize this, and help America join the rest of the civilized world.

    H. L. Mencken once wrote of the “graveyard of the dead gods” and listed all those deities, from Resheph to Baal, Tezcatilpoca to Huitzilopochtli and dozens more, now forgotten.  Yet in their day, “To doubt them was to die,” noted Mencken, “usually at the stake.  Armies took to the field to defend them against infidels: villages were burned, women and children were butchered, cattle were driven off.”

    It’s time to dig one more grave – and fill it.

Posted in Conservative Resistance, Human Progress, Religion | Comments Off on Links and Comments: The Duggars, and other Religious Matters