Elizabeth Kolbert on Climate Change and Florida

Fine essay by Elizabeth Kolbert — whose 2014 book The Sixth Extinction I greatly admired — in the current New Yorker, The Siege of Miami, about how rising sea levels are already affecting that city. This dovetails with my previous post, in the sense that conservatives/Republicans are in denial about climate change — partly because of business interests (the oil companies contribute greatly to Republican candidates), and partly because of, as Chris Mooney explored, conservatives are in denial about anything that suggests they might need to change their take on reality, and their denial about any kind of action that might require government action.

As in that book, this essay is an effective mix of personal anecdotes, as Kolbert interviewed various people in that city, and general discussion the larger context of where humanity along the history of the planet, with occasionally startling revelations.

The amount of water on the planet is fixed (and has been for billions of years). Its distribution, however, is subject to all sorts of rearrangements. In the coldest part of the last ice age, about twenty thousand years ago, so much water was tied up in ice sheets that sea levels were almost four hundred feet lower than they are today. At that point, Miami Beach, instead of being an island, was fifteen miles from the Atlantic Coast. Sarasota was a hundred miles inland from the Gulf of Mexico, and the outline of the Sunshine State looked less like a skinny finger than like a plump heel.

Cautionary folks like to point out that the climate has always been changing. Yes, over many millennia; but not as fast as is happening now. Kolbert discusses Republican denial.

Rubio was asked to explain a statement he had made about climate change. He offered the following: “What I said is, humans are not responsible for climate change in the way some of these people out there are trying to make us believe, for the following reason: I believe that climate is changing because there’s never been a moment where the climate is not changing.”

And about how Florida governor Rick Scott instructed state workers not to mention the term ‘climate change’.

Scientists who study climate change (and the reporters who cover them) often speculate about when the partisan debate on the issue will end. If Florida is a guide, the answer seems to be never.

Some things are changing, others aren’t, yet.

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Chris Mooney’s THE REPUBLICAN BRAIN

As I alluded in my previous post, I’ve been reading Chris Mooney’s 2012 book The Republican Brain: The Science of Why They Deny Science — and Reality, which explores how psychology can inform the obvious fact that different people react to political and scientific issues differently, not only based on upbringing or social surroundings. I think the title of this book is unfortunate; surely it must alienate half its potential audience, those (Republicans) who would perceive it as some sort of partisan attack.

In fact, while Mooney acknowledges his own position as a liberal, the book is a fairly balanced, it seems to me. It looks at how variations in human personality traits lead to different takes about the world — these variations being essential parts of humanity’s evolutionary response to the world — and then, secondarily, about how in our present society, those traits being more conservative have become less accurate takes on reality; how conservative ideas about science and reality are more often wrong than those of liberals.

And here I will take an aside to put his ideas into my own broader context:

Keeping in mind that science fiction is, at its essence, the literary response to how change affects the human condition, that it arose over the past 150 years or so as such change became ever more and more rapid, and is becoming increasingly rapid, to the point where nowadays — at least in the prosperous west, though increasingly around the entire globe — new devices and apps appear every few months that potentially change the way we interact with our environment. Who can keep up?

At the same time, humanity evolved over millions of years in situations that were entirely stable, from generation to generation, compared to recent generations. This Chris Mooney book, The Republican Brain, explores the ranges of human personality traits and how they instantiate as moral beliefs and political attitudes. As I suggested in a previous post, surely this range of mental attitudes has a general survival advantage, in the same way any other kind of genetic diversity does: because a monolithic set of genes for any trait or attitude could result in extinction if environmental changes disadvantaged whatever those genes were primed for. Thus, we might suppose, both ‘liberal’ and ‘conservative’ attitudes are presumably essential for the well-being of the human species, across changing environmental circumstances over many many millennia.

But those many millennia were, as I said, relatively stable, unlike the past few thousand years and especially the past century or two. Thus… what might we suspect? Perhaps that the forces of conservatism, which value stability, might have increasing trouble keeping up. And that is my science fictional gloss on my approach to Mooney’s book.

And so, this is what Mooney’s book is bascially about: that conservatives/Republican ideas are more generally at a discord with reality, than liberal/Democratic ideas are.

He spends some time examining specific issues (which he did in an entire previous book), but mainly looks at studies of psychology, that identify key aspects of conservative and liberal mindsets, and how their ideologies satisfy particular psychological needs, aligned along a standard psychological identification of five personality traits — OCEAN: openness to experience, conscientiousness, extraversion, agreeableness, and neuroticism. Thus this book by Mooney echoes the Jonathan Haidt book I read recently, but while Haidt focused on moral intuitions, Mooney focuses on psychological traits. And they are, of course, rather similar.

So conservatism is about (p60)

the resistance to change and the acceptance or rationalization of inequality … Behind it all lays the deep human desire to manage uncertainty and fear, and to do so by finding something certain, stable, and unchanging to believe in and cling to.

While extreme conservatives, ‘authoritarians’,

are very intolerant of ambiguity, and very inclined toward group-think and distrustful of outsiders (often including racial outsiders). They extol traditional values, are very conventional, submit to established leaders, and don’t seem to care much about dissent or civil liberties. They are known for their closed-mindedness, and, indeed, their Manichean view of the world—good and evil, right and wrong, saved and damned, white and black. They have a need for order: Conversely, they can’t tolerate uncertainty. In America, they are often religiously conservative fundamentalists who believe the Bible is the unedited world of God.

In contrast, liberals are driven by a need for understanding, for inclusiveness, thus a need for change — attitudes the columnnist Jonah Goldberg hilariously parodies as “Cowardice and appeasement; comfort with confusion and ignorance; recklessness; indecisiveness and similar cognitive defects; terror mismanagement” (!), comments which echo those by Ann Coulter and Cal Thomas cited earlier (p60-61). It’s extremely revealing to see how conservatives view liberals.

Mooney echoes ideas I’ve seen in many other recent books: that factual arguments don’t convince anyone; that we are all subject to motivated reasoning (with background about the evolution of intuitive vs. reasoning in our minds, and how our later, System 2, minds ‘lawyer’ or rationalize our System 1 intuitive judgements –cf. Haidt); and how science is the method to overcome the reasoning biases of individual minds.

There were a couple ideas new to me. I’ve often thought, and perhaps expressed in this blog, the idea about running elections based upon some objective criteria to voters: ask voters about various specific factual issues, and count votes with accurate responses only. Does the voter know that the Earth revolves around the Sun, vs. vice versa? That kind of thing. Mooney describes a study that addressed this idea, and the result was counter-intuitive: voters with more accurate knowledge were *more* adept at creating arguments to support their [unfactual] views. Mooney calls these “smart idiots.” This underscores our species’ talent for motivated reasoning.

I do have some quibbles about the book overall. Mooney addresses various issues of policy and science, to describe how conservatives are wrong, yet more or less assumes that the expert consensus on these issues is the correct one. I can anticipate conservative responses: the consensus is a liberal conspiracy, and so on. You see this every day, as with Ted Cruz’ recent NPR interview: “Climate change is the perfect pseudoscientific theory for a big government politician who wants more power.”

Motivated reasoning. Today’s Science Friday on NPR had a segment that claimed that climate scientists, if anything, are *under-estimating* the potential damage of climate change, to avoid political repercussions, and how conservatives automatically resist any problem whose solution might involve government action, because government action must always be wrong.

I think Mooney might have more forcefully underscored why he thinks scientific consensus are accurate. (Historical examples, perhaps. Looking to the future, the climate change denials of Cruz and Rubio and all the other Republican candidates for president will live in infamy.)

Mooney does offer some evolutionary perspective — back to the beginning; why are we this way in the first place? p125:

Some thinkers suggest that evolution may have built us to vary in subtle but important ways because a society fares better when it has both “liberal” and also “conservative” tendencies in it. What would the core tendencies be? Something like maintaining order, versus generating innovation. Protecting and serving, versus creating and challenging. Once again, we’re back to the yin-and-yang view of our politics.

Which echoes my going-in position.

Finally, Mooney emphasizes [despite the title] that both conservative and liberal attitudes are essential to the human condition, and suggests what each ‘side’ might learn from the other. Conservatives: pay attention to facts.

And liberals:

  • Liberals should be more loyal to one another; stop, for instance, quibbling about Obama, or about differences among environmental groups [liberals can change! that’s their advantage!];
  • The media should emphasize fact-checking, and abandon the idea of ‘balance’;
  • Liberals should defend reality with *stories* that integrate the best facts and *move people*: “A narrative can change heart and mind alike.”

And finally, finally, the author wonders how does he know he’s right? Because he’s willing to be wrong. “I believe that I am right, but I know that I could be wrong.”

And, “Am I wrong about any of this? If so, you will have to show me where. I will strive to listen.”

And that is my position too.

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Links and Comments from Sunday’s New York Times

I’m finishing up a book by Chris Mooney that explores motivated reasoning and how we are all subject to seeking out evidence that confirms our pre-existing views, and disputing evidence that challenges those views. And that nevertheless claims that conservatives/Republicans are far more wrong about basic matters of reality than are liberals/Democrats, and explains why this might be so. (It’s about psychology, in ways analogous to the issues explored in the Jonathan Haidt book.)

More evidence that this is so: All Politicians Lie. Some Lie More Than Others.

With a revealing graph showing results from PolitiFact rating statements from various presidential candidates since 2007, with Carson and Trump and Cruz rating worst, Obama and O’Malley and Clinton rating best.

The issue is perhaps whether voters care about what is true, or whether they care more about candidates who endorse their own version of reality.

And then there is the column by Nicholas Kristof, Take My Quiz on Religion (online title “How Well Do You Know Religion?”), a multiple-choice test about which various scriptural statements are derived from the Bible, the Quran, both, or something else.

HIs trivial point is that various statements of ancient morality come more or less equally from both — there’s nothing from the Quran especially more vile than many things from the Bible. To a disinterested religious observer such as myself, this simply means all these ancient texts are best viewed as anthropological artifacts, nothing more, remnants of earlier, primitive, unenlightened cultures. Examine them if you must, then grow up, move on, engage the real world.

Jerry Coyne finds Kristof’s piece a bit more insidious: Kristof osculates all faiths, avers that they’re equally wonderful. As if, since both holy books contain awful things, but that both also include good things, Islam is therefore just as good as Christianity and Judaism.

But at the risk of being accused of Islamophobia (as Coyne, and Sam Harris, are), Coyne observes this.

Of course there’s some [Christian] intolerance in America. But compare it to Iran, ISIS-controlled Iraq, Afghanistan, or Saudi Arabia. We don’t behead criminals, we don’t kill blasphemers, we don’t stone adulterers or throw gays off roofs, we don’t prohibit women from driving, we don’t have a religious system of law (one that gives women half the say of men), and we allow Muslims to be citizens (Saudi Arabia doesn’t grant that privilege to non-Muslims).

Maybe some religions really are worse than others.

And this leads to Ross Douthat’s column — on the same page as Kristof’s! — called The Islamic Dilemma. Douthat is one of a couple three conservative columnists at NYT, along with David Brooks; NYT isn’t entirely a liberal bastion. Douthat, is seems to me, is always finding ways to excuse religion, especially Christianity, from whatever offenses it commits in public life, or discordances from reality it exhibits. In this column he is exploring how Islam might possibly accommodate itself to a modern, pluralistic society, without changing so utterly as to become extinct.

Devout Muslims watching current Western debates, for instance, might notice that some of the same cosmopolitan liberals who think of themselves as Benevolent Foes of Islamophobia are also convinced that many conservative Christians are dangerous crypto-theocrats whose institutions and liberties must give way whenever they conflict with liberalism’s vision of enlightenment.

They also might notice that many of the same conservative Christians who fear that Islam is incompatible with democracy are wrestling with whether their own faith is compatible with the direction of modern liberalism, or whether Christianity needs to enter a kind of internal exile in the West.

(Note the link — the idea that religious communities can seal themselves off from the pluralistic, progressive world.)

The whole essay is worth reading, because it’s about how religious communities, especially those adhering to authoritative holy books, can or cannot survive in a world where all these communities are coming into irreversible contact with conflicting communities, and will have to learn how to live together, in the face of a reality so many of them deny.

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Spotlight

We saw Spotlight on Sunday, a film about the 2001 Boston Globe investigation into child abuse within the Catholic Church in that city, a film that just ranked #1 on the best movies of the year lists in both Time and Entertainment Weekly (you can see how a film about the importance of journalists are might appeal to journalist film critics). It’s very good, in a reporter-procedural sort of way (a comparison to All the President’s Men is not inappropriate), as a ‘Spotlight’ team of four reporters at that paper follow a story about a single incident of molestation into a much bigger story, in particular one with many priests more involved — 13? 90? — and how the abuse was known, and suppressed, by the highest levels of church authority, not just for a few years, but for decades. It stars a quirky Michael Keaton, a passionate Mark Ruffalo, and a subdued Liev Schreiber, and character roles by Stanley Tucci and Billy Crudup, among others (John Slattery from Mad Men).

The film shows a bit a standard plot structure, with turns of events the keep delaying the publication of the big story, but I especially appreciate that, despite a recurrent issue about earlier evidence sent to the paper that produced no response, the plot never devolves into what you keep thinking might be about good reporters vs biased reporters. On the contrary that issue resolves in a prosaically passive way, a way I suspect many of us can appreciate in the way we perform our jobs very well most of the time, not so well other times.

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Two or three more comments:

First, how the Mark Ruffalo character mentions that his investigations suggest that these priests don’t target boys because the priests are gay… but because boys are more shamed, and thus less likely to tell anyone, about their abuse. [This of course counters the right-wing defense of Catholic abuse as somehow being all about gays.]

Second, there is a creepy scene in which one of the Spotlight reporters confronts one of the priests at his front door, where the priest cheerfully admits what he’s done, about abusing young boys — but says, twice, as if it is very important, that he himself got no satisfaction from those events …and also mentions, offhand as if it is not necessarily relevant, that he himself had been ‘raped’ as a child. The film doesn’t have time to follow up or explore these comments, but it does suggest that the psychology behind all these incidents is not so simple as we might think.

And third, the film does mention the Catholic practice of celibacy as being a major culprit, though only once.

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Finally, I’m thinking this entire theme is an example of how society is moving from various levels of tribal allegiances, to the recognition and validation of individual human potential. In this case, the importance of deflecting criticisms of the Catholic Church, despite the harm caused to numerous individuals, because of the value of the Church overall. A point made more than once by various characters in this film. If there’s a trend in recent social history, at least in Western cultures, it seems to be about the value of the individual, in spite of social and religious institutions.

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Harper’s on Environmentalism, etc.

More from the November Harper’s.

Fascinating article by James K. Boyce, Rethinking Extinction, subtitled “Toward a less gloomy environmentalism”.

This is best-read in the context of understanding the impact of humanity on the planet, not just in recent decades, but over the past 10 or 20 thousand years [as described in Elizabeth Kolbert’s The Sixth Extinction, my review here, a book this author cites]. Boyce’s take seems to be accepting the inevitable and doing what we can to ameliorate the situation.

A recurrent theme in the narratives of American environmentalism is that people are bad. Humans, in this telling, are sinners, a cancerous growth on the face of the planet. The traditional goal of the environmental movement has been to restore a baseline, a state of nature that existed before human defilement. But however well these people-versus-nature narratives served environmentalism over the past century, the time has come to dismantle them and erect a new intellectual scaffolding.

And his conclusion, bottom-line:

The quest to preserve or restore a baseline state of nature, always a mirage, is slowly being abandoned; ecologists have begun to think in terms of maintaining valuable processes rather than trying to freeze the biological landscape.

Humans are part of the web of life, and we can and sometimes do have positive impacts on the rest of nature. The old people-are-bad, nature-is-good formula, which was so central to the environmentalism that was born when Martha died, is too glib, and too often counterproductive. For when the choice before us is framed as humans versus nature, it turns out that most people, with however much regret, will choose humans.

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From the Harper’s Index, example of self-enhancement bias:

Portion of U.S. college freshmen who rate themselves above average in academic aptitude : 7/10

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John Crowley on Narrative

From the November issue of Harper’s magazine, a lovely essay on narrative by [the acclaimed sf/fantasy author] John Crowley: A Ring-Formed World. It begins (my bold):

I have recently developed a crank theory, for which I can adduce no real evidence, that the human sense of time has its origins in story, or is at least bound up with the telling of stories. If, as science suggests, we were nomadic creatures for a very long time, changing place often — as the mountain gorilla, one of our fellow primates, does today — then the lives of our ancestors would have been shaped by the sense of leaving one place and moving on a path toward a new place. As we went on, we would form a memory of the earlier place and what we did there, and we would begin to imagine the new place. Would it be better? Would we regret leaving the old place? Once, we were there; now we are here; soon we will be elsewhere. Passing between Here and There, we are in narrative.

This appeals to my sense that narrative is an essential part of human cognition; it is a bias, in the sense that we force narrative (“everything happens for a reason”) onto random events; it is a feature, in the sense that it is a heuristic for exercising how we understand the world, and how we would deal with hypothetical situations.

Crowley has some interesting things to say about ‘story’ vs. ‘plot’, and how narratives, novels, establish causes to bring about effects (while in the real world, we understand it through observation of causes that *produce* effects).

This is essentially what Alfred Hitchcock’s concept of the MacGuffin implies: if the workings of the MacGuffin — the gimmick in a story, the thing sought or feared by its characters — will not bring about the desired ending, it’s not the ending but the MacGuffin that must be changed.

And Crowley discusses the apparent ‘freedom’ of fictional characters.

I want to show that the limits that fictional characters seem to suffer are what make them finally more free than we are, not less, and more consequential in their realm than we are in ours. This is why we are drawn to them, why we never forget them and their acts.

And how fiction embodies meanings not often found in real life.

Time in fiction, like love in fiction and streets and houses and blood and money in fiction, is made only of meaning, unlike the ribbon that we ride, or that rides through us, which is indifferent to human need.

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Links and Comments from last Sunday’s New York Times

First, a Sunday Review front page essay by Maria Konnikova, Born to Be Conned. It’s about how people are “suckers for belief”, about confidence games, with insights into human nature, e.g.

Monte operators, like all good con men, are exceptional judges of character, but even more important they are exceptional creators of drama, of the sort of narrative sweep that makes everything seem legitimate, even inevitable.

We are all susceptible to attractive narratives. Again:

Stories are one of the most powerful forces of persuasion available to us, especially stories that fit in with our view of what the world should be like. Facts can be contested. Stories are far trickier. I can dismiss someone’s logic, but dismissing how I feel is harder.

And

It is no accident that the Bible, probably the most influential Western book of all time, teaches through parables and stories and not through philosophical discourse.

And

human nature is wired toward creating meaning out of meaninglessness

And

Before humans learned how to make tools, how to farm or how to write, they were telling stories with a deeper purpose. The man who caught the beast wasn’t just strong. The spirit of the hunt was smiling. The rivers were plentiful because the river king was benevolent. In society after society, religious belief, in one form or another, has arisen spontaneously. Anything that cannot immediately be explained must be explained all the same, and the explanation often lies in something bigger than oneself.

This is all about, as I’ve mentioned, the human perception of reality isn’t about physics, or biology, or chemistry — it’s about psychology.

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Sam Wang: Let Math Save Our Democracy.

About how gerrymandering is most often used by Republicans. There’s a current Supreme Court Case about this.

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The weekly ‘Gray Matter’ essay, this time by Scott Slovic and Paul Slovic: The Arithmetic of Compassion.

About how we respond more strongly to individual incidents, like the Syrian child who washed up on a beach, when we see an image of such an event, than to news with statistics about far worse events.

Again, psychology.

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Jonathan Haidt’s THE RIGHTEOUS MIND: Why Good People Are Divided by Politics and Religion, 3

First, an aside that I didn’t mention earlier, in the chapter about how people are more concerned about reputation than actually being virtuous. In the discussion about how you can use ‘reason’ to reach any conclusion (based on whatever you might find out on Google), he contrasts the cognitive mechanisms involving strange beliefs. (Citing work by Tom Gilovich.) When we *want* to believe something, we ask, *Can* I believe it? For this you need only a single piece of pseudo-evidence. Whereas if you’re not inclined to believe something, you ask *Must* I believe it? And then no matter how much supporting evidence you find, if you find a single reason to doubt the claim, you dismiss it. This is the essence of motivated reasoning, and Haidt illustrates it by observing that conspiracy theories operate on the former strategy (*can* I believe it? give me one example) while science operates on the latter (if all the evidence supports an idea, you must believe), and non-scientists are adept at finding some reason to quibble. p85.6:

Whatever you want to believe about the causes of global warming or whether a fetus can feel pain, just Google your belief. You’ll find partisan websites summarizing and sometimes distorting relevant scientific studies. Science is a smorgasbord, and Google will guide you to the study that’s right for you.

Second, I wanted to summarize my reactions to Haidt’s thesis and conclusions in the context of where his book *doesn’t* go. In particular, he observes without much comment that Western, educated, industrialized, rich, and democratic (‘WEIRD’) societies focus morality along axes of fairness, harm, and liberty (libertarians especially on that single last axis), whereas much of the rest of the world is equally concerned about the axes of loyalty, authority, and sanctity. Why might this be?, is a question Haidt does not ask. He does observe that these elements may have evolved in order to enable group selection. And he observes how, for instance, sanctity is the flip side of disgust, which ultimately responds to elements of the environment that are physically dangerous — dead bodies, animal wastes, and so on, that are more a problem in ‘primitive’ societies than in modern industrial ones. (For example, think of middle-eastern rules about using the left hand for one purpose, the right hand for another. In environments without readily available running water for cleaning.) He also observes that humanity is structured for hierarchy, but has become more egalitarian as group size grew — this is the loyalty and authority axes.

So: isn’t it reasonable to suppose, as I’ve done in my ‘provisional conclusions’ and many western thinkers have done, including those recent books by Harris and Shermer, that as humanity expands to fill the planet, becomes more inter-connected, that some of the more tribal elements of morality might fade, and the overall concerns of utilitarianism — care and fairness — (as Haidt himself suggests) will rise to the fore? That is, for the moment I’m clinging to my provisional conclusion that the moral arc of history is about the expansion of the inclusion of greater and greater elements of humanity, with the attendant diminishment of hostility to foreigners and anyone who is unlike one’s own tribe.

At the same time, current US politics illustrates how stressful times can reduce large groups to base tribal behavior, including, for example, demonization of entire ‘other’ populations. I need to revise my ‘provisional conclusion’ about a ‘reset’ of humanity to include the many potential incidents in history in which ideals (in the US case, our Constitution) threaten to be discarded, in light of current events which trigger the harm/fear sensitivity of conservatives. Trump!

Third, I will grant that Haidt’s book gave me some second thoughts about the stress of social changes, in his terms, the threat to ‘moral capital’, and how this might justify conservative concern over changing social standards (e.g. same-sex marriage) that might undermine social stability. Haidt cites an interesting example — one about how when all jewelry shops (IIRC) in New York City were owned by Jews, they operated under loose restrictions with implicit understanding and trust based on shared cultural values; whereas a set of shops run by diverse owners would require more rules and procedures to ensure that no one would cheat. Well, OK, I see his point, and I can see this effect in the many small towns across America, in which most people know and trust one another because they share common values (and at least similar religions).

At the same time, it’s relevant to observe how quickly some social changes — e.g. the idea of same-sex marriage, unthinkable 20 or 30 years ago, even in the US, and now the law of the land — come to pass without violent social revolutions, or much apparent social stress, outside of the extreme conservative social bubble, who (harm/fear!) are stressed out about everything. I think Haidt’s idea of ‘moral capital’ is an inevitable victim of increased social diversity and globalization; it’s an artifact of tribalism, being diminished in those WEIRD cultures, and perhaps inevitably around the world (is my provisional conclusion).

Fourth, and finally for now, some of these moral parameters, the six foundations of morality that Haidt describes, will inevitably conflict with reality, as humanity expands to fill the planet, and confronts its effects on the planet (e.g. climate change). Mightn’t ideas about divinity, for example, fade as the importance of responding to such reality undermines the supernatural premises of religions? One might think so, and many thinkers and SF authors have supposed so, but based on the current thinking of current thinkers I’ve been reading, I’m guessing not. Human nature is what it is.

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More notes and comments about Haidt’s THE RIGHTEOUS MIND

I like the way Haidt outlines his thesis in the introduction, provides central metaphors for each of the three main sections, and provides a 1-2 page summary at the end of each of the 12 chapters. (Academic books do this to excess; Haidt’s outline and summaries are just right.)

The first part is that “Intuitions come first, strategic reasoning second” and the central metaphor is that the mind is divided, like a rider on an elephant, and the rider’s job is to serve the elephant, without having much if any control of what the elephant does or where it goes. He describes studies that show moralities based only on fairness and harm are incomplete, contrasting the West with much of the rest of the world, and how moral reasoning is based on gut feelings, with post hoc fabrications constructed as necessary. He contrasts the ideas of Plato, Hume, and Jefferson about the relationship of reason and emotions: Plato said reason should prevail; Hume said reason is the servant of the passion; Jefferson said they were co-rulers. 20th century advances in evolutionary thought have resolved this, after a period of resistance due to fears of ‘social Darwinism’ and the political attraction of the idea of the ‘blank slate’. EO Wilson’s ‘sociobiology’ was reviled in many quarters, until it was recharacterized in the ’90s as ‘evolutionary psychology’ with accumulated evidence supporting it, including how brain injuries affect cognition, e.g. how the absence of emotion cripples ‘thinking’. [I remember the ‘blank slate’ orthodoxy of the ’60s and ’70s, in particular to justify equal rights for women. That minds aren’t blank slates after all, as much research has shown, doesn’t mean everyone shouldn’t have equal rights, of course; humans should and do aspire to transcend our biology.]

The contrast isn’t emotion vs. reason; it’s that intuition and reasoning are both kinds of cognition, with that model of the elephant and its rider. He presents a diagram of his ‘social intuitionist model’, in which the rider’s job is to justify the elphant’s action — especially to others. Reasoning is about persuading other people, by appealing to their elephants. Haidt notes what’s become increasingly clear in recent years of psychological studies and political developments: “you can’t change people’s mind by utterly refuting their arguments” p48.6. So: Hume was right.

Haidt goes on to provide several specific examples of how this works: how our brains make snap judgments, how they are affected by our immediate environment. He notes that psychopaths reason but don’t feel; babies feel but don’t reason. Reason can overcome intuition in certain situations. But why did our minds evolve this way? Why not to perceive truth? [This thread expands on my own point that our minds are evolved for survival, not for perceiving reality.] p71: “That depends on which you think was more important for our ancestors’ survival: truth or reputation.” (Ah ha!)

Haidt again revisits Plato, concluding he was wrong, his brother Glaucon right, p74.3: “The most important principle for designing an ethical society is to make sure that everyone’s reputation is on the line all the time, so that bad behavior will always bring bad consequences.” [I’m reminded of David Brin’s The Transparent Society] He goes on with more specific examples: how we are obsessed by polls; our in-house press secretary automatically justifies everything we do; how ‘reasoning’ and Google can [via confirmation bias] take us anywhere we want to go; how we can believe almost anything that ‘supports our team’. Thus he says: rationalism is a delusion. Reason is a tool for persuading others; confirmation bias is a feature, not a bug. Good reasoning, however, can be emergent, through exchanges of ideas with others — which is why diversity is good within any group devoted to finding truth, e.g. universities. [This resonates with the bit a few posts ago about conservatives complaining they are under-represented in universities.] My thoughts are that *science* is this principle exemplified, but Haidt barely mentions the word, though he does say, p92.3, “Eventually, if the scientific community works as it is supposed to, the truth will emerge as a large number of flawed and limited minds battle it out.”

Part II is about how “There’s more to morality than harm and fairness” with the central metaphor: the righteous mind is like a tongue with six taste receptors.

Author describes his own studies in India, his awareness that morality is about more than what are emphasized by Western, educated, industrialized, rich, and democratic (WEIRD) societies. He evokes the metaphor of The Matrix, suggesting that each society is a different combination of fundamental moral intuitions. p109m: “I cannot overstate the importance of this… We are multiple from the start.” It is like the many cuisines all employing the same set of taste receptors. He develops a “moral foundation theory”, along five foundations: care, fairness, loyalty, authority, and sanctity. And then, especially fascinating to me, he describes the evolutionary reasons these foundations likely developed:

  • Care/harm evolved for the challenge of caring for vulnerable children.
  • Fairness/cheating evolved in response to the challenge of cooperation without being exploited, open to reciprocal altruism, punishing of cheaters.
  • Loyalty/betrayal to the forming and maintaining of coalitions, team players, with punishment of those who betray the group.
  • Authority/subversion about forging relationships in social hierarchies; sensitive to rank or status and proper behavior for one’s position.
  • Sanctity/degradation is about the omnivore’s dilemma (see p148t), then the challenges of avoiding pathogens and parasites, leading to veneration of symbolic objects and threats that bind groups together.

But then, after getting some strong feedback to his first version of this theory, he added a sixth foundation: liberty vs. oppression. With, again, the conclusion that liberals are sensitive mostly to three of the six, conservatives more or less to all six (and libertarians most strongly to the liberty v oppression foundation).

Part III is about how “Morality Binds and Blinds” with the central metaphor: we are 90 percent chimp and 10 percent bee.

The author has concluded so far that “Our righteous minds were shaped by kin selection plus reciprocal altruism augmented by gossip and reputation management”, but this is incomplete. People are groupish — we love teams and clubs and fraternities. We’re adept at promoting the interests of our own group against those of others. [Politics!] This comes about via mechanisms that enable some groups to out-compete other groups — i.e., ‘group selection’, an idea floated by Darwin and others, but which went out of fashion in the ’70s, partly because of arguments about how groups would not be able to manage ‘free riders’, selfish cheaters who, by avoiding risks, would have more children than others and whose genes would thus wipe out the tendency for group cooperation.

The solution, to jump ahead a bit, is exactly the elements of human morality that are sensitive to fairness and loyalty. As a matter of fact, human groups are extremely sensitive to cheaters, and extremely ready to celebrate the heroes who, in contrast, sacrifice themselves. That is, human morality evolved in part to enable group selection, thereby promoting larger and larger groups, with the resultant expansion of the species across the planet in the last few thousand years.

Haidt again offers examples, of how such evolutionary changes might have happened relatively quickly (citing ‘ultrasociality’ [what EO Wilson calls ‘eusociality’]); the way humans share tasks in a way chimps, our closest relatives, never do; and then circumstances of a “hive switch” that triggers groupish behavior and the feeling of being part of a greater whole: sports fandom, military solidarity on the battlefield, ecstatic dancing in ‘primitive’ cultures and raves in ‘advanced’ ones; awe in nature; psychedelic drugs that involve oxytocin and trigger the mirror neuron system. Happiness, he concludes, comes from getting the right relationships between yourself and others, yourself and your work, yourself and something larger than yourself.

And thus religion. In contrast to the ‘new atheists’ — Harris, Dawkins, Dennett, Hitchens — who criticized religious beliefs themselves (and their consequences, which do in fact play out in the daily news), Haidt claims religion is as much about belonging to a group with shared beliefs. The various religions themselves evolved, in ways to create communities, to discourage selfish behavior, to encourage the idea of collective punishment for transgressions — i.e. God is watching you! and if you sin, we will all suffer! [ — as fundamentalist politicians are always claiming that hurricanes or mass shootings are due to gay marriage or abortions. These are delusions, mind you, but they are useful delusions for promoting a kind of group/tribal cohesiveness.] Thus, the evidence that in fact religious people are better citizens, and on the other hand adherence to specific beliefs in scripture are not actually all that important. Haidt claims the absence of religion leads to a kind of anomie, citing the lower birth rate of secular European nations — though on this point I and I’m sure others can identify other factors that explain that. [E.g. that in advanced nations with better health care, women don’t need to have as many children as those in primitive societies with higher infant mortality rates.]

And so Haidt finally offers a definition, not of morality, but of “moral systems”, p270

Moral systems are interlocking sets of values, virtues, norms, practices, identifies, institutions, technologies, and evolved psychological mechanisms that work together to suppress or regulate self-interest and make cooperative societies possible.

He acknowledges this is a functional definition, about what works, not what is ‘right’. If pressed, he admits that there “is no compelling alternative to utilitarianism” as the basis for morality, i.e. that which promotes the great well-being for the greatest number. Here, finally, though he doesn’t spell this out, he aligns with the projects of Sam Harris and Michael Shermer on the arc of moral progress.

In the final chapter Haidt discusses the divided political process in the US, that between the ‘left’ and the ‘right’, and why it’s been getting worse. He describes how any one person’s moral development comes in three levels: first, the foundational traits (the six axes described above); then characteristic adaptions that depend on life circumstances; and finally broad ‘life narratives’. At the most basic, conservative minds react more strongly to threat and fear [I think this is an essential point, echoed every day by the Republican candidates for president] (p279), liberals are more responsive to variety and new experiences. These traits support broad narratives that “are not necessary true stories — they are simplified and selective reconstructions of the past, often connected to an idealized vision of the future” (p282t). And, p282m:

When asked to account for the development of their own religious faith and moral beliefs, conservatives underscored deep feeling about respect for authority, allegiance to one’s group, and purity of the self, whereas liberals emphasized their deep feelings regarding human suffering and social fairness.

And then he quotes two cogent summaries of the Grand Narratives of the left and the right, on pages 284 and 285. The former is about the struggle for equality and happiness, the latter about the struggle to return to a golden past. These descriptions are creepy in the way they echo current campaign rhetoric.

Haidt describes another personal experience that led him to reconsider his previous assumptions — i.e. that liberalism was obviously right, that conservatism simply meant orthodoxy. He reads a book by Jerry Muller that explores the idea that conservatism is about “the search for human happiness based on the use of reason”. Conservatives, he says, believe that people need external constraints to behave well and cooperate. [And given Donald Trump’s popularity with a base of uneducated, racist voters, who happily applaud his suggestions to subvert the Constitution in oh so many ways, it’s hard to disagree.] Haidt discusses the idea of ‘moral capital’, the shared convictions of society, that make cooperation possible. It means a trade-off between homogeneity and diversity, and when liberals don’t take this idea of moral capital into account, their changes often backfire.

Rather, Haidt suggests, liberalism and conservatism are a yin and yang, complementary, and both necessary. He goes on to explore several current political issues and how, given the basis for the elements of human morality and how they inform these issues, addresses the constraint of corporations, the utility of regulations, the benefit of markets (with a cute yet profound comparison of how government-run healthcare, and socialist economies in general, are like ‘intelligent design’, not giving enough credit to markets [evolution]), and finally, along the social conservative moral matrix, about guarding against threats to moral capital, i.e. how changes in social equality and ethnic diversity threatens moral capital.

It’s not a Manichaean battle between good and evil. He concludes,

Morality binds and blinds. This is not just something that happens to people on the other side. We all get sucked into tribal moral communities. We circle around sacred values and then share post hoc arguments about why we are so right and they are so wrong. We think the other side is blind to truth, reason, science, and common sense, but in fact everyone goes blind when talking about their sacred objects.

This is a fascinating book for exploring the parameters of actual human morality, for providing a vocabulary about the motivations of people different from ourselves. (Just recall the justifications of the ISIS attacks in Paris, on the basis of gross immorality.) I’ll have some comments about the book in one more future post, especially about how it does or does not inform the idea of an arc of moral history.

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Jonathan Haidt’s THE RIGHTEOUS MIND: Why Good People Are Divided by Politics and Religion, 1

Jonathan Haidt’s The Righteous Mind: Why Good People Are Divided by Politics and Religion is a fascinating, insightful book. It uses psychological studies into moral sentiments around the world to develop ideas about the ‘foundations’ of morality, especially to expand the standard ‘liberal’ ideal that focuses on egalitarianism, with the idea that morality is all about care vs. harm and fairness vs. cheating.

Rather, he identifies these priorities with Western societies, those he calls WEIRD — Western, educated, industrialized, rich, and democratic. In other parts of the world — and he discusses his own studies in India as an example — other sentiments are just as important: loyalty vs. betrayal, authority vs. subversion, sanctity vs. degradation, and (added later, in his development of his hypothesis of “moral foundation theory”) liberty vs. oppression. And these priorities are present in conservative factions of even WEIRD societies. That is, he identifies liberals as sensitive to three (the first two and the last) of the six moral sentiments, and conservatives to all six, which leads him to conclude that conservatives have an advantage in American politics (even though, as he confesses, he was a lifelong liberal) because politicians have that many more ways of appealing to their values.

His goal is to understand these foundations in terms of evolutionary psychology and recently revived theories of group selection, ideas discounted for many decades by biologists but recently revived by E.O. Wilson and others, along several lines of evidence that the author describes.

He develops group selection ideas to identify humans as “conditional hive creatures”, in which humans operate separately but in certain situations — military duty, sports fandom, submission to psychedelic drugs, rites of passage — they find great joy in becoming part of a larger whole. This is how religion works, he says, contra the ‘new atheist’ critiques of religious beliefs themselves; religion is all about belonging, and religions themselves have been subject to group selection for the benefits clusters of beliefs provide to those groups.

And then he uses the understanding of the bases for the six moral foundations to examine several current political issues, and suggest how one or another set of moral foundations can offer resolutions: about corporations, regulations, markets, and the liberal threat to ‘moral capital’.

Just one quote for now, a concluding one. I have many more specific notes about the book, and how it informs (or does not) my own provisional conclusions, that I might post next week. (In particular, the sense in which Haidt does not in any way suggest any kind of ‘arc of history’ about morality.)

This book explained why people are divided by politics and religion. The answer is not, as Manichaeans would have it, because some people are good and others are evil. Instead, the explanation is that our minds were designed for groupish righteousness. We are deeply intuitive creatures whose gut feelings drive our strategic reasoning. This makes it difficult—but not impossible—to connect with those who live in other matrices, which are often built upon different configurations of the available moral foundations.

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